La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Roman Safiullin v Novak Djokovic
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Roman Safiullin (Local)
Predicción 18.64%5.36momio equitativo
EV +8.13%
Ventaja +1.40%
Kelly +1.69%
Crecimiento +0.138%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.43%18.81%18.50%24.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.804.915.005.8026.32%20.38%20.00%17.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Novak Djokovic (Visitante)
Predicción 81.36%1.23momio equitativo
EV +1.70%
Ventaja +1.36%
Kelly +6.79%
Crecimiento +0.115%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
75.25%81.19%81.50%83.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.141.181.171.2587.72%84.86%85.47%80.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +8.13%E +1.40%K +1.69%G +0.138% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| FanDuel | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +8.13%E +1.40%K +1.69%G +0.138% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Sky Bet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +2.54%E +0.461%K +0.563%G +0.014% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Paddy Power | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +2.54%E +0.461%K +0.563%G +0.014% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| theScore Bet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +2.54%E +0.461%K +0.563%G +0.014% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Pinnacle | 5.47I 18.28%NM 17.87%EV +1.98%E +0.361%K +0.442%G +0.009% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.13%EV -3.18%E -2.68%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| Winamax (DE) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.93%EV +0.671%E +0.124%K +0.152%G +0.001% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.07%EV -4.00%E -3.39%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| Unibet (FR) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV +0.671%E +0.124%K +0.152%G +0.001% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-05 12:29 |
| Coolbet | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.18%E -2.68%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-05 12:27 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| MyBookie.ag | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| BetMGM | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.44%E -5.60%K -42.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| BetUS | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.44%E -5.60%K -42.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Coral | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Codere (IT) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -4.00%E -3.39%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-05 12:30 |
| ReBet | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -4.00%E -3.39%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-05 12:29 |
| Fanatics | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| Winamax (FR) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Neds | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.44%E -5.60%K -42.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| DraftKings | 5.18I 19.31%NM 18.43%EV -3.43%E -0.662%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.57%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| GTbets | 5.06I 19.76%NM 19.17%EV -5.67%E -1.12%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.83%EV -2.37%E -1.98%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Betway | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.00%E -3.39%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| betfred_uk | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| 888sport | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| William Hill | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| BoyleSports | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| BetAnything | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Everygame | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 12:29 |
| NordicBet | 4.99I 20.04%NM 18.86%EV -6.97%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.14%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Betsson | 4.99I 20.04%NM 18.86%EV -6.97%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.14%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Fliff | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -8.65%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -9.58%E -1.98%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Caesars | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -10.51%E -2.19%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 12:32 |
| LeoVegas | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -10.51%E -2.19%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| 1xBet | 4.72I 21.19%NM 20.27%EV -12.01%E -2.54%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.73%EV -2.37%E -1.98%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -14.24%E -3.10%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.37%E -1.98%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 12:25 |
| Unibet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Casumo | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| BetRivers | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Grosvenor | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| TABtouch | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Bally Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 12:33 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| betPARX | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| Bet Victor | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-05 12:28 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -6.44%E -5.60%K -42.93%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -18.90%E -4.35%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -2.37%E -1.98%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -18.90%E -4.35%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -2.37%E -1.98%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| PlayUp | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -19.84%E -4.61%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -0.744%E -0.610%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -19.84%E -4.61%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -4.00%E -3.39%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Dabble (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -25.43%E -6.36%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -0.744%E -0.610%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| TAB | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -29.16%E -7.67%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV +1.70%E +1.36%K +6.79%G +0.115% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10% | 0.3% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10% | 0.3% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10% | 0.3% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Matchbook | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10% | 0.3% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| ProphetX | 5.75I 17.39%NM 17.27% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.73% | 0.7% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Smarkets | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.91% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.09% | 2.0% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Novig | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.63% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.37% | 2.0% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |