A Escola das Odds

Pablo Llamas Ruiz v Zachary Svajda

Início: 2026-06-30 12:01 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Pablo Llamas Ruiz (Local)

Previsão 29.58%3.38odd justa
EV +7.97%
Vantagem +2.18%
Kelly +3.01%
Crescimento +0.240%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.23%29.42%29.67%32.27%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.753.203.203.6536.36%31.21%31.25%27.40%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Zachary Svajda (Visitante)

Previsão 70.42%1.42odd justa
EV -2.82%
Vantagem -2.04%
Kelly -7.42%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
67.73%70.58%70.33%73.77%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.281.331.331.3878.13%75.08%75.19%72.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV +7.97%E +2.18%K +3.01%G +0.240%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -7.75%E -5.92%K -25.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 12:00
PlayUp3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV +6.49%E +1.80%K +2.50%G +0.162%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -9.86%E -7.71%K -35.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 11:58
Everygame3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV +5.01%E +1.41%K +1.96%G +0.098%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -9.86%E -7.71%K -35.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 11:50
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +3.53%E +1.01%K +1.41%G +0.050%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -8.45%E -6.50%K -28.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 11:59
Dabble (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +3.53%E +1.01%K +1.41%G +0.050%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -9.86%E -7.71%K -35.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 11:58
TAB3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +3.53%E +1.01%K +1.41%G +0.050%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -9.86%E -7.71%K -35.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 12:00
NetBet (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV +2.05%E +0.595%K +0.838%G +0.017%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -9.86%E -7.71%K -35.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 11:55
BetAnything3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +0.574%E +0.169%K +0.239%G +0.001%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 11:49
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.574%E +0.169%K +0.239%G +0.001%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.45%E -6.50%K -28.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 11:49
888sport (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.574%E +0.169%K +0.239%G +0.001%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.45%E -6.50%K -28.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 11:48
Mr Green (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.574%E +0.169%K +0.239%G +0.001%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.45%E -6.50%K -28.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 11:48
DraftKings3.38I 29.59%NM 28.09%EV -0.018%E -0.005%K -0.008%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.91%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 11:59
FanDuel3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -0.906%E -0.270%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 11:50
Neds3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -0.906%E -0.270%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 11:49
Ladbrokes (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -0.906%E -0.270%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 11:49
Betr (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -0.906%E -0.270%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -7.75%E -5.92%K -25.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 11:53
SportsBet3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48%EV -1.20%E -0.360%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 11:49
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.38%E -0.723%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 11:49
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -2.38%E -0.723%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -8.45%E -6.50%K -28.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-30 11:59
Codere (IT)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 11:44
ReBet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 11:44
BetUS3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 11:53
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 11:49
betfred_uk3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 11:49
PointsBet (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 11:49
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.53%E -2.57%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 11:49
Unibet (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 11:44
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 11:59
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 11:49
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.64%E -4.21%K -16.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 11:59
Unibet (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.64%E -4.21%K -16.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 11:59
Svenska Spel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.64%E -4.21%K -16.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 12:00
betPARX3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.64%E -4.21%K -16.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 11:59
theScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 11:59
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.45%E -6.50%K -28.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-30 11:59
1xBet3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -5.64%E -1.77%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 11:50
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.82%E -2.17%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 11:49
MyBookie.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.82%E -2.17%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 11:49
GTbets3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -6.82%E -2.17%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.64%E -4.21%K -16.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 11:50
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 11:59
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 11:59
Hard Rock Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 11:59
Betsson3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 11:49
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 11:59
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 11:41
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 11:59
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 11:59
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-30 11:59
Bally Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-30 11:59
NordicBet3.09I 32.36%NM 29.93%EV -8.60%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.07%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-30 11:59
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -5.64%E -4.21%K -16.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 11:59
LeoVegas3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-30 11:59
Fliff3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 69.95%EV -7.75%E -5.92%K -25.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-30 11:59
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.82%E -2.04%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 12:00
ATG (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.82%E -2.04%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 12:00
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 11:59
Caesars3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 11:50
Betclic (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-30 11:49
Winamax (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-30 12:00
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -12.74%E -4.32%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 11:59
PMU (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -12.74%E -4.32%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.75%EV -14.81%E -5.14%K -7.88%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.25%EV -5.64%E -4.21%K -16.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-30 12:00
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.27%EV -18.65%E -6.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 67.73%EV -7.75%E -5.92%K -25.00%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-30 11:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%0.8%2026-06-30 12:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%0.8%2026-06-30 12:00
Matchbook3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85%0.9%2026-06-30 12:00
Smarkets3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95%1.1%2026-06-30 12:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82%1.9%2026-06-30 12:00
ProphetX3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%2.5%2026-06-30 12:00
Novig3.51I 28.49%NM 27.33%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.67%4.2%2026-06-30 11:59