L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Roman Safiullin v Novak Djokovic
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Roman Safiullin (Local)
Prévision 18.64%5.36cote équitable
EV +8.13%
Avantage +1.40%
Kelly +1.69%
Croissance +0.138%
avec la cote maximale 5.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.43%18.81%18.50%24.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.804.915.005.8026.32%20.38%20.00%17.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Novak Djokovic (Visiteur)
Prévision 81.36%1.23cote équitable
EV +1.70%
Avantage +1.36%
Kelly +6.79%
Croissance +0.115%
avec la cote maximale 1.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
75.25%81.19%81.50%83.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.141.181.171.2587.72%84.86%85.47%80.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +8.13%E +1.40%K +1.69%G +0.138% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| FanDuel | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +8.13%E +1.40%K +1.69%G +0.138% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Sky Bet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +2.54%E +0.461%K +0.563%G +0.014% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Paddy Power | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +2.54%E +0.461%K +0.563%G +0.014% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| theScore Bet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +2.54%E +0.461%K +0.563%G +0.014% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Pinnacle | 5.47I 18.28%NM 17.87%EV +1.98%E +0.361%K +0.442%G +0.009% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.13%EV -3.18%E -2.68%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| Winamax (DE) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.93%EV +0.671%E +0.124%K +0.152%G +0.001% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.07%EV -4.00%E -3.39%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| Unibet (FR) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV +0.671%E +0.124%K +0.152%G +0.001% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-05 12:29 |
| Coolbet | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.18%E -2.68%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-05 12:27 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| MyBookie.ag | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| BetMGM | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.44%E -5.60%K -42.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| BetUS | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.44%E -5.60%K -42.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Coral | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Codere (IT) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -4.00%E -3.39%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-05 12:30 |
| ReBet | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -4.00%E -3.39%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-05 12:29 |
| Fanatics | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| Winamax (FR) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Neds | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.44%E -5.60%K -42.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| DraftKings | 5.18I 19.31%NM 18.43%EV -3.43%E -0.662%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.57%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| GTbets | 5.06I 19.76%NM 19.17%EV -5.67%E -1.12%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.83%EV -2.37%E -1.98%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Betway | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.00%E -3.39%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| betfred_uk | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| 888sport | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| William Hill | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| BoyleSports | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| BetAnything | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Everygame | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 12:29 |
| NordicBet | 4.99I 20.04%NM 18.86%EV -6.97%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.14%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Betsson | 4.99I 20.04%NM 18.86%EV -6.97%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.14%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Fliff | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -8.65%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -9.58%E -1.98%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Caesars | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -10.51%E -2.19%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 12:32 |
| LeoVegas | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -10.51%E -2.19%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| 1xBet | 4.72I 21.19%NM 20.27%EV -12.01%E -2.54%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.73%EV -2.37%E -1.98%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -14.24%E -3.10%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.37%E -1.98%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 12:25 |
| Unibet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Casumo | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| BetRivers | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Grosvenor | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| TABtouch | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Bally Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 12:33 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| betPARX | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| Bet Victor | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-05 12:28 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -6.44%E -5.60%K -42.93%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -18.90%E -4.35%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -2.37%E -1.98%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -18.90%E -4.35%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -2.37%E -1.98%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| PlayUp | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -19.84%E -4.61%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -0.744%E -0.610%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -19.84%E -4.61%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -4.00%E -3.39%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Dabble (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -25.43%E -6.36%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -0.744%E -0.610%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| TAB | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -29.16%E -7.67%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV +1.70%E +1.36%K +6.79%G +0.115% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10% | 0.3% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10% | 0.3% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10% | 0.3% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Matchbook | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10% | 0.3% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| ProphetX | 5.75I 17.39%NM 17.27% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.73% | 0.7% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Smarkets | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.91% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.09% | 2.0% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Novig | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.63% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.37% | 2.0% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |