Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Aryna Sabalenka v Shuai Zhang

2026-08-07 19:00 UTC — WTA Canadian Open

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Aryna Sabalenka (Local)

Prévision 89.84%1.11cote équitable
EV -0.272%
Avantage -0.245%
Kelly -2.47%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.11

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
85.99%89.71%90.28%91.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.031.061.061.1197.09%93.99%94.34%90.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Shuai Zhang (Visiteur)

Prévision 10.16%9.85cote équitable
EV +21.86%
Avantage +1.82%
Kelly +1.99%
Croissance +0.434%

avec la cote maximale 12.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.05%10.29%9.72%14.01%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
6.758.888.5012.0014.81%11.26%11.76%8.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Aryna Sabalenka (Local) : 89.84% ; Shuai Zhang (Visiteur) : 10.16%. Pour Shuai Zhang (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 9.85. 12 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 12.00, pour une espérance positive de +21.86%.

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Winamax (DE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.26%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +21.86%E +1.82%K +1.99%G +0.434%3.6%2026-08-05 10:20
Pinnacle🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.78%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.26%G +0.000%11.73I 8.53%NM 8.22%EV +19.12%E +1.63%K +1.78%G +0.341%3.8%2026-08-05 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.26%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +11.71%E +1.06%K +1.17%G +0.137%4.3%2026-08-05 13:10
Coral🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.26%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +11.71%E +1.06%K +1.17%G +0.137%4.3%2026-08-05 13:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.56%E -6.31%K -164.03%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +11.71%E +1.06%K +1.17%G +0.137%5.2%2026-08-05 15:15
DraftKings🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.21%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.26%G +0.000%10.90I 9.17%NM 8.79%EV +10.69%E +0.981%K +1.08%G +0.115%4.4%2026-08-05 09:40
Coolbet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 90.75%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.23%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.25%EV +6.63%E +0.631%K +0.698%G +0.046%3.0%2026-08-05 15:15
FanDuel🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.59%EV -4.76%E -4.49%K -79.41%G +0.000%10.20I 9.80%NM 9.41%EV +3.58%E +0.351%K +0.389%G +0.014%4.1%2026-08-05 15:15
Sky Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.76%E -4.49%K -79.41%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.55%E +0.155%K +0.172%G +0.003%4.3%2026-08-05 15:15
Paddy Power🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.76%E -4.49%K -79.41%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.55%E +0.155%K +0.172%G +0.003%4.3%2026-08-05 15:14
BoyleSports🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.76%E -4.49%K -79.41%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.55%E +0.155%K +0.172%G +0.003%4.3%2026-08-05 11:15
Bovada🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.76%E -4.49%K -79.41%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.55%E +0.155%K +0.172%G +0.003%4.3%2026-08-05 14:39
Fanatics🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.24%EV -4.76%E -4.49%K -79.41%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.76%EV -0.480%E -0.049%K -0.055%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 15:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.32%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.26%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.68%EV -0.480%E -0.049%K -0.055%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 15:15
BetMGM🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%EV -6.56%E -6.31%K -164.03%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV -0.988%E -0.101%K -0.113%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 13:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%EV -6.56%E -6.31%K -164.03%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV -0.988%E -0.101%K -0.113%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 13:10
Neds🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%EV -6.56%E -6.31%K -164.03%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV -0.988%E -0.101%K -0.113%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 13:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.45%EV -7.46%E -7.24%K -248.66%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.55%EV -0.988%E -0.101%K -0.113%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-05 14:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.26%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -3.53%E -0.371%K -0.415%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 15:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.26%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -6.07%E -0.656%K -0.735%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 15:15
GTbets🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.58%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.26%G +0.000%9.03I 11.07%NM 10.42%EV -8.30%E -0.919%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 14:25
betfred_uk🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.26%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -8.60%E -0.956%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 15:15
Caesars🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.26%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -8.60%E -0.956%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 13:24
Betway🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.87%E -3.61%K -55.23%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 15:15
theScore Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.76%E -4.49%K -79.41%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 15:14
SportsBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -6.56%E -6.31%K -164.03%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -13.68%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-05 15:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.79%EV -4.76%E -4.49%K -79.41%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.21%EV -14.70%E -1.75%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 15:13
Tipico (DE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 88.74%EV -6.56%E -6.31%K -164.03%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.26%EV -16.73%E -2.04%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-05 10:30
BetRivers🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.97%E -2.75%K -37.09%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -18.76%E -2.34%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 14:25
Casumo🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.97%E -2.75%K -37.09%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -18.76%E -2.34%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 14:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.97%E -2.75%K -37.09%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -18.76%E -2.34%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 14:25
Grosvenor🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.97%E -2.75%K -37.09%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -18.76%E -2.34%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 14:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.97%E -2.75%K -37.09%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -18.76%E -2.34%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 14:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.97%E -2.75%K -37.09%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -18.76%E -2.34%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.97%E -2.75%K -37.09%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -18.76%E -2.34%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 14:25
TABtouch🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.97%E -2.75%K -37.09%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -18.76%E -2.34%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 14:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.97%E -2.75%K -37.09%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -18.76%E -2.34%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 14:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.97%E -2.75%K -37.09%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -18.76%E -2.34%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 14:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.97%E -2.75%K -37.09%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -18.76%E -2.34%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 14:25
betPARX🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.97%E -2.75%K -37.09%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -18.76%E -2.34%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 14:25
Unibet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.97%E -2.75%K -37.09%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -18.76%E -2.34%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 14:25
Bally Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.97%E -2.75%K -37.09%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -18.76%E -2.34%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 14:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.97%E -2.75%K -37.09%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -18.76%E -2.34%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 14:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.76%E -4.49%K -79.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -18.76%E -2.34%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 15:14
LeoVegas🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.27%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.26%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.73%EV -19.77%E -2.50%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-05 15:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -4.76%E -4.49%K -79.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -23.84%E -3.18%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-05 14:25
Dabble (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -1.17%E -1.06%K -11.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -28.91%E -4.13%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 14:20
PlayUp🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -2.07%E -1.90%K -22.99%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -28.91%E -4.13%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 14:20
1xBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.26%EV -0.272%E -0.245%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.97I 14.35%NM 13.74%EV -29.22%E -4.19%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 15:20
ReBet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 86.62%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.26%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.38%EV -30.95%E -4.55%K -5.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-05 15:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -1.17%E -1.06%K -11.71%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -31.45%E -4.66%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 15:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.07I 93.46%NM 91.81%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.19%1.8%2026-08-05 15:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 91.81%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.19%1.8%2026-08-05 15:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.07I 93.46%NM 91.81%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.19%1.8%2026-08-05 15:15
Matchbook1.07I 93.46%NM 91.81%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.19%1.8%2026-08-05 15:15
Novig1.04I 96.15%NM 91.01%10.53I 9.50%NM 8.99%5.7%2026-08-05 15:15
Smarkets1.04I 96.15%NM 85.23%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.77%12.8%2026-08-05 15:15
Arbitrage (12 combinaisons) +1.60%1xBet 1.11 (91.5%) / Winamax (DE) 12.00 (8.5%)Afficher les 12 combinaisons
Aryna Sabalenka (Local)Shuai Zhang (Visiteur)Marge
1xBet🎯 1.11 (91.5%)Winamax (DE)🎯 12.00 (8.5%)+1.60%
1xBet🎯 1.11 (91.4%)Pinnacle🎯 11.73 (8.6%)+1.40%
1xBet🎯 1.11 (90.8%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 11.00 (9.2%)+0.826%
1xBet🎯 1.11 (90.8%)Coral🎯 11.00 (9.2%)+0.826%
1xBet🎯 1.11 (90.8%)Winamax (FR)🎯 11.00 (9.2%)+0.826%
Dabble (AU)🎯 1.10 (91.6%)Winamax (DE)🎯 12.00 (8.4%)+0.763%
Marathon Bet🎯 1.10 (91.6%)Winamax (DE)🎯 12.00 (8.4%)+0.763%
1xBet🎯 1.11 (90.8%)DraftKings🎯 10.90 (9.2%)+0.741%
Dabble (AU)🎯 1.10 (91.4%)Pinnacle🎯 11.73 (8.6%)+0.569%
Marathon Bet🎯 1.10 (91.4%)Pinnacle🎯 11.73 (8.6%)+0.569%
1xBet🎯 1.11 (90.4%)Coolbet🎯 10.50 (9.6%)+0.388%
1xBet🎯 1.11 (90.2%)FanDuel🎯 10.20 (9.8%)+0.106%