Язык:Русский
Aryna Sabalenka v Shuai Zhang
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Aryna Sabalenka (Хозяева)
Прогноз 90.65%1.10справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.91%
Преимущество -3.69%
Kelly -65.24%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.06
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
88.30%90.57%90.58%92.53%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.021.051.051.0698.04%95.40%95.24%94.34%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Shuai Zhang (Гости)
Прогноз 9.35%10.69справедливый коэффициент
EV +21.59%
Преимущество +1.66%
Kelly +1.80%
Рост +0.388%
при максимальном коэффициенте 13.00
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
7.47%9.43%9.42%11.70%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
8.009.979.7813.0012.50%10.03%10.23%7.69%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Aryna Sabalenka (Хозяева): 90.65%; Shuai Zhang (Гости): 9.35%. Для исхода «Shuai Zhang (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 10.69. 13 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 13.00, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +21.59%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (66 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +21.59%E +1.66%K +1.80%G +0.388% | 2.9% | 2026-08-06 14:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.25%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 12.49I 8.01%NM 7.75%EV +16.82%E +1.35%K +1.46%G +0.246% | 3.2% | 2026-08-06 21:11 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.88%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.24%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.12%EV +12.24%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.136% | 2.7% | 2026-08-06 19:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +12.24%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.136% | 3.6% | 2026-08-06 19:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +12.24%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.136% | 3.6% | 2026-08-06 19:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +12.24%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.136% | 3.6% | 2026-08-05 10:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.56%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.24%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.44%EV +7.56%E +0.657%K +0.720%G +0.054% | 3.0% | 2026-08-06 09:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +2.88%E +0.262%K +0.288%G +0.008% | 4.3% | 2026-08-06 10:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +2.88%E +0.262%K +0.288%G +0.008% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 13:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +2.88%E +0.262%K +0.288%G +0.008% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 13:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.12%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +2.88%E +0.262%K +0.288%G +0.008% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 14:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -7.54%E -7.39%K -377.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV +2.88%E +0.262%K +0.288%G +0.008% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 23:01 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.06%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 10.70I 9.35%NM 8.94%EV +0.077%E +0.007%K +0.008%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-06 10:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.24%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -1.79%E -0.171%K -0.189%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-06 21:21 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.24%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -1.79%E -0.171%K -0.189%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-06 21:21 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -1.79%E -0.171%K -0.189%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 12:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -4.13%E -0.403%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 12:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -4.13%E -0.403%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 19:36 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.24%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-06 22:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 18:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 22:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 16:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 10:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 22:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 22:56 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 22:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 22:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 22:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 22:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.37%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.24%G +0.000% | 9.95I 10.05%NM 9.63%EV -6.94%E -0.697%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 23:02 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.45%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 9.95I 10.05%NM 9.55%EV -6.94%E -0.697%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 14:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.32%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.68%EV -8.34%E -0.851%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 22:56 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV -8.81%E -0.903%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 13:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV -8.81%E -0.903%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 13:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV -8.81%E -0.903%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 13:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.24%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 9.71I 10.30%NM 9.76%EV -9.18%E -0.946%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 20:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.24%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-06 22:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 22:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 11:42 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 11:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 11:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 11:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 11:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 11:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 11:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 11:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 11:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 11:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 11:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 11:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 11:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 11:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 11:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 19:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-06 19:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-06 22:36 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.24%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -15.82%E -1.76%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -15.82%E -1.76%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 19:36 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -15.82%E -1.76%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-06 11:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -15.82%E -1.76%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-06 22:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.24%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -20.50%E -2.41%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 19:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.74%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.26%EV -23.31%E -2.84%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-06 22:56 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -25.18%E -3.15%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-06 22:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -25.18%E -3.15%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-06 10:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -25.18%E -3.15%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-06 10:19 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (7)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90% | 14.01I 7.14%NM 7.10% | 0.6% | 2026-08-06 22:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 1.0% | 2026-08-06 22:46 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 1.0% | 2026-08-06 22:46 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 1.0% | 2026-08-06 22:56 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 1.0% | 2026-08-06 22:56 |
| Novig◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.59% | 11.76I 8.50%NM 8.41% | 1.1% | 2026-08-06 22:56 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.40% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60% | 1.2% | 2026-08-06 22:51 |