La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Roman Safiullin v Novak Djokovic
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Roman Safiullin (Casa)
Previsione 18.64%5.36quota equa
EV +8.13%
Vantaggio +1.40%
Kelly +1.69%
Crescita +0.138%
ipotizzando la quota massima 5.80
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.43%18.81%18.50%24.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.804.915.005.8026.32%20.38%20.00%17.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Novak Djokovic (Trasferta)
Previsione 81.36%1.23quota equa
EV +1.70%
Vantaggio +1.36%
Kelly +6.79%
Crescita +0.115%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.25
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
75.25%81.19%81.50%83.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.141.181.171.2587.72%84.86%85.47%80.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +8.13%E +1.40%K +1.69%G +0.138% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| FanDuel | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +8.13%E +1.40%K +1.69%G +0.138% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Sky Bet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +2.54%E +0.461%K +0.563%G +0.014% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Paddy Power | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +2.54%E +0.461%K +0.563%G +0.014% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| theScore Bet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +2.54%E +0.461%K +0.563%G +0.014% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Pinnacle | 5.47I 18.28%NM 17.87%EV +1.98%E +0.361%K +0.442%G +0.009% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.13%EV -3.18%E -2.68%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| Winamax (DE) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.93%EV +0.671%E +0.124%K +0.152%G +0.001% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.07%EV -4.00%E -3.39%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| Unibet (FR) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV +0.671%E +0.124%K +0.152%G +0.001% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-05 12:29 |
| Coolbet | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.18%E -2.68%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-05 12:27 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| MyBookie.ag | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| BetMGM | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.44%E -5.60%K -42.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| BetUS | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.44%E -5.60%K -42.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Coral | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Codere (IT) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -4.00%E -3.39%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-05 12:30 |
| ReBet | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -4.00%E -3.39%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-05 12:29 |
| Fanatics | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| Winamax (FR) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Neds | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.44%E -5.60%K -42.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| DraftKings | 5.18I 19.31%NM 18.43%EV -3.43%E -0.662%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.57%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| GTbets | 5.06I 19.76%NM 19.17%EV -5.67%E -1.12%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.83%EV -2.37%E -1.98%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Betway | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.00%E -3.39%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| betfred_uk | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| 888sport | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| William Hill | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| BoyleSports | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| BetAnything | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Everygame | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 12:29 |
| NordicBet | 4.99I 20.04%NM 18.86%EV -6.97%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.14%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Betsson | 4.99I 20.04%NM 18.86%EV -6.97%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.14%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Fliff | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -8.65%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -9.58%E -1.98%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Caesars | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -10.51%E -2.19%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 12:32 |
| LeoVegas | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -10.51%E -2.19%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| 1xBet | 4.72I 21.19%NM 20.27%EV -12.01%E -2.54%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.73%EV -2.37%E -1.98%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -14.24%E -3.10%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.37%E -1.98%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 12:25 |
| Unibet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Casumo | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| BetRivers | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Grosvenor | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| TABtouch | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Bally Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 12:33 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| betPARX | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| Bet Victor | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-05 12:28 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -6.44%E -5.60%K -42.93%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -18.90%E -4.35%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -2.37%E -1.98%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -18.90%E -4.35%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -2.37%E -1.98%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| PlayUp | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -19.84%E -4.61%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -0.744%E -0.610%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -19.84%E -4.61%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -4.00%E -3.39%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Dabble (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -25.43%E -6.36%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -0.744%E -0.610%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| TAB | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -29.16%E -7.67%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV +1.70%E +1.36%K +6.79%G +0.115% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10% | 0.3% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10% | 0.3% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10% | 0.3% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Matchbook | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10% | 0.3% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| ProphetX | 5.75I 17.39%NM 17.27% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.73% | 0.7% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Smarkets | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.91% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.09% | 2.0% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Novig | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.63% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.37% | 2.0% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |