Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Aryna Sabalenka v Shuai Zhang

2026-08-07 19:00 UTC — WTA Canadian Open

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Aryna Sabalenka (Local)

Prediction 89.48%1.12fair odd
EV +0.218%
Edge +0.195%
Kelly +1.82%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 1.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
85.60%89.36%89.66%91.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.031.071.061.1297.09%93.76%93.90%89.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Shuai Zhang (Visit)

Prediction 10.52%9.51fair odd
EV +26.23%
Edge +2.19%
Kelly +2.38%
Growth +0.626%

assuming max odds 12.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.05%10.64%10.34%14.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.408.698.0012.0015.63%11.51%12.50%8.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Aryna Sabalenka (Local): 89.48%; Shuai Zhang (Visit): 10.52%. For Shuai Zhang (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.51. 12 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 12.00, producing a positive expected value of +26.23%.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Winamax (DE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -6.05%E -5.76%K -120.91%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +26.23%E +2.19%K +2.38%G +0.626%3.6%2026-08-05 10:20
Pinnacle🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.58%EV -5.15%E -4.86%K -85.85%G +0.000%11.53I 8.67%NM 8.42%EV +21.29%E +1.85%K +2.02%G +0.430%3.0%2026-08-05 13:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -6.05%E -5.76%K -120.91%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +15.71%E +1.43%K +1.57%G +0.247%4.3%2026-08-05 11:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -6.05%E -5.76%K -120.91%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +15.71%E +1.43%K +1.57%G +0.247%4.3%2026-08-05 13:10
Coral🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -6.05%E -5.76%K -120.91%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +15.71%E +1.43%K +1.57%G +0.247%4.3%2026-08-05 13:10
DraftKings🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.21%EV -6.05%E -5.76%K -120.91%G +0.000%10.90I 9.17%NM 8.79%EV +14.66%E +1.35%K +1.48%G +0.217%4.4%2026-08-05 09:40
Coolbet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 90.75%EV -4.26%E -3.98%K -60.80%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.25%EV +10.46%E +0.996%K +1.10%G +0.115%3.0%2026-08-05 14:24
BoyleSports🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.15%E -4.86%K -85.85%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +5.20%E +0.520%K +0.577%G +0.030%4.3%2026-08-05 11:15
BetMGM🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%EV -6.94%E -6.67%K -173.51%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV +2.57%E +0.263%K +0.293%G +0.008%6.4%2026-08-05 13:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%EV -6.94%E -6.67%K -173.51%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV +2.57%E +0.263%K +0.293%G +0.008%6.4%2026-08-05 13:10
Neds🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%EV -6.94%E -6.67%K -173.51%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV +2.57%E +0.263%K +0.293%G +0.008%6.4%2026-08-05 13:10
FanDuel🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.97%EV -4.26%E -3.98%K -60.80%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.03%EV +0.988%E +0.103%K +0.115%G +0.001%3.9%2026-08-05 14:15
Sky Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.15%E -4.86%K -85.85%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -0.064%E -0.007%K -0.008%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 14:10
Paddy Power🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.15%E -4.86%K -85.85%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -0.064%E -0.007%K -0.008%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 14:09
NetBet (FR)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -7.84%E -7.61%K -261.17%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV -0.064%E -0.007%K -0.008%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-05 14:15
Fanatics🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.77%EV -5.15%E -4.86%K -85.85%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.23%EV -2.17%E -0.233%K -0.261%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 14:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.76%EV -6.05%E -5.76%K -120.91%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.24%EV -3.22%E -0.350%K -0.393%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 14:20
GTbets🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.58%EV -6.05%E -5.76%K -120.91%G +0.000%9.03I 11.07%NM 10.42%EV -5.01%E -0.555%K -0.624%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 14:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.15%E -4.86%K -85.85%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -5.32%E -0.592%K -0.666%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 14:25
betfred_uk🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.05%E -5.76%K -120.91%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -5.32%E -0.592%K -0.666%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 14:25
Caesars🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.05%E -5.76%K -120.91%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -5.32%E -0.592%K -0.666%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 13:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.15%E -4.86%K -85.85%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -10.58%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 13:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 88.74%EV -6.94%E -6.67%K -173.51%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.26%EV -13.74%E -1.68%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-05 10:30
BetRivers🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.36%E -3.11%K -42.01%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -15.84%E -1.98%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 14:25
Casumo🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.36%E -3.11%K -42.01%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -15.84%E -1.98%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 14:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.36%E -3.11%K -42.01%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -15.84%E -1.98%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 14:25
Grosvenor🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.36%E -3.11%K -42.01%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -15.84%E -1.98%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 14:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.36%E -3.11%K -42.01%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -15.84%E -1.98%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 14:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.36%E -3.11%K -42.01%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -15.84%E -1.98%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.36%E -3.11%K -42.01%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -15.84%E -1.98%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 14:25
TABtouch🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.36%E -3.11%K -42.01%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -15.84%E -1.98%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 14:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.36%E -3.11%K -42.01%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -15.84%E -1.98%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 14:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.36%E -3.11%K -42.01%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -15.84%E -1.98%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 14:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.36%E -3.11%K -42.01%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -15.84%E -1.98%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 14:25
betPARX🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.36%E -3.11%K -42.01%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -15.84%E -1.98%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 14:25
Unibet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.36%E -3.11%K -42.01%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -15.84%E -1.98%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 14:25
Bally Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.36%E -3.11%K -42.01%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -15.84%E -1.98%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 14:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.36%E -3.11%K -42.01%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -15.84%E -1.98%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 14:25
Betway🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.26%E -3.98%K -60.80%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -15.84%E -1.98%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 14:09
SportsBet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.05%E -5.76%K -120.91%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -15.84%E -1.98%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-05 14:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.94%EV -4.26%E -3.98%K -60.80%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.06%EV -17.95%E -2.30%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 14:23
theScore Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -4.26%E -3.98%K -60.80%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -18.47%E -2.38%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 11:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.26%E -3.98%K -60.80%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -21.10%E -2.81%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 14:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.15%E -4.86%K -85.85%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -21.10%E -2.81%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-05 14:25
LeoVegas🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.47%EV -5.15%E -4.86%K -85.85%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.53%EV -22.16%E -2.99%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-05 14:20
Dabble (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -1.57%E -1.43%K -15.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -26.36%E -3.77%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 14:20
PlayUp🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -2.47%E -2.26%K -27.40%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -26.36%E -3.77%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 14:20
1xBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV +0.218%E +0.195%K +1.82%G +0.004%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV -28.47%E -4.19%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-05 14:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -0.677%E -0.610%K -6.15%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -30.57%E -4.63%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 14:24
ReBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 85.79%EV -5.15%E -4.86%K -85.85%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.21%EV -32.67%E -5.11%K -6.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-05 14:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%0.9%2026-08-05 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%0.9%2026-08-05 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%0.9%2026-08-05 14:20
Smarkets1.06I 94.34%NM 91.88%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.12%2.7%2026-08-05 14:25
Matchbook1.06I 94.34%NM 91.88%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.12%2.7%2026-08-05 13:35
Novig1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%5.2%2026-08-05 14:15
Arbitrage (24 combinations) +2.44%1xBet 1.12 (91.5%) / Winamax (DE) 12.00 (8.5%)Show all 24 combinations
Aryna Sabalenka (Local)Shuai Zhang (Visit)Margin
1xBet🎯 1.12 (91.5%)Winamax (DE)🎯 12.00 (8.5%)+2.44%
1xBet🎯 1.12 (91.1%)Pinnacle🎯 11.53 (8.9%)+2.08%
1xBet🎯 1.12 (90.8%)Winamax (FR)🎯 11.00 (9.2%)+1.65%
1xBet🎯 1.12 (90.8%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 11.00 (9.2%)+1.65%
1xBet🎯 1.12 (90.8%)Coral🎯 11.00 (9.2%)+1.65%
Marathon Bet🎯 1.11 (91.5%)Winamax (DE)🎯 12.00 (8.5%)+1.60%
1xBet🎯 1.12 (90.7%)DraftKings🎯 10.90 (9.3%)+1.56%
Marathon Bet🎯 1.11 (91.2%)Pinnacle🎯 11.53 (8.8%)+1.25%
1xBet🎯 1.12 (90.4%)Coolbet🎯 10.50 (9.6%)+1.20%
Marathon Bet🎯 1.11 (90.8%)Winamax (FR)🎯 11.00 (9.2%)+0.826%
Marathon Bet🎯 1.11 (90.8%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 11.00 (9.2%)+0.826%
Marathon Bet🎯 1.11 (90.8%)Coral🎯 11.00 (9.2%)+0.826%
Dabble (AU)🎯 1.10 (91.6%)Winamax (DE)🎯 12.00 (8.4%)+0.763%
Marathon Bet🎯 1.11 (90.8%)DraftKings🎯 10.90 (9.2%)+0.741%
1xBet🎯 1.12 (89.9%)BoyleSports🎯 10.00 (10.1%)+0.719%
1xBet🎯 1.12 (89.7%)BetMGM🎯 9.75 (10.3%)+0.460%
1xBet🎯 1.12 (89.7%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 9.75 (10.3%)+0.460%
1xBet🎯 1.12 (89.7%)Neds🎯 9.75 (10.3%)+0.460%
Dabble (AU)🎯 1.10 (91.3%)Pinnacle🎯 11.53 (8.7%)+0.420%
Marathon Bet🎯 1.11 (90.4%)Coolbet🎯 10.50 (9.6%)+0.388%
1xBet🎯 1.12 (89.6%)FanDuel🎯 9.60 (10.4%)+0.299%
1xBet🎯 1.12 (89.5%)Sky Bet🎯 9.50 (10.5%)+0.188%
1xBet🎯 1.12 (89.5%)Paddy Power🎯 9.50 (10.5%)+0.188%
1xBet🎯 1.12 (89.5%)NetBet (FR)🎯 9.50 (10.5%)+0.188%