Język:Polski
Roman Safiullin v Novak Djokovic
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Roman Safiullin (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 18.64%5.36kurs godziwy
EV +8.13%
Przewaga +1.40%
Kelly +1.69%
Wzrost +0.138%
przy maksymalnym kursie 5.80
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
16.43%18.81%18.50%24.75%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.804.915.005.8026.32%20.38%20.00%17.24%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Novak Djokovic (Goście)
Prognoza 81.36%1.23kurs godziwy
EV +1.70%
Przewaga +1.36%
Kelly +6.79%
Wzrost +0.115%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.25
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
75.25%81.19%81.50%83.57%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.141.181.171.2587.72%84.86%85.47%80.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Roman Safiullin (Gospodarze): 18.64%; Novak Djokovic (Goście): 81.36%. Dla wyniku Roman Safiullin (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 5.36. 8 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 5.80, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +8.13%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (64 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +8.13%E +1.40%K +1.69%G +0.138% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +8.13%E +1.40%K +1.69%G +0.138% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +2.54%E +0.461%K +0.563%G +0.014% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +2.54%E +0.461%K +0.563%G +0.014% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +2.54%E +0.461%K +0.563%G +0.014% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.47I 18.28%NM 17.87%EV +1.98%E +0.361%K +0.442%G +0.009% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.13%EV -3.18%E -2.68%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.93%EV +0.671%E +0.124%K +0.152%G +0.001% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.07%EV -4.00%E -3.39%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV +0.671%E +0.124%K +0.152%G +0.001% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-05 12:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.18%E -2.68%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-05 12:27 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.44%E -5.60%K -42.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.44%E -5.60%K -42.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -4.00%E -3.39%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-05 12:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -4.00%E -3.39%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-05 12:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.44%E -5.60%K -42.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.18I 19.31%NM 18.43%EV -3.43%E -0.662%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.57%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.06I 19.76%NM 19.17%EV -5.67%E -1.12%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.83%EV -2.37%E -1.98%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.00%E -3.39%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 12:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.99I 20.04%NM 18.86%EV -6.97%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.14%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.99I 20.04%NM 18.86%EV -6.97%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.14%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -8.65%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -9.58%E -1.98%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -10.51%E -2.19%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 12:32 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -10.51%E -2.19%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.72I 21.19%NM 20.27%EV -12.01%E -2.54%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.73%EV -2.37%E -1.98%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -14.24%E -3.10%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.37%E -1.98%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 12:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 12:33 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-05 12:28 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -6.44%E -5.60%K -42.93%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -18.90%E -4.35%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -2.37%E -1.98%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -18.90%E -4.35%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -2.37%E -1.98%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -19.84%E -4.61%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -0.744%E -0.610%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -19.84%E -4.61%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -4.00%E -3.39%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -25.43%E -6.36%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -0.744%E -0.610%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -29.16%E -7.67%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV +1.70%E +1.36%K +6.79%G +0.115% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10% | 0.3% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10% | 0.3% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10% | 0.3% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10% | 0.3% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 5.75I 17.39%NM 17.27% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.73% | 0.7% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.91% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.09% | 2.0% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Novig◎ | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.63% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.37% | 2.0% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |