L’École des cotesodds.tennis
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
+ Nouveau modèleTous les modèles

Elise Mertens v Naomi Osaka

2026-08-07 19:00 UTC — WTA Canadian Open

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Elise Mertens (Local)

Prévision 33.98%2.94cote équitable
EV +0.245%
Avantage +0.083%
Kelly +0.126%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.34%33.92%34.05%35.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.552.772.792.9539.22%36.08%35.84%33.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Naomi Osaka (Visiteur)

Prévision 66.02%1.51cote équitable
EV -4.27%
Avantage -2.95%
Kelly -9.50%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.89%66.08%65.95%67.66%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.381.431.431.4572.46%70.12%69.93%68.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Elise Mertens (Local) : 33.98% ; Naomi Osaka (Visiteur) : 66.02%. Pour Elise Mertens (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.94. 1 opérateur propose une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 2.95, pour une espérance positive de +0.245%.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
DraftKings🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.245%E +0.083%K +0.126%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.91%E -4.90%K -16.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 07:35
1xBet🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -1.79%E -0.621%K -0.949%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -4.93%E -3.43%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-06 06:39
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -2.13%E -0.741%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -4.93%E -3.43%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-06 06:24
FanDuel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.13%E -0.741%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.59%E -3.91%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 06:25
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.13%E -0.741%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.57%E -5.41%K -18.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 06:25
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.13%E -0.741%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.57%E -5.41%K -18.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 06:25
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.15%E -1.11%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.93%E -3.43%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 08:57
Marathon Bet🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -4.51%E -1.61%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -5.59%E -3.91%K -13.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-06 08:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.85%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.93%E -3.43%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 06:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.85%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.93%E -3.43%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 07:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.85%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.93%E -3.43%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 07:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.85%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.93%E -3.43%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 08:04
Fanatics🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.85%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.59%E -3.91%K -13.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 06:24
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.85%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.59%E -3.91%K -13.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 07:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.85%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.59%E -3.91%K -13.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 07:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.85%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.59%E -3.91%K -13.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 07:35
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.85%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.59%E -3.91%K -13.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 07:35
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.85%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.59%E -3.91%K -13.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 07:34
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.85%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.59%E -3.91%K -13.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 07:34
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.85%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.59%E -3.91%K -13.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 07:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.85%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.59%E -3.91%K -13.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 07:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.85%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.59%E -3.91%K -13.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 07:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.85%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.59%E -3.91%K -13.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 07:34
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.85%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.59%E -3.91%K -13.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 07:35
Bally Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.85%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.59%E -3.91%K -13.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 07:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -5.53%E -1.99%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -4.93%E -3.43%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 06:14
GTbets🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -6.21%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -4.27%E -2.95%K -9.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 05:09
Betsson🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.13%EV -6.21%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.87%EV -5.59%E -3.91%K -13.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 06:30
NordicBet🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.13%EV -6.21%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.87%EV -5.59%E -3.91%K -13.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 06:30
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.55%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.93%E -3.43%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 04:55
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.55%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.93%E -3.43%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 04:55
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.55%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.93%E -3.43%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 04:55
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.55%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.93%E -3.43%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 04:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.55%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.93%E -3.43%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 04:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.55%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.93%E -3.43%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 04:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.55%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.59%E -3.91%K -13.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 06:39
theScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.55%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.25%E -4.40%K -14.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-06 06:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.55%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.25%E -4.40%K -14.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-06 06:25
SportsBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.55%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.57%E -5.41%K -18.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-06 04:54
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.55%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.57%E -5.41%K -18.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-06 07:34
betano_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.55%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.57%E -5.41%K -18.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-06 07:34
Dabble (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.25%E -3.06%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.27%E -2.95%K -9.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 08:30
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.25%E -3.06%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.27%E -2.95%K -9.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 08:30
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.25%E -3.06%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.25%E -4.40%K -14.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-06 09:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.25%E -3.06%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.25%E -4.40%K -14.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-06 07:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.25%E -3.06%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.57%E -5.41%K -18.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-06 06:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.73%EV -9.95%E -3.75%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.27%EV -6.91%E -4.90%K -16.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-06 06:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.84%EV -11.65%E -4.48%K -7.28%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 65.16%EV -8.23%E -5.92%K -21.11%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-06 06:28
ReBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.84%EV -11.65%E -4.48%K -7.28%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 65.16%EV -8.23%E -5.92%K -21.11%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-06 06:29
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.11%EV -13.35%E -5.23%K -8.61%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -8.89%E -6.45%K -23.41%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-06 06:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig◎2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%5.4%2026-08-06 07:45
Smarkets◎2.54I 39.37%NM 35.04%1.37I 72.99%NM 64.96%12.4%2026-08-06 06:25
Matchbook◎2.42I 41.32%NM 36.48%1.39I 71.94%NM 63.52%13.3%2026-08-06 08:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 33.88%1.24I 80.65%NM 66.12%22.0%2026-08-06 08:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 33.88%1.24I 80.65%NM 66.12%22.0%2026-08-06 08:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 33.88%1.24I 80.65%NM 66.12%22.0%2026-08-06 08:05