L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Pablo Llamas Ruiz v Zachary Svajda
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Pablo Llamas Ruiz (Local)
Prévision 29.58%3.38cote équitable
EV +7.97%
Avantage +2.18%
Kelly +3.01%
Croissance +0.240%
avec la cote maximale 3.65
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.23%29.42%29.67%32.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.203.203.6536.36%31.21%31.25%27.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Zachary Svajda (Visiteur)
Prévision 70.42%1.42cote équitable
EV -2.82%
Avantage -2.04%
Kelly -7.42%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.38
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
67.73%70.58%70.33%73.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.281.331.331.3878.13%75.08%75.19%72.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV +7.97%E +2.18%K +3.01%G +0.240% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -7.75%E -5.92%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| PlayUp | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV +6.49%E +1.80%K +2.50%G +0.162% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -9.86%E -7.71%K -35.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 11:58 |
| Everygame | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV +5.01%E +1.41%K +1.96%G +0.098% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -9.86%E -7.71%K -35.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +3.53%E +1.01%K +1.41%G +0.050% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -8.45%E -6.50%K -28.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Dabble (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +3.53%E +1.01%K +1.41%G +0.050% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -9.86%E -7.71%K -35.22%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 11:58 |
| TAB | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +3.53%E +1.01%K +1.41%G +0.050% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -9.86%E -7.71%K -35.22%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV +2.05%E +0.595%K +0.838%G +0.017% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -9.86%E -7.71%K -35.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 11:55 |
| BetAnything | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +0.574%E +0.169%K +0.239%G +0.001% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| 888sport | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.574%E +0.169%K +0.239%G +0.001% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.45%E -6.50%K -28.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.574%E +0.169%K +0.239%G +0.001% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.45%E -6.50%K -28.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 11:48 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.574%E +0.169%K +0.239%G +0.001% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.45%E -6.50%K -28.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 11:48 |
| DraftKings | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.09%EV -0.018%E -0.005%K -0.008%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.91%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| FanDuel | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -0.906%E -0.270%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| Neds | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -0.906%E -0.270%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -0.906%E -0.270%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -0.906%E -0.270%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -7.75%E -5.92%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 11:53 |
| SportsBet | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48%EV -1.20%E -0.360%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| William Hill | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.38%E -0.723%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -2.38%E -0.723%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -8.45%E -6.50%K -28.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 11:44 |
| ReBet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 11:44 |
| BetUS | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 11:53 |
| Sky Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| betfred_uk | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.53%E -2.57%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 11:44 |
| Bovada | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Fanatics | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.64%E -4.21%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.64%E -4.21%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.64%E -4.21%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| betPARX | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.64%E -4.21%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| theScore Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Paddy Power | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.45%E -6.50%K -28.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| 1xBet | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -5.64%E -1.77%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| BetRivers | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.82%E -2.17%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| MyBookie.ag | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.82%E -2.17%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| GTbets | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -6.82%E -2.17%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.64%E -4.21%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| BoyleSports | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Casumo | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Betsson | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Coolbet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Bet Victor | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 11:41 |
| TABtouch | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Grosvenor | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Bally Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| NordicBet | 3.09I 32.36%NM 29.93%EV -8.60%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.07%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -5.64%E -4.21%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| LeoVegas | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Fliff | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.95%EV -7.75%E -5.92%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Unibet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.82%E -2.04%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.82%E -2.04%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| Coral | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Caesars | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -12.74%E -4.32%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -12.74%E -4.32%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.75%EV -14.81%E -5.14%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.25%EV -5.64%E -4.21%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.27%EV -18.65%E -6.78%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 67.73%EV -7.75%E -5.92%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 0.8% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 0.8% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| Matchbook | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85% | 0.9% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| Smarkets | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95% | 1.1% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82% | 1.9% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| ProphetX | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73% | 2.5% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| Novig | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.33% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.67% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |