语言:简体中文
Aryna Sabalenka v Shuai Zhang
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Aryna Sabalenka (主队)
预测 90.65%1.10公平赔率
EV -3.91%
优势 -3.69%
Kelly -65.24%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.06
博彩公司预测分布
88.30%90.57%90.58%92.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.021.051.051.0698.04%95.40%95.24%94.34%最小值均值中位数最大值
Shuai Zhang (客队)
预测 9.35%10.69公平赔率
EV +21.59%
优势 +1.66%
Kelly +1.80%
增长率 +0.388%
假设最高赔率为 13.00
博彩公司预测分布
7.47%9.43%9.42%11.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
8.009.979.7813.0012.50%10.03%10.23%7.69%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Aryna Sabalenka (主队)：90.65%；Shuai Zhang (客队)：9.35%。 对于“Shuai Zhang (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为10.69。 当时有13家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为13.00，对应+21.59%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (66 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +21.59%E +1.66%K +1.80%G +0.388% | 2.9% | 2026-08-06 14:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.25%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 12.49I 8.01%NM 7.75%EV +16.82%E +1.35%K +1.46%G +0.246% | 3.2% | 2026-08-06 21:11 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.88%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.24%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.12%EV +12.24%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.136% | 2.7% | 2026-08-06 19:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +12.24%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.136% | 3.6% | 2026-08-06 19:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +12.24%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.136% | 3.6% | 2026-08-06 19:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +12.24%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.136% | 3.6% | 2026-08-05 10:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.56%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.24%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.44%EV +7.56%E +0.657%K +0.720%G +0.054% | 3.0% | 2026-08-06 09:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +2.88%E +0.262%K +0.288%G +0.008% | 4.3% | 2026-08-06 10:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +2.88%E +0.262%K +0.288%G +0.008% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 13:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +2.88%E +0.262%K +0.288%G +0.008% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 13:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.12%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +2.88%E +0.262%K +0.288%G +0.008% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 14:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -7.54%E -7.39%K -377.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV +2.88%E +0.262%K +0.288%G +0.008% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 23:01 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.06%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 10.70I 9.35%NM 8.94%EV +0.077%E +0.007%K +0.008%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-06 10:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.24%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -1.79%E -0.171%K -0.189%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-06 21:21 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.24%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -1.79%E -0.171%K -0.189%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-06 21:21 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -1.79%E -0.171%K -0.189%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 12:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -4.13%E -0.403%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 12:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -4.13%E -0.403%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 19:36 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.24%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-06 22:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 18:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 22:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 16:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 10:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 22:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 22:56 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 22:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 22:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 22:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 22:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.37%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.24%G +0.000% | 9.95I 10.05%NM 9.63%EV -6.94%E -0.697%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 23:02 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.45%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 9.95I 10.05%NM 9.55%EV -6.94%E -0.697%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 14:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.32%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.68%EV -8.34%E -0.851%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 22:56 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV -8.81%E -0.903%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 13:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV -8.81%E -0.903%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 13:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV -8.81%E -0.903%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 13:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.24%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 9.71I 10.30%NM 9.76%EV -9.18%E -0.946%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 20:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.24%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-06 22:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 22:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 11:42 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 11:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 11:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 11:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 11:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 11:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 11:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 11:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 11:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 11:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 11:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 11:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 11:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 11:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 11:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 19:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-06 19:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-06 22:36 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.24%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -15.82%E -1.76%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -15.82%E -1.76%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 19:36 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -15.82%E -1.76%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-06 11:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -15.82%E -1.76%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-06 22:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.24%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -20.50%E -2.41%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 19:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.74%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.26%EV -23.31%E -2.84%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-06 22:56 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -25.18%E -3.15%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-06 22:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -25.18%E -3.15%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-06 10:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -25.18%E -3.15%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-06 10:19 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90% | 14.01I 7.14%NM 7.10% | 0.6% | 2026-08-06 22:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 1.0% | 2026-08-06 22:46 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 1.0% | 2026-08-06 22:46 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 1.0% | 2026-08-06 22:56 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 1.0% | 2026-08-06 22:56 |
| Novig◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.59% | 11.76I 8.50%NM 8.41% | 1.1% | 2026-08-06 22:56 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.40% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60% | 1.2% | 2026-08-06 22:51 |