Школа коэффициентов

Pablo Llamas Ruiz v Zachary Svajda

Начало: 2026-06-30 12:01 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

64 букмекерские конторы (21 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Pablo Llamas Ruiz (Хозяева)

Прогноз 29.58%3.38справедливый коэффициент
EV +7.97%
Преимущество +2.18%
Kelly +3.01%
Рост +0.240%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.65

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
26.23%29.42%29.67%32.27%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.753.203.203.6536.36%31.21%31.25%27.40%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Zachary Svajda (Гости)

Прогноз 70.42%1.42справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.82%
Преимущество -2.04%
Kelly -7.42%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.38

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
67.73%70.58%70.33%73.77%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.281.331.331.3878.13%75.08%75.19%72.46%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (64 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV +7.97%E +2.18%K +3.01%G +0.240%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -7.75%E -5.92%K -25.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 12:00
PlayUp3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV +6.49%E +1.80%K +2.50%G +0.162%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -9.86%E -7.71%K -35.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 11:58
Everygame3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV +5.01%E +1.41%K +1.96%G +0.098%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -9.86%E -7.71%K -35.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 11:50
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +3.53%E +1.01%K +1.41%G +0.050%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -8.45%E -6.50%K -28.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 11:59
Dabble (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +3.53%E +1.01%K +1.41%G +0.050%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -9.86%E -7.71%K -35.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 11:58
TAB3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +3.53%E +1.01%K +1.41%G +0.050%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -9.86%E -7.71%K -35.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 12:00
NetBet (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV +2.05%E +0.595%K +0.838%G +0.017%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -9.86%E -7.71%K -35.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 11:55
BetAnything3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +0.574%E +0.169%K +0.239%G +0.001%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 11:49
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.574%E +0.169%K +0.239%G +0.001%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.45%E -6.50%K -28.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 11:49
888sport (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.574%E +0.169%K +0.239%G +0.001%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.45%E -6.50%K -28.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 11:48
Mr Green (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.574%E +0.169%K +0.239%G +0.001%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.45%E -6.50%K -28.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 11:48
DraftKings3.38I 29.59%NM 28.09%EV -0.018%E -0.005%K -0.008%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.91%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 11:59
FanDuel3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -0.906%E -0.270%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 11:50
Neds3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -0.906%E -0.270%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 11:49
Ladbrokes (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -0.906%E -0.270%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 11:49
Betr (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -0.906%E -0.270%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -7.75%E -5.92%K -25.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 11:53
SportsBet3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48%EV -1.20%E -0.360%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 11:49
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.38%E -0.723%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 11:49
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -2.38%E -0.723%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -8.45%E -6.50%K -28.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-30 11:59
Codere (IT)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 11:44
ReBet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 11:44
BetUS3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 11:53
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 11:49
betfred_uk3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 11:49
PointsBet (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 11:49
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.53%E -2.57%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 11:49
Unibet (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 11:44
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 11:59
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 11:49
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.64%E -4.21%K -16.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 11:59
Unibet (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.64%E -4.21%K -16.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 11:59
Svenska Spel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.64%E -4.21%K -16.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 12:00
betPARX3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.64%E -4.21%K -16.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 11:59
theScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 11:59
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.45%E -6.50%K -28.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-30 11:59
1xBet3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -5.64%E -1.77%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 11:50
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.82%E -2.17%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 11:49
MyBookie.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.82%E -2.17%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 11:49
GTbets3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -6.82%E -2.17%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.64%E -4.21%K -16.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 11:50
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 11:59
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 11:59
Hard Rock Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 11:59
Betsson3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 11:49
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 11:59
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 11:41
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 11:59
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 11:59
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-30 11:59
Bally Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-30 11:59
NordicBet3.09I 32.36%NM 29.93%EV -8.60%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.07%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-30 11:59
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -5.64%E -4.21%K -16.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 11:59
LeoVegas3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-30 11:59
Fliff3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 69.95%EV -7.75%E -5.92%K -25.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-30 11:59
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.82%E -2.04%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 12:00
ATG (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.82%E -2.04%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 12:00
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 11:59
Caesars3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 11:50
Betclic (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-30 11:49
Winamax (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-30 12:00
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -12.74%E -4.32%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 11:59
PMU (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -12.74%E -4.32%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.75%EV -14.81%E -5.14%K -7.88%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.25%EV -5.64%E -4.21%K -16.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-30 12:00
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.27%EV -18.65%E -6.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 67.73%EV -7.75%E -5.92%K -25.00%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-30 11:59
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (7)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%0.8%2026-06-30 12:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%0.8%2026-06-30 12:00
Matchbook3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85%0.9%2026-06-30 12:00
Smarkets3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95%1.1%2026-06-30 12:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82%1.9%2026-06-30 12:00
ProphetX3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%2.5%2026-06-30 12:00
Novig3.51I 28.49%NM 27.33%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.67%4.2%2026-06-30 11:59