Школа коэффициентов

Matteo Arnaldi v Quentin Halys

Начало: 2026-06-30 11:35 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

66 букмекерских контор (22 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Matteo Arnaldi (Хозяева)

Прогноз 43.98%2.27справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.05%
Преимущество -0.468%
Kelly -0.842%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.25

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
42.08%43.93%44.23%45.41%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.052.182.192.2548.78%45.94%45.66%44.44%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Quentin Halys (Гости)

Прогноз 56.02%1.78справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.96%
Преимущество -1.12%
Kelly -2.61%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.75

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
54.59%56.07%55.77%57.92%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.621.681.671.7561.73%59.62%59.88%57.14%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (66 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиМаржаОбновлено
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -4.20%E -2.46%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-30 11:24
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 11:24
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 11:29
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:29
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:29
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:29
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:30
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:30
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:30
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:28
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:29
Bally Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:29
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:29
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:29
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:29
Codere (IT)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -1.93%E -0.867%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -5.32%E -3.15%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 11:24
ReBet2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -1.93%E -0.867%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -5.32%E -3.15%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 11:24
Marathon Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.93%E -0.867%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:29
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -1.93%E -0.867%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -8.68%E -5.33%K -13.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 11:30
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -1.93%E -0.867%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -8.68%E -5.33%K -13.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 11:30
PMU (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -1.93%E -0.867%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -9.24%E -5.70%K -14.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-30 11:29
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -2.37%E -1.07%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.88%E -3.50%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 11:29
GTbets2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -2.37%E -1.07%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 11:29
Pinnacle2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.52%E -1.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-30 11:30
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 11:29
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.88%E -3.50%K -8.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 11:29
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 11:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 11:29
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 11:30
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 11:25
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -7.00%E -4.22%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 11:29
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 11:30
BetMGM2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -4.13%E -1.90%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 11:29
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.96%E -1.12%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 11:28
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.52%E -1.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 11:28
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.20%E -2.46%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 11:28
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.20%E -2.46%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 11:29
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.20%E -2.46%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 11:29
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 11:30
MyBookie.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 11:30
Dabble (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.88%E -3.50%K -8.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 11:30
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 11:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 11:29
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 11:30
NetBet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 11:29
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 11:29
FanDuel2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.89%E -2.75%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.08%E -1.78%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 11:29
BetUS2.13I 46.95%NM 44.39%EV -6.33%E -2.97%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.61%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 11:29
SportsBet2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -7.21%E -3.42%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -3.08%E -1.78%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 11:29
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.08%E -1.78%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:30
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.08%E -1.78%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.08%E -1.78%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:29
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.08%E -1.78%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:30
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.64%E -2.12%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 11:28
BetAnything2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.20%E -2.46%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 11:29
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.20%E -2.46%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 11:28
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 11:30
Betsson2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 11:29
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 11:30
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 11:29
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 11:22
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 11:30
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 11:30
DraftKings2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -8.53%E -4.10%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -3.08%E -1.78%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 11:30
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.85%E -4.80%K -9.38%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-30 11:30
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (7)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
ProphetX2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%0.2%2026-06-30 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-06-30 11:30
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-06-30 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-06-30 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-06-30 11:29
Novig2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%1.9%2026-06-30 11:30
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%2.0%2026-06-30 11:30