The School of Odds

Roman Safiullin v Novak Djokovic

Matchstart: 2026-07-05 12:40 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

64 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Roman Safiullin (Hemma)

Prognos 18.64%5.36rättvist odds
EV +8.13%
Fördel +1.40%
Kelly +1.69%
Tillväxt +0.138%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.80

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
16.43%18.81%18.50%24.75%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
3.804.915.005.8026.32%20.38%20.00%17.24%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Novak Djokovic (Borta)

Prognos 81.36%1.23rättvist odds
EV +1.70%
Fördel +1.36%
Kelly +6.79%
Tillväxt +0.115%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
75.25%81.19%81.50%83.57%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.141.181.171.2587.72%84.86%85.47%80.00%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (64 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
SportsBet5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +8.13%E +1.40%K +1.69%G +0.138%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 12:35
FanDuel5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +8.13%E +1.40%K +1.69%G +0.138%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 12:35
Sky Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +2.54%E +0.461%K +0.563%G +0.014%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 12:35
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +2.54%E +0.461%K +0.563%G +0.014%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 12:34
theScore Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +2.54%E +0.461%K +0.563%G +0.014%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 12:35
Pinnacle5.47I 18.28%NM 17.87%EV +1.98%E +0.361%K +0.442%G +0.009%1.19I 84.03%NM 82.13%EV -3.18%E -2.68%K -16.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-05 12:34
Winamax (DE)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.93%EV +0.671%E +0.124%K +0.152%G +0.001%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.07%EV -4.00%E -3.39%K -22.21%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-05 12:34
Unibet (FR)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV +0.671%E +0.124%K +0.152%G +0.001%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 12:29
Coolbet5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.18%E -2.68%K -16.76%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-05 12:27
Unibet (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 12:35
MyBookie.ag5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 12:34
BetMGM5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.44%E -5.60%K -42.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 12:34
BetUS5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.44%E -5.60%K -42.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 12:35
Coral5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-05 12:35
Ladbrokes (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-05 12:35
Codere (IT)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -4.00%E -3.39%K -22.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 12:30
ReBet5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -4.00%E -3.39%K -22.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 12:29
Fanatics5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 12:34
Winamax (FR)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 12:34
Ladbrokes (AU)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 12:35
Neds5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 12:35
Tipico (DE)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.44%E -5.60%K -42.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 12:35
DraftKings5.18I 19.31%NM 18.43%EV -3.43%E -0.662%K -0.821%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.57%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 12:35
GTbets5.06I 19.76%NM 19.17%EV -5.67%E -1.12%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.83%EV -2.37%E -1.98%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-05 12:35
Betway5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.00%E -3.39%K -22.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 12:34
betfred_uk5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 12:35
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 12:35
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 12:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 12:35
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 12:35
BetAnything5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 12:35
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 12:35
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 12:35
PointsBet (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 12:35
Everygame5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 12:29
NordicBet4.99I 20.04%NM 18.86%EV -6.97%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.14%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 12:35
Betsson4.99I 20.04%NM 18.86%EV -6.97%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.14%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 12:35
Fliff4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -8.65%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-05 12:35
Betr (AU)4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -9.58%E -1.98%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 12:35
Caesars4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -10.51%E -2.19%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 12:32
LeoVegas4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -10.51%E -2.19%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-05 12:35
1xBet4.72I 21.19%NM 20.27%EV -12.01%E -2.54%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.73%EV -2.37%E -1.98%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 12:34
Marathon Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -14.24%E -3.10%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.37%E -1.98%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 12:25
Unibet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:35
Casumo4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:35
BetRivers4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:35
Grosvenor4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:35
LeoVegas (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:35
TABtouch4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:35
Unibet (NL)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:35
Unibet (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:35
Bally Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:33
ATG (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:35
betPARX4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:35
Svenska Spel4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:35
Hard Rock Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:34
Bet Victor4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-05 12:28
Betclic (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -6.44%E -5.60%K -42.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-05 12:34
Virgin Bet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -18.90%E -4.35%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -2.37%E -1.98%K -11.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 12:35
PMU (FR)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -18.90%E -4.35%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -2.37%E -1.98%K -11.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 12:35
PlayUp4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -19.84%E -4.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -0.744%E -0.610%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 12:35
LiveScore Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -19.84%E -4.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -4.00%E -3.39%K -22.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-05 12:35
Dabble (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -25.43%E -6.36%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -0.744%E -0.610%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 12:35
TAB3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -29.16%E -7.67%K -10.41%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV +1.70%E +1.36%K +6.79%G +0.115%6.3%2026-07-05 12:35
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90%1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10%0.3%2026-07-05 12:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90%1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10%0.3%2026-07-05 12:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90%1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10%0.3%2026-07-05 12:35
Matchbook5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90%1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10%0.3%2026-07-05 12:35
ProphetX5.75I 17.39%NM 17.27%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.73%0.7%2026-07-05 12:35
Smarkets5.80I 17.24%NM 16.91%1.18I 84.75%NM 83.09%2.0%2026-07-05 12:35
Novig5.56I 17.99%NM 17.63%1.19I 84.03%NM 82.37%2.0%2026-07-05 12:34