مدرسة الاحتمالات

Roman Safiullin v Novak Djokovic

البداية: 2026-07-05 12:40 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

64 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Roman Safiullin (المضيف)

التنبؤ 18.64%5.36السعر العادل
EV +8.13%
الأفضلية +1.40%
Kelly +1.69%
النمو +0.138%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
16.43%18.81%18.50%24.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.804.915.005.8026.32%20.38%20.00%17.24%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Novak Djokovic (الضيف)

التنبؤ 81.36%1.23السعر العادل
EV +1.70%
الأفضلية +1.36%
Kelly +6.79%
النمو +0.115%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
75.25%81.19%81.50%83.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.141.181.171.2587.72%84.86%85.47%80.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (64 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
SportsBet5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +8.13%E +1.40%K +1.69%G +0.138%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 12:35
FanDuel5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +8.13%E +1.40%K +1.69%G +0.138%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 12:35
Sky Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +2.54%E +0.461%K +0.563%G +0.014%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 12:35
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +2.54%E +0.461%K +0.563%G +0.014%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 12:34
theScore Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +2.54%E +0.461%K +0.563%G +0.014%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 12:35
Pinnacle5.47I 18.28%NM 17.87%EV +1.98%E +0.361%K +0.442%G +0.009%1.19I 84.03%NM 82.13%EV -3.18%E -2.68%K -16.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-05 12:34
Winamax (DE)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.93%EV +0.671%E +0.124%K +0.152%G +0.001%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.07%EV -4.00%E -3.39%K -22.21%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-05 12:34
Unibet (FR)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV +0.671%E +0.124%K +0.152%G +0.001%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 12:29
Coolbet5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.18%E -2.68%K -16.76%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-05 12:27
Unibet (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 12:35
MyBookie.ag5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 12:34
BetMGM5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.44%E -5.60%K -42.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 12:34
BetUS5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.44%E -5.60%K -42.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 12:35
Coral5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-05 12:35
Ladbrokes (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-05 12:35
Codere (IT)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -4.00%E -3.39%K -22.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 12:30
ReBet5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -4.00%E -3.39%K -22.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 12:29
Fanatics5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 12:34
Winamax (FR)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 12:34
Ladbrokes (AU)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 12:35
Neds5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 12:35
Tipico (DE)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.44%E -5.60%K -42.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 12:35
DraftKings5.18I 19.31%NM 18.43%EV -3.43%E -0.662%K -0.821%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.57%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 12:35
GTbets5.06I 19.76%NM 19.17%EV -5.67%E -1.12%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.83%EV -2.37%E -1.98%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-05 12:35
Betway5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.00%E -3.39%K -22.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 12:34
betfred_uk5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 12:35
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 12:35
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 12:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 12:35
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 12:35
BetAnything5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 12:35
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 12:35
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 12:35
PointsBet (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 12:35
Everygame5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 12:29
NordicBet4.99I 20.04%NM 18.86%EV -6.97%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.14%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 12:35
Betsson4.99I 20.04%NM 18.86%EV -6.97%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.14%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 12:35
Fliff4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -8.65%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-05 12:35
Betr (AU)4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -9.58%E -1.98%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 12:35
Caesars4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -10.51%E -2.19%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 12:32
LeoVegas4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -10.51%E -2.19%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-05 12:35
1xBet4.72I 21.19%NM 20.27%EV -12.01%E -2.54%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.73%EV -2.37%E -1.98%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 12:34
Marathon Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -14.24%E -3.10%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.37%E -1.98%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 12:25
Unibet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:35
Casumo4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:35
BetRivers4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:35
Grosvenor4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:35
LeoVegas (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:35
TABtouch4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:35
Unibet (NL)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:35
Unibet (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:35
Bally Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:33
ATG (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:35
betPARX4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:35
Svenska Spel4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:35
Hard Rock Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:34
Bet Victor4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-05 12:28
Betclic (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -6.44%E -5.60%K -42.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-05 12:34
Virgin Bet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -18.90%E -4.35%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -2.37%E -1.98%K -11.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 12:35
PMU (FR)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -18.90%E -4.35%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -2.37%E -1.98%K -11.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 12:35
PlayUp4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -19.84%E -4.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -0.744%E -0.610%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 12:35
LiveScore Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -19.84%E -4.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -4.00%E -3.39%K -22.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-05 12:35
Dabble (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -25.43%E -6.36%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -0.744%E -0.610%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 12:35
TAB3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -29.16%E -7.67%K -10.41%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV +1.70%E +1.36%K +6.79%G +0.115%6.3%2026-07-05 12:35
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90%1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10%0.3%2026-07-05 12:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90%1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10%0.3%2026-07-05 12:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90%1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10%0.3%2026-07-05 12:35
Matchbook5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90%1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10%0.3%2026-07-05 12:35
ProphetX5.75I 17.39%NM 17.27%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.73%0.7%2026-07-05 12:35
Smarkets5.80I 17.24%NM 16.91%1.18I 84.75%NM 83.09%2.0%2026-07-05 12:35
Novig5.56I 17.99%NM 17.63%1.19I 84.03%NM 82.37%2.0%2026-07-05 12:34