مدرسة الاحتمالات

Pablo Llamas Ruiz v Zachary Svajda

البداية: 2026-06-30 12:01 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

64 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Pablo Llamas Ruiz (المضيف)

التنبؤ 29.58%3.38السعر العادل
EV +7.97%
الأفضلية +2.18%
Kelly +3.01%
النمو +0.240%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.65

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.23%29.42%29.67%32.27%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.753.203.203.6536.36%31.21%31.25%27.40%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Zachary Svajda (الضيف)

التنبؤ 70.42%1.42السعر العادل
EV -2.82%
الأفضلية -2.04%
Kelly -7.42%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.38

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
67.73%70.58%70.33%73.77%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.281.331.331.3878.13%75.08%75.19%72.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (64 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV +7.97%E +2.18%K +3.01%G +0.240%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -7.75%E -5.92%K -25.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 12:00
PlayUp3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV +6.49%E +1.80%K +2.50%G +0.162%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -9.86%E -7.71%K -35.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 11:58
Everygame3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV +5.01%E +1.41%K +1.96%G +0.098%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -9.86%E -7.71%K -35.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 11:50
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +3.53%E +1.01%K +1.41%G +0.050%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -8.45%E -6.50%K -28.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 11:59
Dabble (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +3.53%E +1.01%K +1.41%G +0.050%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -9.86%E -7.71%K -35.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 11:58
TAB3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +3.53%E +1.01%K +1.41%G +0.050%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -9.86%E -7.71%K -35.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 12:00
NetBet (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV +2.05%E +0.595%K +0.838%G +0.017%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -9.86%E -7.71%K -35.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 11:55
BetAnything3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +0.574%E +0.169%K +0.239%G +0.001%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 11:49
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.574%E +0.169%K +0.239%G +0.001%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.45%E -6.50%K -28.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 11:49
888sport (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.574%E +0.169%K +0.239%G +0.001%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.45%E -6.50%K -28.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 11:48
Mr Green (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.574%E +0.169%K +0.239%G +0.001%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.45%E -6.50%K -28.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 11:48
DraftKings3.38I 29.59%NM 28.09%EV -0.018%E -0.005%K -0.008%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.91%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 11:59
FanDuel3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -0.906%E -0.270%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 11:50
Neds3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -0.906%E -0.270%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 11:49
Ladbrokes (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -0.906%E -0.270%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 11:49
Betr (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -0.906%E -0.270%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -7.75%E -5.92%K -25.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 11:53
SportsBet3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48%EV -1.20%E -0.360%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 11:49
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.38%E -0.723%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 11:49
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -2.38%E -0.723%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -8.45%E -6.50%K -28.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-30 11:59
Codere (IT)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 11:44
ReBet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 11:44
BetUS3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 11:53
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 11:49
betfred_uk3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 11:49
PointsBet (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 11:49
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.53%E -2.57%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 11:49
Unibet (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 11:44
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 11:59
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 11:49
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.64%E -4.21%K -16.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 11:59
Unibet (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.64%E -4.21%K -16.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 11:59
Svenska Spel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.64%E -4.21%K -16.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 12:00
betPARX3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.64%E -4.21%K -16.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 11:59
theScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 11:59
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.45%E -6.50%K -28.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-30 11:59
1xBet3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -5.64%E -1.77%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 11:50
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.82%E -2.17%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 11:49
MyBookie.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.82%E -2.17%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 11:49
GTbets3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -6.82%E -2.17%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.64%E -4.21%K -16.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 11:50
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 11:59
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 11:59
Hard Rock Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 11:59
Betsson3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 11:49
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 11:59
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 11:41
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 11:59
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 11:59
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-30 11:59
Bally Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-30 11:59
NordicBet3.09I 32.36%NM 29.93%EV -8.60%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.07%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-30 11:59
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -5.64%E -4.21%K -16.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 11:59
LeoVegas3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-30 11:59
Fliff3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 69.95%EV -7.75%E -5.92%K -25.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-30 11:59
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.82%E -2.04%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 12:00
ATG (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.82%E -2.04%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 12:00
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 11:59
Caesars3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 11:50
Betclic (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-30 11:49
Winamax (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-30 12:00
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -12.74%E -4.32%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 11:59
PMU (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -12.74%E -4.32%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.75%EV -14.81%E -5.14%K -7.88%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.25%EV -5.64%E -4.21%K -16.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-30 12:00
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.27%EV -18.65%E -6.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 67.73%EV -7.75%E -5.92%K -25.00%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-30 11:59
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%0.8%2026-06-30 12:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%0.8%2026-06-30 12:00
Matchbook3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85%0.9%2026-06-30 12:00
Smarkets3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95%1.1%2026-06-30 12:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82%1.9%2026-06-30 12:00
ProphetX3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%2.5%2026-06-30 12:00
Novig3.51I 28.49%NM 27.33%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.67%4.2%2026-06-30 11:59