Szkoła Kursów

Roman Safiullin v Novak Djokovic

Początek: 2026-07-05 12:40 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

64 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Roman Safiullin (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 18.64%5.36kurs godziwy
EV +8.13%
Przewaga +1.40%
Kelly +1.69%
Wzrost +0.138%

przy maksymalnym kursie 5.80

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
16.43%18.81%18.50%24.75%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.804.915.005.8026.32%20.38%20.00%17.24%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Novak Djokovic (Goście)

Prognoza 81.36%1.23kurs godziwy
EV +1.70%
Przewaga +1.36%
Kelly +6.79%
Wzrost +0.115%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.25

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
75.25%81.19%81.50%83.57%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.141.181.171.2587.72%84.86%85.47%80.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (64 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
SportsBet5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +8.13%E +1.40%K +1.69%G +0.138%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 12:35
FanDuel5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +8.13%E +1.40%K +1.69%G +0.138%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 12:35
Sky Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +2.54%E +0.461%K +0.563%G +0.014%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 12:35
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +2.54%E +0.461%K +0.563%G +0.014%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 12:34
theScore Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +2.54%E +0.461%K +0.563%G +0.014%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 12:35
Pinnacle5.47I 18.28%NM 17.87%EV +1.98%E +0.361%K +0.442%G +0.009%1.19I 84.03%NM 82.13%EV -3.18%E -2.68%K -16.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-05 12:34
Winamax (DE)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.93%EV +0.671%E +0.124%K +0.152%G +0.001%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.07%EV -4.00%E -3.39%K -22.21%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-05 12:34
Unibet (FR)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV +0.671%E +0.124%K +0.152%G +0.001%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 12:29
Coolbet5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.18%E -2.68%K -16.76%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-05 12:27
Unibet (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 12:35
MyBookie.ag5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 12:34
BetMGM5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.44%E -5.60%K -42.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 12:34
BetUS5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.44%E -5.60%K -42.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 12:35
Coral5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-05 12:35
Ladbrokes (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-05 12:35
Codere (IT)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -4.00%E -3.39%K -22.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 12:30
ReBet5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -4.00%E -3.39%K -22.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 12:29
Fanatics5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 12:34
Winamax (FR)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 12:34
Ladbrokes (AU)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 12:35
Neds5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 12:35
Tipico (DE)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.44%E -5.60%K -42.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 12:35
DraftKings5.18I 19.31%NM 18.43%EV -3.43%E -0.662%K -0.821%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.57%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 12:35
GTbets5.06I 19.76%NM 19.17%EV -5.67%E -1.12%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.83%EV -2.37%E -1.98%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-05 12:35
Betway5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.00%E -3.39%K -22.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 12:34
betfred_uk5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 12:35
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 12:35
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 12:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 12:35
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 12:35
BetAnything5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 12:35
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 12:35
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 12:35
PointsBet (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 12:35
Everygame5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 12:29
NordicBet4.99I 20.04%NM 18.86%EV -6.97%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.14%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 12:35
Betsson4.99I 20.04%NM 18.86%EV -6.97%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.14%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 12:35
Fliff4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -8.65%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-05 12:35
Betr (AU)4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -9.58%E -1.98%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 12:35
Caesars4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -10.51%E -2.19%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 12:32
LeoVegas4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -10.51%E -2.19%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-05 12:35
1xBet4.72I 21.19%NM 20.27%EV -12.01%E -2.54%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.73%EV -2.37%E -1.98%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 12:34
Marathon Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -14.24%E -3.10%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.37%E -1.98%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 12:25
Unibet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:35
Casumo4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:35
BetRivers4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:35
Grosvenor4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:35
LeoVegas (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:35
TABtouch4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:35
Unibet (NL)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:35
Unibet (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:35
Bally Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:33
ATG (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:35
betPARX4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:35
Svenska Spel4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:35
Hard Rock Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:34
Bet Victor4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-05 12:28
Betclic (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -6.44%E -5.60%K -42.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-05 12:34
Virgin Bet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -18.90%E -4.35%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -2.37%E -1.98%K -11.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 12:35
PMU (FR)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -18.90%E -4.35%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -2.37%E -1.98%K -11.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 12:35
PlayUp4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -19.84%E -4.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -0.744%E -0.610%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 12:35
LiveScore Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -19.84%E -4.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -4.00%E -3.39%K -22.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-05 12:35
Dabble (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -25.43%E -6.36%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -0.744%E -0.610%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 12:35
TAB3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -29.16%E -7.67%K -10.41%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV +1.70%E +1.36%K +6.79%G +0.115%6.3%2026-07-05 12:35
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90%1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10%0.3%2026-07-05 12:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90%1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10%0.3%2026-07-05 12:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90%1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10%0.3%2026-07-05 12:35
Matchbook5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90%1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10%0.3%2026-07-05 12:35
ProphetX5.75I 17.39%NM 17.27%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.73%0.7%2026-07-05 12:35
Smarkets5.80I 17.24%NM 16.91%1.18I 84.75%NM 83.09%2.0%2026-07-05 12:35
Novig5.56I 17.99%NM 17.63%1.19I 84.03%NM 82.37%2.0%2026-07-05 12:34