StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Aryna Sabalenka v Shuai Zhang

Matchstart: 2026-08-06 23:03 UTC

Slutresultat: Aryna Sabalenka 2–0 Shuai Zhang

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

66 spelbolag (22 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Aryna Sabalenka (Hemma)

Prognos 90.65%1.10rättvist odds
EV -3.91%
Fördel -3.69%
Kelly -65.24%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.06

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
88.30%90.57%90.58%92.53%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.021.051.051.0698.04%95.40%95.24%94.34%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Shuai Zhang (Borta)

Prognos 9.35%10.69rättvist odds
EV +21.59%
Fördel +1.66%
Kelly +1.80%
Tillväxt +0.388%

med antagandet om högsta odds 13.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
7.47%9.43%9.42%11.70%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
8.009.979.7813.0012.50%10.03%10.23%7.69%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Aryna Sabalenka (Hemma): 90.65%; Shuai Zhang (Borta): 9.35%. För Shuai Zhang (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 10.69. 13 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 13.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +21.59%.

Spelbolagsodds (66 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
BoyleSports🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +21.59%E +1.66%K +1.80%G +0.388%2.9%2026-08-06 14:40
Pinnacle🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.25%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%12.49I 8.01%NM 7.75%EV +16.82%E +1.35%K +1.46%G +0.246%3.2%2026-08-06 21:11
FanDuel🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.88%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.24%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.12%EV +12.24%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.136%2.7%2026-08-06 19:35
Sky Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +12.24%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.136%3.6%2026-08-06 19:35
Paddy Power🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +12.24%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.136%3.6%2026-08-06 19:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +12.24%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.136%3.6%2026-08-05 10:20
Coolbet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.56%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.24%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.44%EV +7.56%E +0.657%K +0.720%G +0.054%3.0%2026-08-06 09:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +2.88%E +0.262%K +0.288%G +0.008%4.3%2026-08-06 10:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +2.88%E +0.262%K +0.288%G +0.008%4.3%2026-08-05 13:10
Coral🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +2.88%E +0.262%K +0.288%G +0.008%4.3%2026-08-05 13:10
BetUS🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.63%E -6.44%K -221.12%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +2.88%E +0.262%K +0.288%G +0.008%6.2%2026-08-06 14:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -7.54%E -7.39%K -377.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV +2.88%E +0.262%K +0.288%G +0.008%7.1%2026-08-06 23:01
DraftKings🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.06%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%10.70I 9.35%NM 8.94%EV +0.077%E +0.007%K +0.008%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 10:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.24%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -1.79%E -0.171%K -0.189%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-06 21:21
BetOnline.ag🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.24%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -1.79%E -0.171%K -0.189%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-06 21:21
Fanatics🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -1.79%E -0.171%K -0.189%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 12:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -4.13%E -0.403%K -0.447%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 12:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -4.13%E -0.403%K -0.447%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 19:36
Bovada🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.24%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 22:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 18:05
ReBet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 22:05
NordicBet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 16:30
Betsson🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 16:35
betfred_uk🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 10:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 22:49
Fliff🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 22:56
888sport🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 22:55
William Hill🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 22:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 22:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 22:55
1xBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.37%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.24%G +0.000%9.95I 10.05%NM 9.63%EV -6.94%E -0.697%K -0.775%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-06 23:02
BetAnything🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.45%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%9.95I 10.05%NM 9.55%EV -6.94%E -0.697%K -0.775%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 14:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.32%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.68%EV -8.34%E -0.851%K -0.948%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 22:56
BetMGM🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV -8.81%E -0.903%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 13:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV -8.81%E -0.903%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 13:10
Neds🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV -8.81%E -0.903%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 13:10
GTbets🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.24%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%9.71I 10.30%NM 9.76%EV -9.18%E -0.946%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 20:15
Dabble (AU)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.24%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 22:50
LeoVegas🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 22:50
BetRivers🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 11:42
Casumo🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 11:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 11:45
Grosvenor🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 11:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 11:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 11:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 11:45
TABtouch🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 11:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 11:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 11:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 11:45
betPARX🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 11:45
Unibet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 11:45
Bally Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 11:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 11:45
Betway🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 19:40
SportsBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-06 19:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -11.15%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-06 22:36
theScore Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.24%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -15.82%E -1.76%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-06 11:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -15.82%E -1.76%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 19:36
PMU (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -15.82%E -1.76%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 11:45
TAB🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -15.82%E -1.76%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 22:55
PlayUp🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.24%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -20.50%E -2.41%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-06 19:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 88.74%EV -5.73%E -5.51%K -143.18%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.26%EV -23.31%E -2.84%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-06 22:56
Caesars🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -3.91%E -3.69%K -65.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -25.18%E -3.15%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-06 22:50
betano_uk🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -25.18%E -3.15%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-06 10:20
Bet Victor🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -4.82%E -4.59%K -96.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -25.18%E -3.15%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-06 10:19
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets◎1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90%14.01I 7.14%NM 7.10%0.6%2026-08-06 22:51
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%1.0%2026-08-06 22:46
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%1.0%2026-08-06 22:46
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%1.0%2026-08-06 22:56
Matchbook◎1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%1.0%2026-08-06 22:56
Novig◎1.08I 92.59%NM 91.59%11.76I 8.50%NM 8.41%1.1%2026-08-06 22:56
ProphetX◎1.07I 93.46%NM 92.40%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60%1.2%2026-08-06 22:51