Школа коэффициентов

Roman Safiullin v Novak Djokovic

Начало: 2026-07-05 12:40 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

64 букмекерские конторы (21 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Roman Safiullin (Хозяева)

Прогноз 18.64%5.36справедливый коэффициент
EV +8.13%
Преимущество +1.40%
Kelly +1.69%
Рост +0.138%

при максимальном коэффициенте 5.80

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
16.43%18.81%18.50%24.75%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.804.915.005.8026.32%20.38%20.00%17.24%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Novak Djokovic (Гости)

Прогноз 81.36%1.23справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.70%
Преимущество +1.36%
Kelly +6.79%
Рост +0.115%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.25

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
75.25%81.19%81.50%83.57%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.141.181.171.2587.72%84.86%85.47%80.00%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (64 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиМаржаОбновлено
SportsBet5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +8.13%E +1.40%K +1.69%G +0.138%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 12:35
FanDuel5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +8.13%E +1.40%K +1.69%G +0.138%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 12:35
Sky Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +2.54%E +0.461%K +0.563%G +0.014%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 12:35
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +2.54%E +0.461%K +0.563%G +0.014%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 12:34
theScore Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +2.54%E +0.461%K +0.563%G +0.014%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 12:35
Pinnacle5.47I 18.28%NM 17.87%EV +1.98%E +0.361%K +0.442%G +0.009%1.19I 84.03%NM 82.13%EV -3.18%E -2.68%K -16.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-05 12:34
Winamax (DE)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.93%EV +0.671%E +0.124%K +0.152%G +0.001%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.07%EV -4.00%E -3.39%K -22.21%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-05 12:34
Unibet (FR)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV +0.671%E +0.124%K +0.152%G +0.001%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 12:29
Coolbet5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.18%E -2.68%K -16.76%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-05 12:27
Unibet (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 12:35
MyBookie.ag5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 12:34
BetMGM5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.44%E -5.60%K -42.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 12:34
BetUS5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.44%E -5.60%K -42.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 12:35
Coral5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-05 12:35
Ladbrokes (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -2.13%E -0.405%K -0.500%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-05 12:35
Codere (IT)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -4.00%E -3.39%K -22.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 12:30
ReBet5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -4.00%E -3.39%K -22.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 12:29
Fanatics5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 12:34
Winamax (FR)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 12:34
Ladbrokes (AU)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 12:35
Neds5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 12:35
Tipico (DE)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -3.06%E -0.588%K -0.728%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.44%E -5.60%K -42.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 12:35
DraftKings5.18I 19.31%NM 18.43%EV -3.43%E -0.662%K -0.821%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.57%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 12:35
GTbets5.06I 19.76%NM 19.17%EV -5.67%E -1.12%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.83%EV -2.37%E -1.98%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-05 12:35
Betway5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.00%E -3.39%K -22.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 12:34
betfred_uk5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 12:35
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 12:35
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 12:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 12:35
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 12:35
BetAnything5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 12:35
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 12:35
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 12:35
PointsBet (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 12:35
Everygame5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.79%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 12:29
NordicBet4.99I 20.04%NM 18.86%EV -6.97%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.14%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 12:35
Betsson4.99I 20.04%NM 18.86%EV -6.97%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.14%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 12:35
Fliff4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -8.65%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.63%E -4.85%K -35.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-05 12:35
Betr (AU)4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -9.58%E -1.98%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 12:35
Caesars4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -10.51%E -2.19%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 12:32
LeoVegas4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -10.51%E -2.19%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -7.25%E -6.36%K -51.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-05 12:35
1xBet4.72I 21.19%NM 20.27%EV -12.01%E -2.54%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.73%EV -2.37%E -1.98%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 12:34
Marathon Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -14.24%E -3.10%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.37%E -1.98%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 12:25
Unibet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:35
Casumo4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:35
BetRivers4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:35
Grosvenor4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:35
LeoVegas (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:35
TABtouch4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:35
Unibet (NL)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:35
Unibet (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:35
Bally Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:33
ATG (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:35
betPARX4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:35
Svenska Spel4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:35
Hard Rock Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.56%E -1.29%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:34
Bet Victor4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.81%E -4.11%K -28.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-05 12:28
Betclic (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -16.11%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -6.44%E -5.60%K -42.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-05 12:34
Virgin Bet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -18.90%E -4.35%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -2.37%E -1.98%K -11.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 12:35
PMU (FR)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -18.90%E -4.35%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -2.37%E -1.98%K -11.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 12:35
PlayUp4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -19.84%E -4.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -0.744%E -0.610%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 12:35
LiveScore Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -19.84%E -4.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -4.00%E -3.39%K -22.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-05 12:35
Dabble (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -25.43%E -6.36%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -0.744%E -0.610%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 12:35
TAB3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -29.16%E -7.67%K -10.41%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV +1.70%E +1.36%K +6.79%G +0.115%6.3%2026-07-05 12:35
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (7)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90%1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10%0.3%2026-07-05 12:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90%1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10%0.3%2026-07-05 12:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90%1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10%0.3%2026-07-05 12:35
Matchbook5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90%1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10%0.3%2026-07-05 12:35
ProphetX5.75I 17.39%NM 17.27%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.73%0.7%2026-07-05 12:35
Smarkets5.80I 17.24%NM 16.91%1.18I 84.75%NM 83.09%2.0%2026-07-05 12:35
Novig5.56I 17.99%NM 17.63%1.19I 84.03%NM 82.37%2.0%2026-07-05 12:34