Язык:Русский
Elise Mertens v Naomi Osaka
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Elise Mertens (Хозяева)
Прогноз 31.49%3.18справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.34%
Преимущество +0.721%
Kelly +1.04%
Рост +0.024%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.25
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
29.50%31.58%31.43%34.05%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.753.003.003.2536.36%33.31%33.33%30.77%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Naomi Osaka (Гости)
Прогноз 68.51%1.46справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.72%
Преимущество -1.91%
Kelly -6.47%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.42
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
65.95%68.42%68.57%70.50%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.331.381.381.4275.19%72.32%72.46%70.42%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Elise Mertens (Хозяева): 31.49%; Naomi Osaka (Гости): 68.51%. Для исхода «Elise Mertens (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.18. 1 букмекер предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 3.25, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +2.34%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (66 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +2.34%E +0.721%K +1.04%G +0.024% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-07 20:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%EV -0.805%E -0.255%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%EV -3.40%E -2.41%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-07 22:06 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -0.805%E -0.255%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-07 21:06 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.805%E -0.255%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.805%E -0.255%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-07 22:06 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -0.805%E -0.255%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 20:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.82%EV -1.43%E -0.458%K -0.673%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.18%EV -8.88%E -6.68%K -26.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-07 20:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.38%E -0.767%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.38%E -0.767%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.38%E -0.767%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-07 21:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.38%E -0.767%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-07 08:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.38%E -0.767%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 20:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 20:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 20:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 21:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 08:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 19:56 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 22:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 20:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 16:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 15:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 20:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 20:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 21:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 21:06 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 21:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 22:11 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 22:07 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 22:11 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 22:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 20:56 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 20:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.41%EV -6.47%E -2.18%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.59%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-07 22:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.10%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 20:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.10%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 08:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -7.10%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.51%E -5.56%K -21.46%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-07 08:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%EV -7.42%E -2.52%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.06%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-07 08:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%EV -7.42%E -2.52%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.06%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-07 08:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -8.05%E -2.76%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -3.40%E -2.41%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 22:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 12:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 12:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -9.31%E -3.23%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-07 22:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.31%E -3.23%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-07 15:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.31%E -3.23%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-07 15:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -9.62%E -3.35%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-07 12:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -9.62%E -3.35%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-07 12:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.83%E -4.22%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-07 20:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -13.40%E -4.87%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.72%E -1.91%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -13.40%E -4.87%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.72%E -1.91%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 12:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -13.40%E -4.87%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.72%E -1.91%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 13:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -13.40%E -4.87%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-07 22:10 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (7)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69% | 0.3% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69% | 0.3% | 2026-08-07 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 0.4% | 2026-08-07 22:11 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 0.4% | 2026-08-07 22:10 |
| Novig◎ | 3.28I 30.49%NM 30.21% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.79% | 0.9% | 2026-08-07 21:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.68% | 1.8% | 2026-08-07 22:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58% | 3.5% | 2026-08-07 22:11 |