Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Aryna Sabalenka v Shuai Zhang

Inizio: 2026-08-06 23:03 UTC

Finale: Aryna Sabalenka 2–0 Shuai Zhang

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

66 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Aryna Sabalenka (Casa)

Previsione 90.65%1.10quota equa
EV -3.91%
Vantaggio -3.69%
Kelly -65.24%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.06

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
88.30%90.57%90.58%92.53%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.021.051.051.0698.04%95.40%95.24%94.34%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Shuai Zhang (Trasferta)

Previsione 9.35%10.69quota equa
EV +21.59%
Vantaggio +1.66%
Kelly +1.80%
Crescita +0.388%

ipotizzando la quota massima 13.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
7.47%9.43%9.42%11.70%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
8.009.979.7813.0012.50%10.03%10.23%7.69%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Aryna Sabalenka (Casa): 90.65%; Shuai Zhang (Trasferta): 9.35%. Per Shuai Zhang (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 10.69. 13 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 13.00, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +21.59%.

Quote dei bookmaker (66 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
BoyleSports🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +21.59%E +1.66%K +1.80%G +0.388%2.9%2026-08-06 14:40
Pinnacle🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.25%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%12.49I 8.01%NM 7.75%EV +16.82%E +1.35%K +1.46%G +0.246%3.2%2026-08-06 21:11
FanDuel🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.88%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.24%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.12%EV +12.24%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.136%2.7%2026-08-06 19:35
Sky Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +12.24%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.136%3.6%2026-08-06 19:35
Paddy Power🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +12.24%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.136%3.6%2026-08-06 19:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +12.24%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.136%3.6%2026-08-05 10:20
Coolbet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.56%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.24%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.44%EV +7.56%E +0.657%K +0.720%G +0.054%3.0%2026-08-06 09:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +2.88%E +0.262%K +0.288%G +0.008%4.3%2026-08-06 10:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +2.88%E +0.262%K +0.288%G +0.008%4.3%2026-08-05 13:10
Coral🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +2.88%E +0.262%K +0.288%G +0.008%4.3%2026-08-05 13:10
BetUS🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.12%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +2.88%E +0.262%K +0.288%G +0.008%6.2%2026-08-06 14:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -7.54%E -7.39%K -377.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV +2.88%E +0.262%K +0.288%G +0.008%7.1%2026-08-06 23:01
DraftKings🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.06%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%10.70I 9.35%NM 8.94%EV +0.077%E +0.007%K +0.008%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 10:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.24%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -1.79%E -0.171%K -0.189%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-06 21:21
BetOnline.ag🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.24%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -1.79%E -0.171%K -0.189%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-06 21:21
Fanatics🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -1.79%E -0.171%K -0.189%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 12:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -4.13%E -0.403%K -0.447%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 12:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -4.13%E -0.403%K -0.447%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 19:36
Bovada🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.24%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 22:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 18:05
ReBet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 22:05
NordicBet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 16:30
Betsson🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 16:35
betfred_uk🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 10:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 22:49
Fliff🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 22:56
888sport🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 22:55
William Hill🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 22:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 22:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 22:55
1xBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.37%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.24%G +0.000%9.95I 10.05%NM 9.63%EV -6.94%E -0.697%K -0.775%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-06 23:02
BetAnything🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.45%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%9.95I 10.05%NM 9.55%EV -6.94%E -0.697%K -0.775%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 14:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.32%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.68%EV -8.34%E -0.851%K -0.948%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 22:56
BetMGM🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV -8.81%E -0.903%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 13:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV -8.81%E -0.903%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 13:10
Neds🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV -8.81%E -0.903%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 13:10
GTbets🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.24%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%9.71I 10.30%NM 9.76%EV -9.18%E -0.946%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 20:15
Dabble (AU)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.24%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 22:50
LeoVegas🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 22:50
BetRivers🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 11:42
Casumo🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 11:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 11:45
Grosvenor🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 11:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 11:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 11:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 11:45
TABtouch🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 11:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 11:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 11:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 11:45
betPARX🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 11:45
Unibet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 11:45
Bally Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 11:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 11:45
Betway🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 19:40
SportsBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-06 19:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-06 22:36
theScore Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.24%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -15.82%E -1.76%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-06 11:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -15.82%E -1.76%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 19:36
PMU (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -15.82%E -1.76%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 11:45
TAB🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -15.82%E -1.76%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 22:55
PlayUp🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.24%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -20.50%E -2.41%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-06 19:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 88.74%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.26%EV -23.31%E -2.84%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-06 22:56
Caesars🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -25.18%E -3.15%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-06 22:50
betano_uk🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -25.18%E -3.15%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-06 10:20
Bet Victor🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -25.18%E -3.15%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-06 10:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets◎1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90%14.01I 7.14%NM 7.10%0.6%2026-08-06 22:51
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%1.0%2026-08-06 22:46
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%1.0%2026-08-06 22:46
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%1.0%2026-08-06 22:56
Matchbook◎1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%1.0%2026-08-06 22:56
Novig◎1.08I 92.59%NM 91.59%11.76I 8.50%NM 8.41%1.1%2026-08-06 22:56
ProphetX◎1.07I 93.46%NM 92.40%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60%1.2%2026-08-06 22:51