Langue:Français
Aryna Sabalenka v Shuai Zhang
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Aryna Sabalenka (Local)
Prévision 90.65%1.10cote équitable
EV -3.91%
Avantage -3.69%
Kelly -65.24%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.06
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
88.30%90.57%90.58%92.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.021.051.051.0698.04%95.40%95.24%94.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Shuai Zhang (Visiteur)
Prévision 9.35%10.69cote équitable
EV +21.59%
Avantage +1.66%
Kelly +1.80%
Croissance +0.388%
avec la cote maximale 13.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.47%9.43%9.42%11.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
8.009.979.7813.0012.50%10.03%10.23%7.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Aryna Sabalenka (Local) : 90.65% ; Shuai Zhang (Visiteur) : 9.35%. Pour Shuai Zhang (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 10.69. 13 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 13.00, soit une espérance positive de +21.59%.
Cotes des opérateurs (66 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +21.59%E +1.66%K +1.80%G +0.388% | 2.9% | 2026-08-06 14:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.25%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 12.49I 8.01%NM 7.75%EV +16.82%E +1.35%K +1.46%G +0.246% | 3.2% | 2026-08-06 21:11 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.88%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.24%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.12%EV +12.24%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.136% | 2.7% | 2026-08-06 19:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +12.24%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.136% | 3.6% | 2026-08-06 19:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +12.24%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.136% | 3.6% | 2026-08-06 19:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +12.24%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.136% | 3.6% | 2026-08-05 10:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.56%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.24%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.44%EV +7.56%E +0.657%K +0.720%G +0.054% | 3.0% | 2026-08-06 09:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +2.88%E +0.262%K +0.288%G +0.008% | 4.3% | 2026-08-06 10:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +2.88%E +0.262%K +0.288%G +0.008% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 13:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +2.88%E +0.262%K +0.288%G +0.008% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 13:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.12%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +2.88%E +0.262%K +0.288%G +0.008% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 14:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -7.54%E -7.39%K -377.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV +2.88%E +0.262%K +0.288%G +0.008% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 23:01 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.06%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 10.70I 9.35%NM 8.94%EV +0.077%E +0.007%K +0.008%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-06 10:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.24%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -1.79%E -0.171%K -0.189%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-06 21:21 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.24%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -1.79%E -0.171%K -0.189%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-06 21:21 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -1.79%E -0.171%K -0.189%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 12:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -4.13%E -0.403%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 12:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -4.13%E -0.403%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 19:36 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.24%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-06 22:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 18:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 22:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 16:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 10:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 22:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 22:56 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 22:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 22:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 22:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 22:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.37%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.24%G +0.000% | 9.95I 10.05%NM 9.63%EV -6.94%E -0.697%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 23:02 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.45%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 9.95I 10.05%NM 9.55%EV -6.94%E -0.697%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 14:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.32%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.68%EV -8.34%E -0.851%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 22:56 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV -8.81%E -0.903%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 13:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV -8.81%E -0.903%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 13:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV -8.81%E -0.903%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 13:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.24%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 9.71I 10.30%NM 9.76%EV -9.18%E -0.946%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 20:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.24%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-06 22:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 22:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 11:42 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 11:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 11:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 11:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 11:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 11:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 11:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 11:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 11:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 11:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 11:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 11:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 11:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 11:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 11:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 19:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-06 19:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-06 22:36 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.24%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -15.82%E -1.76%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -15.82%E -1.76%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 19:36 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -15.82%E -1.76%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-06 11:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -15.82%E -1.76%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-06 22:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.24%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -20.50%E -2.41%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 19:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.74%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.26%EV -23.31%E -2.84%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-06 22:56 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -25.18%E -3.15%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-06 22:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -25.18%E -3.15%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-06 10:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -25.18%E -3.15%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-06 10:19 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90% | 14.01I 7.14%NM 7.10% | 0.6% | 2026-08-06 22:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 1.0% | 2026-08-06 22:46 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 1.0% | 2026-08-06 22:46 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 1.0% | 2026-08-06 22:56 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 1.0% | 2026-08-06 22:56 |
| Novig◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.59% | 11.76I 8.50%NM 8.41% | 1.1% | 2026-08-06 22:56 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.40% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60% | 1.2% | 2026-08-06 22:51 |