La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Pablo Llamas Ruiz v Zachary Svajda
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Pablo Llamas Ruiz (Local)
Predicción 29.58%3.38momio equitativo
EV +7.97%
Ventaja +2.18%
Kelly +3.01%
Crecimiento +0.240%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.23%29.42%29.67%32.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.203.203.6536.36%31.21%31.25%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Zachary Svajda (Visitante)
Predicción 70.42%1.42momio equitativo
EV -2.82%
Ventaja -2.04%
Kelly -7.42%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.73%70.58%70.33%73.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.281.331.331.3878.13%75.08%75.19%72.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV +7.97%E +2.18%K +3.01%G +0.240% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -7.75%E -5.92%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| PlayUp | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV +6.49%E +1.80%K +2.50%G +0.162% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -9.86%E -7.71%K -35.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 11:58 |
| Everygame | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV +5.01%E +1.41%K +1.96%G +0.098% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -9.86%E -7.71%K -35.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +3.53%E +1.01%K +1.41%G +0.050% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -8.45%E -6.50%K -28.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Dabble (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +3.53%E +1.01%K +1.41%G +0.050% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -9.86%E -7.71%K -35.22%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 11:58 |
| TAB | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +3.53%E +1.01%K +1.41%G +0.050% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -9.86%E -7.71%K -35.22%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV +2.05%E +0.595%K +0.838%G +0.017% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -9.86%E -7.71%K -35.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 11:55 |
| BetAnything | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +0.574%E +0.169%K +0.239%G +0.001% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| 888sport | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.574%E +0.169%K +0.239%G +0.001% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.45%E -6.50%K -28.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.574%E +0.169%K +0.239%G +0.001% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.45%E -6.50%K -28.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 11:48 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.574%E +0.169%K +0.239%G +0.001% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.45%E -6.50%K -28.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 11:48 |
| DraftKings | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.09%EV -0.018%E -0.005%K -0.008%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.91%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| FanDuel | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -0.906%E -0.270%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| Neds | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -0.906%E -0.270%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -0.906%E -0.270%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -0.906%E -0.270%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -7.75%E -5.92%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 11:53 |
| SportsBet | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48%EV -1.20%E -0.360%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| William Hill | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.38%E -0.723%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -2.38%E -0.723%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -8.45%E -6.50%K -28.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 11:44 |
| ReBet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 11:44 |
| BetUS | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 11:53 |
| Sky Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| betfred_uk | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.53%E -2.57%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 11:44 |
| Bovada | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Fanatics | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.64%E -4.21%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.64%E -4.21%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.64%E -4.21%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| betPARX | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.64%E -4.21%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| theScore Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Paddy Power | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.45%E -6.50%K -28.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| 1xBet | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -5.64%E -1.77%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| BetRivers | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.82%E -2.17%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| MyBookie.ag | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.82%E -2.17%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| GTbets | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -6.82%E -2.17%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.64%E -4.21%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| BoyleSports | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Casumo | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Betsson | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Coolbet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Bet Victor | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 11:41 |
| TABtouch | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Grosvenor | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Bally Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| NordicBet | 3.09I 32.36%NM 29.93%EV -8.60%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.07%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -5.64%E -4.21%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| LeoVegas | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Fliff | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.95%EV -7.75%E -5.92%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Unibet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.82%E -2.04%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.82%E -2.04%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| Coral | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Caesars | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -12.74%E -4.32%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -12.74%E -4.32%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.75%EV -14.81%E -5.14%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.25%EV -5.64%E -4.21%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.27%EV -18.65%E -6.78%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 67.73%EV -7.75%E -5.92%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 0.8% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 0.8% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| Matchbook | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85% | 0.9% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| Smarkets | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95% | 1.1% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82% | 1.9% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| ProphetX | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73% | 2.5% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| Novig | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.33% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.67% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |