Die Wettquotenschule

Roman Safiullin v Novak Djokovic

Spielbeginn: 2026-07-05 12:40 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

64 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Roman Safiullin (Heim)

Prognose 18.64%5.36faire Quote
EV +8.13%
Vorteil +1.40%
Kelly +1.69%
Wachstum +0.138%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.80

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
16.43%18.81%18.50%24.75%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.804.915.005.8026.32%20.38%20.00%17.24%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Novak Djokovic (Auswärts)

Prognose 81.36%1.23faire Quote
EV +1.70%
Vorteil +1.36%
Kelly +6.79%
Wachstum +0.115%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.25

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
75.25%81.19%81.50%83.57%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.141.181.171.2587.72%84.86%85.47%80.00%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (64 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
SportsBet5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +8.13%E +1.40%K +1.69%G +0.138%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 12:35
FanDuel5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +8.13%E +1.40%K +1.69%G +0.138%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 12:35
Sky Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +2.54%E +0.461%K +0.563%G +0.014%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 12:35
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +2.54%E +0.461%K +0.563%G +0.014%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 12:34
theScore Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +2.54%E +0.461%K +0.563%G +0.014%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 12:35
Pinnacle5.47I 18.28%NM 17.87%EV +1.98%E +0.361%K +0.442%G +0.009%1.19I 84.03%NM 82.13%EV -3.18%E -2.68%K -16.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-05 12:34
Winamax (DE)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.93%EV +0.671%E +0.124%K +0.152%G +0.001%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.07%EV -4.00%E -3.39%K -22.21%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-05 12:34
Unibet (FR)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV +0.671%E +0.124%K +0.152%G +0.001%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 12:29
Coolbet5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.18%E -2.68%K -16.76%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-05 12:27
Unibet (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 12:35
MyBookie.ag5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 12:34
BetMGM5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.44%E -5.60%K -42.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 12:34
BetUS5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.44%E -5.60%K -42.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 12:35
Coral5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-05 12:35
Ladbrokes (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-05 12:35
Codere (IT)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -4.00%E -3.39%K -22.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 12:30
ReBet5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -4.00%E -3.39%K -22.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 12:29
Fanatics5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 12:34
Winamax (FR)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 12:34
Ladbrokes (AU)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 12:35
Neds5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 12:35
Tipico (DE)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.44%E -5.60%K -42.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 12:35
DraftKings5.18I 19.31%NM 18.43%EV -3.43%E -0.662%K -0.821%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.57%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 12:35
GTbets5.06I 19.76%NM 19.17%EV -5.67%E -1.12%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.83%EV -2.37%E -1.98%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-05 12:35
Betway5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.00%E -3.39%K -22.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 12:34
betfred_uk5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 12:35
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 12:35
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 12:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 12:35
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 12:35
BetAnything5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 12:35
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 12:35
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 12:35
PointsBet (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 12:35
Everygame5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 12:29
NordicBet4.99I 20.04%NM 18.86%EV -6.97%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.14%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 12:35
Betsson4.99I 20.04%NM 18.86%EV -6.97%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.14%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 12:35
Fliff4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -8.65%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-05 12:35
Betr (AU)4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -9.58%E -1.98%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 12:35
Caesars4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -10.51%E -2.19%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 12:32
LeoVegas4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -10.51%E -2.19%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-05 12:35
1xBet4.72I 21.19%NM 20.27%EV -12.01%E -2.54%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.73%EV -2.37%E -1.98%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 12:34
Marathon Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -14.24%E -3.10%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.37%E -1.98%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 12:25
Unibet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:35
Casumo4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:35
BetRivers4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:35
Grosvenor4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:35
LeoVegas (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:35
TABtouch4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:35
Unibet (NL)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:35
Unibet (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:35
Bally Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:33
ATG (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:35
betPARX4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:35
Svenska Spel4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:35
Hard Rock Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:34
Bet Victor4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-05 12:28
Betclic (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -6.44%E -5.60%K -42.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-05 12:34
Virgin Bet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -18.90%E -4.35%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -2.37%E -1.98%K -11.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 12:35
PMU (FR)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -18.90%E -4.35%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -2.37%E -1.98%K -11.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 12:35
PlayUp4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -19.84%E -4.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -0.744%E -0.610%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 12:35
LiveScore Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -19.84%E -4.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -4.00%E -3.39%K -22.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-05 12:35
Dabble (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -25.43%E -6.36%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -0.744%E -0.610%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 12:35
TAB3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -29.16%E -7.67%K -10.41%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV +1.70%E +1.36%K +6.79%G +0.115%6.3%2026-07-05 12:35
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90%1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10%0.3%2026-07-05 12:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90%1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10%0.3%2026-07-05 12:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90%1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10%0.3%2026-07-05 12:35
Matchbook5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90%1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10%0.3%2026-07-05 12:35
ProphetX5.75I 17.39%NM 17.27%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.73%0.7%2026-07-05 12:35
Smarkets5.80I 17.24%NM 16.91%1.18I 84.75%NM 83.09%2.0%2026-07-05 12:35
Novig5.56I 17.99%NM 17.63%1.19I 84.03%NM 82.37%2.0%2026-07-05 12:34