StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Aryna Sabalenka v Shuai Zhang

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-06 23:03 UTC

Endstand: Aryna Sabalenka 2–0 Shuai Zhang

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

66 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Aryna Sabalenka (Heim)

Prognose 90.65%1.10faire Quote
EV -3.91%
Vorteil -3.69%
Kelly -65.24%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.06

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
88.30%90.57%90.58%92.53%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.021.051.051.0698.04%95.40%95.24%94.34%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Shuai Zhang (Auswärts)

Prognose 9.35%10.69faire Quote
EV +21.59%
Vorteil +1.66%
Kelly +1.80%
Wachstum +0.388%

bei einer Höchstquote von 13.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
7.47%9.43%9.42%11.70%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
8.009.979.7813.0012.50%10.03%10.23%7.69%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Aryna Sabalenka (Heim): 90.65%; Shuai Zhang (Auswärts): 9.35%. Für Shuai Zhang (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 10.69. 13 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 13.00 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +21.59%.

Wettanbieterquoten (66 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
BoyleSports🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +21.59%E +1.66%K +1.80%G +0.388%2.9%2026-08-06 14:40
Pinnacle🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.25%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%12.49I 8.01%NM 7.75%EV +16.82%E +1.35%K +1.46%G +0.246%3.2%2026-08-06 21:11
FanDuel🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.88%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.24%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.12%EV +12.24%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.136%2.7%2026-08-06 19:35
Sky Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +12.24%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.136%3.6%2026-08-06 19:35
Paddy Power🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +12.24%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.136%3.6%2026-08-06 19:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +12.24%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.136%3.6%2026-08-05 10:20
Coolbet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.56%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.24%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.44%EV +7.56%E +0.657%K +0.720%G +0.054%3.0%2026-08-06 09:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +2.88%E +0.262%K +0.288%G +0.008%4.3%2026-08-06 10:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +2.88%E +0.262%K +0.288%G +0.008%4.3%2026-08-05 13:10
Coral🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +2.88%E +0.262%K +0.288%G +0.008%4.3%2026-08-05 13:10
BetUS🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.12%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +2.88%E +0.262%K +0.288%G +0.008%6.2%2026-08-06 14:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -7.54%E -7.39%K -377.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV +2.88%E +0.262%K +0.288%G +0.008%7.1%2026-08-06 23:01
DraftKings🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.06%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%10.70I 9.35%NM 8.94%EV +0.077%E +0.007%K +0.008%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 10:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.24%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -1.79%E -0.171%K -0.189%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-06 21:21
BetOnline.ag🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.24%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -1.79%E -0.171%K -0.189%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-06 21:21
Fanatics🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -1.79%E -0.171%K -0.189%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 12:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -4.13%E -0.403%K -0.447%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 12:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -4.13%E -0.403%K -0.447%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 19:36
Bovada🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.24%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 22:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 18:05
ReBet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 22:05
NordicBet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 16:30
Betsson🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 16:35
betfred_uk🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 10:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 22:49
Fliff🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 22:56
888sport🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 22:55
William Hill🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 22:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 22:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 22:55
1xBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.37%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.24%G +0.000%9.95I 10.05%NM 9.63%EV -6.94%E -0.697%K -0.775%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-06 23:02
BetAnything🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.45%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%9.95I 10.05%NM 9.55%EV -6.94%E -0.697%K -0.775%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 14:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.32%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.68%EV -8.34%E -0.851%K -0.948%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 22:56
BetMGM🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV -8.81%E -0.903%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 13:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV -8.81%E -0.903%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 13:10
Neds🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV -8.81%E -0.903%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 13:10
GTbets🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.24%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%9.71I 10.30%NM 9.76%EV -9.18%E -0.946%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 20:15
Dabble (AU)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.24%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 22:50
LeoVegas🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 22:50
BetRivers🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 11:42
Casumo🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 11:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 11:45
Grosvenor🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 11:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 11:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 11:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 11:45
TABtouch🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 11:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 11:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 11:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 11:45
betPARX🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 11:45
Unibet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 11:45
Bally Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 11:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 11:45
Betway🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 19:40
SportsBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-06 19:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-06 22:36
theScore Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.24%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -15.82%E -1.76%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-06 11:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -15.82%E -1.76%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 19:36
PMU (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -15.82%E -1.76%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 11:45
TAB🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -15.82%E -1.76%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 22:55
PlayUp🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.24%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -20.50%E -2.41%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-06 19:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 88.74%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.26%EV -23.31%E -2.84%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-06 22:56
Caesars🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -25.18%E -3.15%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-06 22:50
betano_uk🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -25.18%E -3.15%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-06 10:20
Bet Victor🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -25.18%E -3.15%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-06 10:19
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Smarkets◎1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90%14.01I 7.14%NM 7.10%0.6%2026-08-06 22:51
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%1.0%2026-08-06 22:46
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%1.0%2026-08-06 22:46
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%1.0%2026-08-06 22:56
Matchbook◎1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%1.0%2026-08-06 22:56
Novig◎1.08I 92.59%NM 91.59%11.76I 8.50%NM 8.41%1.1%2026-08-06 22:56
ProphetX◎1.07I 93.46%NM 92.40%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60%1.2%2026-08-06 22:51