La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Pablo Llamas Ruiz v Zachary Svajda
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Pablo Llamas Ruiz (Casa)
Previsione 29.58%3.38quota equa
EV +7.97%
Vantaggio +2.18%
Kelly +3.01%
Crescita +0.240%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.65
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.23%29.42%29.67%32.27%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.753.203.203.6536.36%31.21%31.25%27.40%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Zachary Svajda (Trasferta)
Previsione 70.42%1.42quota equa
EV -2.82%
Vantaggio -2.04%
Kelly -7.42%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.38
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
67.73%70.58%70.33%73.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.281.331.331.3878.13%75.08%75.19%72.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV +7.97%E +2.18%K +3.01%G +0.240% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -7.75%E -5.92%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| PlayUp | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV +6.49%E +1.80%K +2.50%G +0.162% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -9.86%E -7.71%K -35.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 11:58 |
| Everygame | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV +5.01%E +1.41%K +1.96%G +0.098% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -9.86%E -7.71%K -35.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +3.53%E +1.01%K +1.41%G +0.050% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -8.45%E -6.50%K -28.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Dabble (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +3.53%E +1.01%K +1.41%G +0.050% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -9.86%E -7.71%K -35.22%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 11:58 |
| TAB | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +3.53%E +1.01%K +1.41%G +0.050% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -9.86%E -7.71%K -35.22%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV +2.05%E +0.595%K +0.838%G +0.017% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -9.86%E -7.71%K -35.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 11:55 |
| BetAnything | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +0.574%E +0.169%K +0.239%G +0.001% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| 888sport | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.574%E +0.169%K +0.239%G +0.001% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.45%E -6.50%K -28.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.574%E +0.169%K +0.239%G +0.001% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.45%E -6.50%K -28.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 11:48 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.574%E +0.169%K +0.239%G +0.001% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.45%E -6.50%K -28.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 11:48 |
| DraftKings | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.09%EV -0.018%E -0.005%K -0.008%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.91%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| FanDuel | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -0.906%E -0.270%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| Neds | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -0.906%E -0.270%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -0.906%E -0.270%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -0.906%E -0.270%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -7.75%E -5.92%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 11:53 |
| SportsBet | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48%EV -1.20%E -0.360%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| William Hill | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.38%E -0.723%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -2.38%E -0.723%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -8.45%E -6.50%K -28.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 11:44 |
| ReBet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 11:44 |
| BetUS | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 11:53 |
| Sky Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| betfred_uk | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.53%E -2.57%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 11:44 |
| Bovada | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Fanatics | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.64%E -4.21%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.64%E -4.21%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.64%E -4.21%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| betPARX | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.64%E -4.21%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| theScore Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Paddy Power | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.45%E -6.50%K -28.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| 1xBet | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -5.64%E -1.77%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| BetRivers | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.82%E -2.17%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| MyBookie.ag | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.82%E -2.17%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| GTbets | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -6.82%E -2.17%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.64%E -4.21%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| BoyleSports | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Casumo | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Betsson | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Coolbet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Bet Victor | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 11:41 |
| TABtouch | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Grosvenor | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Bally Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| NordicBet | 3.09I 32.36%NM 29.93%EV -8.60%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.07%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -5.64%E -4.21%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| LeoVegas | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Fliff | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.95%EV -7.75%E -5.92%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Unibet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.82%E -2.04%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.82%E -2.04%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| Coral | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Caesars | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-30 11:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-30 11:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -12.74%E -4.32%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -12.74%E -4.32%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.75%EV -14.81%E -5.14%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.25%EV -5.64%E -4.21%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.27%EV -18.65%E -6.78%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 67.73%EV -7.75%E -5.92%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 0.8% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 0.8% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| Matchbook | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85% | 0.9% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| Smarkets | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95% | 1.1% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82% | 1.9% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| ProphetX | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73% | 2.5% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| Novig | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.33% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.67% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |