Idioma:Português
Roman Safiullin v Novak Djokovic
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Roman Safiullin (Local)
Previsão 18.64%5.36odd justa
EV +8.13%
Vantagem +1.40%
Kelly +1.69%
Crescimento +0.138%
pressupondo odds máximas de 5.80
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.43%18.81%18.50%24.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.804.915.005.8026.32%20.38%20.00%17.24%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Novak Djokovic (Visitante)
Previsão 81.36%1.23odd justa
EV +1.70%
Vantagem +1.36%
Kelly +6.79%
Crescimento +0.115%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.25
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
75.25%81.19%81.50%83.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.141.181.171.2587.72%84.86%85.47%80.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Roman Safiullin (Local): 18.64%; Novak Djokovic (Visitante): 81.36%. Para Roman Safiullin (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.36. 8 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.80, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +8.13%.
Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +8.13%E +1.40%K +1.69%G +0.138% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +8.13%E +1.40%K +1.69%G +0.138% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +2.54%E +0.461%K +0.563%G +0.014% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +2.54%E +0.461%K +0.563%G +0.014% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +2.54%E +0.461%K +0.563%G +0.014% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.47I 18.28%NM 17.87%EV +1.98%E +0.361%K +0.442%G +0.009% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.13%EV -3.18%E -2.68%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.93%EV +0.671%E +0.124%K +0.152%G +0.001% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.07%EV -4.00%E -3.39%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV +0.671%E +0.124%K +0.152%G +0.001% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-05 12:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.18%E -2.68%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-05 12:27 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.44%E -5.60%K -42.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.44%E -5.60%K -42.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -4.00%E -3.39%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-05 12:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -4.00%E -3.39%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-05 12:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.44%E -5.60%K -42.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.18I 19.31%NM 18.43%EV -3.43%E -0.662%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.57%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.06I 19.76%NM 19.17%EV -5.67%E -1.12%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.83%EV -2.37%E -1.98%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.00%E -3.39%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 12:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.99I 20.04%NM 18.86%EV -6.97%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.14%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.99I 20.04%NM 18.86%EV -6.97%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.14%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -8.65%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -9.58%E -1.98%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -10.51%E -2.19%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 12:32 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -10.51%E -2.19%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.72I 21.19%NM 20.27%EV -12.01%E -2.54%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.73%EV -2.37%E -1.98%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -14.24%E -3.10%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.37%E -1.98%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 12:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 12:33 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-05 12:28 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -6.44%E -5.60%K -42.93%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -18.90%E -4.35%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -2.37%E -1.98%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -18.90%E -4.35%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -2.37%E -1.98%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -19.84%E -4.61%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -0.744%E -0.610%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -19.84%E -4.61%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -4.00%E -3.39%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -25.43%E -6.36%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -0.744%E -0.610%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -29.16%E -7.67%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV +1.70%E +1.36%K +6.79%G +0.115% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (7)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10% | 0.3% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10% | 0.3% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10% | 0.3% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10% | 0.3% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 5.75I 17.39%NM 17.27% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.73% | 0.7% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.91% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.09% | 2.0% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Novig◎ | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.63% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.37% | 2.0% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |