La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Matteo Arnaldi v Quentin Halys
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Matteo Arnaldi (Casa)
Previsione 43.98%2.27quota equa
EV -1.05%
Vantaggio -0.468%
Kelly -0.842%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.25
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.08%43.93%44.23%45.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.052.182.192.2548.78%45.94%45.66%44.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quentin Halys (Trasferta)
Previsione 56.02%1.78quota equa
EV -1.96%
Vantaggio -1.12%
Kelly -2.61%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.75
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.59%56.07%55.77%57.92%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.621.681.671.7561.73%59.62%59.88%57.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (66 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -4.20%E -2.46%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-30 11:24 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 11:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Unibet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Casumo | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| TABtouch | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Grosvenor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| LeoVegas | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| BetRivers | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:28 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Bally Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| betPARX | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -1.93%E -0.867%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -5.32%E -3.15%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 11:24 |
| ReBet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -1.93%E -0.867%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -5.32%E -3.15%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 11:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.93%E -0.867%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -1.93%E -0.867%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -8.68%E -5.33%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -1.93%E -0.867%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -8.68%E -5.33%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -1.93%E -0.867%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -9.24%E -5.70%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| 1xBet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -2.37%E -1.07%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.88%E -3.50%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| GTbets | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -2.37%E -1.07%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Pinnacle | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.52%E -1.45%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| TAB | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.88%E -3.50%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| BoyleSports | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| betfred_uk | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 11:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -7.00%E -4.22%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| BetMGM | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -4.13%E -1.90%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.96%E -1.12%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-30 11:28 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.52%E -1.45%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 11:28 |
| Bovada | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.20%E -2.46%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:28 |
| Fanatics | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.20%E -2.46%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| theScore Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.20%E -2.46%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.88%E -3.50%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Fliff | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| FanDuel | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.89%E -2.75%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.08%E -1.78%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| BetUS | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.39%EV -6.33%E -2.97%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.61%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| SportsBet | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -7.21%E -3.42%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -3.08%E -1.78%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.08%E -1.78%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.08%E -1.78%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.08%E -1.78%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Sky Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.08%E -1.78%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.64%E -2.12%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 11:28 |
| BetAnything | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.20%E -2.46%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Caesars | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.20%E -2.46%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 11:28 |
| Everygame | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Betsson | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| NordicBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 11:22 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| DraftKings | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -8.53%E -4.10%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -3.08%E -1.78%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.85%E -4.80%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35% | 0.2% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 0.5% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Matchbook | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 0.5% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 0.6% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 0.6% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Novig | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39% | 1.9% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Smarkets | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36% | 2.0% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |