Language:English
Pablo Llamas Ruiz v Zachary Svajda
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pablo Llamas Ruiz (Local)
Prediction 29.58%3.38fair odd
EV +7.97%
Edge +2.18%
Kelly +3.01%
Growth +0.240%
assuming max odds 3.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.23%29.42%29.67%32.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.203.203.6536.36%31.21%31.25%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Zachary Svajda (Visit)
Prediction 70.42%1.42fair odd
EV -2.82%
Edge -2.04%
Kelly -7.42%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.73%70.58%70.33%73.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.331.331.3878.13%75.08%75.19%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pablo Llamas Ruiz (Local): 29.58%; Zachary Svajda (Visit): 70.42%. For Pablo Llamas Ruiz (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.38. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.97%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV +7.97%E +2.18%K +3.01%G +0.240% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -7.75%E -5.92%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV +6.49%E +1.80%K +2.50%G +0.162% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -9.86%E -7.71%K -35.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 11:58 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV +5.01%E +1.41%K +1.96%G +0.098% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -9.86%E -7.71%K -35.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +3.53%E +1.01%K +1.41%G +0.050% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -8.45%E -6.50%K -28.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +3.53%E +1.01%K +1.41%G +0.050% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -9.86%E -7.71%K -35.22%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 11:58 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +3.53%E +1.01%K +1.41%G +0.050% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -9.86%E -7.71%K -35.22%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV +2.05%E +0.595%K +0.838%G +0.017% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -9.86%E -7.71%K -35.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 11:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +0.574%E +0.169%K +0.239%G +0.001% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.574%E +0.169%K +0.239%G +0.001% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.45%E -6.50%K -28.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.574%E +0.169%K +0.239%G +0.001% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.45%E -6.50%K -28.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 11:48 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.574%E +0.169%K +0.239%G +0.001% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.45%E -6.50%K -28.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 11:48 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.09%EV -0.018%E -0.005%K -0.008%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.91%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -0.906%E -0.270%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -0.906%E -0.270%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -0.906%E -0.270%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -0.906%E -0.270%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -7.75%E -5.92%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 11:53 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48%EV -1.20%E -0.360%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.38%E -0.723%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -2.38%E -0.723%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -8.45%E -6.50%K -28.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 11:44 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 11:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 11:53 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.53%E -2.57%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 11:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.64%E -4.21%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.64%E -4.21%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.64%E -4.21%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.64%E -4.21%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.45%E -6.50%K -28.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -5.64%E -1.77%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.82%E -2.17%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.82%E -2.17%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -6.82%E -2.17%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.64%E -4.21%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 11:41 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.09I 32.36%NM 29.93%EV -8.60%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.07%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -5.64%E -4.21%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.95%EV -7.75%E -5.92%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.82%E -2.04%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.82%E -2.04%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -12.74%E -4.32%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -12.74%E -4.32%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.75%EV -14.81%E -5.14%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.25%EV -5.64%E -4.21%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.27%EV -18.65%E -6.78%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 67.73%EV -7.75%E -5.92%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 0.8% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 0.8% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85% | 0.9% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95% | 1.1% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82% | 1.9% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73% | 2.5% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| Novig◎ | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.33% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.67% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |