Die Wettquotenschule

Pablo Llamas Ruiz v Zachary Svajda

Spielbeginn: 2026-06-30 12:01 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

64 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Pablo Llamas Ruiz (Heim)

Prognose 29.58%3.38faire Quote
EV +7.97%
Vorteil +2.18%
Kelly +3.01%
Wachstum +0.240%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.65

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
26.23%29.42%29.67%32.27%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.753.203.203.6536.36%31.21%31.25%27.40%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Zachary Svajda (Auswärts)

Prognose 70.42%1.42faire Quote
EV -2.82%
Vorteil -2.04%
Kelly -7.42%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.38

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
67.73%70.58%70.33%73.77%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.281.331.331.3878.13%75.08%75.19%72.46%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (64 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV +7.97%E +2.18%K +3.01%G +0.240%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -7.75%E -5.92%K -25.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 12:00
PlayUp3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV +6.49%E +1.80%K +2.50%G +0.162%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -9.86%E -7.71%K -35.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 11:58
Everygame3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV +5.01%E +1.41%K +1.96%G +0.098%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -9.86%E -7.71%K -35.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 11:50
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +3.53%E +1.01%K +1.41%G +0.050%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -8.45%E -6.50%K -28.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 11:59
Dabble (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +3.53%E +1.01%K +1.41%G +0.050%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -9.86%E -7.71%K -35.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 11:58
TAB3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +3.53%E +1.01%K +1.41%G +0.050%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -9.86%E -7.71%K -35.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 12:00
NetBet (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV +2.05%E +0.595%K +0.838%G +0.017%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -9.86%E -7.71%K -35.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 11:55
BetAnything3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +0.574%E +0.169%K +0.239%G +0.001%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 11:49
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.574%E +0.169%K +0.239%G +0.001%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.45%E -6.50%K -28.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 11:49
888sport (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.574%E +0.169%K +0.239%G +0.001%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.45%E -6.50%K -28.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 11:48
Mr Green (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.574%E +0.169%K +0.239%G +0.001%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.45%E -6.50%K -28.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 11:48
DraftKings3.38I 29.59%NM 28.09%EV -0.018%E -0.005%K -0.008%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.91%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 11:59
FanDuel3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -0.906%E -0.270%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 11:50
Neds3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -0.906%E -0.270%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 11:49
Ladbrokes (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -0.906%E -0.270%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 11:49
Betr (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -0.906%E -0.270%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -7.75%E -5.92%K -25.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 11:53
SportsBet3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48%EV -1.20%E -0.360%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 11:49
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.38%E -0.723%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 11:49
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -2.38%E -0.723%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -8.45%E -6.50%K -28.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-30 11:59
Codere (IT)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 11:44
ReBet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 11:44
BetUS3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 11:53
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 11:49
betfred_uk3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 11:49
PointsBet (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.86%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 11:49
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.53%E -2.57%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 11:49
Unibet (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 11:44
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 11:59
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 11:49
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.64%E -4.21%K -16.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 11:59
Unibet (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.64%E -4.21%K -16.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 11:59
Svenska Spel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.64%E -4.21%K -16.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 12:00
betPARX3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.64%E -4.21%K -16.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 11:59
theScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 11:59
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.45%E -6.50%K -28.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-30 11:59
1xBet3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -5.64%E -1.77%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 11:50
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.82%E -2.17%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 11:49
MyBookie.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.82%E -2.17%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 11:49
GTbets3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -6.82%E -2.17%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.64%E -4.21%K -16.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 11:50
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 11:59
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 11:59
Hard Rock Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 11:59
Betsson3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 11:49
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.93%E -3.65%K -14.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 11:59
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 11:41
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 11:59
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.34%E -4.77%K -19.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 11:59
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-30 11:59
Bally Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-30 11:59
NordicBet3.09I 32.36%NM 29.93%EV -8.60%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.07%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-30 11:59
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -5.64%E -4.21%K -16.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 11:59
LeoVegas3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-30 11:59
Fliff3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 69.95%EV -7.75%E -5.92%K -25.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-30 11:59
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.82%E -2.04%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 12:00
ATG (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.82%E -2.04%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 12:00
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 11:59
Caesars3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 11:50
Betclic (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-30 11:49
Winamax (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -7.05%E -5.34%K -22.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-30 12:00
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -12.74%E -4.32%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 11:59
PMU (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -12.74%E -4.32%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -4.23%E -3.11%K -11.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.75%EV -14.81%E -5.14%K -7.88%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.25%EV -5.64%E -4.21%K -16.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-30 12:00
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.27%EV -18.65%E -6.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 67.73%EV -7.75%E -5.92%K -25.00%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-30 11:59
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%0.8%2026-06-30 12:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%0.8%2026-06-30 12:00
Matchbook3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85%0.9%2026-06-30 12:00
Smarkets3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95%1.1%2026-06-30 12:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82%1.9%2026-06-30 12:00
ProphetX3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%2.5%2026-06-30 12:00
Novig3.51I 28.49%NM 27.33%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.67%4.2%2026-06-30 11:59