Szkoła KursówJęzyk:Polski
Matteo Arnaldi v Quentin Halys
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Matteo Arnaldi (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 43.98%2.27kurs godziwy
EV -1.05%
Przewaga -0.468%
Kelly -0.842%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.25
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
42.08%43.93%44.23%45.41%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.052.182.192.2548.78%45.94%45.66%44.44%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Quentin Halys (Goście)
Prognoza 56.02%1.78kurs godziwy
EV -1.96%
Przewaga -1.12%
Kelly -2.61%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.75
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
54.59%56.07%55.77%57.92%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.621.681.671.7561.73%59.62%59.88%57.14%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Kursy bukmacherskie (66 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -4.20%E -2.46%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-30 11:24 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 11:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Unibet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Casumo | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| TABtouch | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Grosvenor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| LeoVegas | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| BetRivers | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:28 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Bally Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| betPARX | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -1.93%E -0.867%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -5.32%E -3.15%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 11:24 |
| ReBet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -1.93%E -0.867%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -5.32%E -3.15%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 11:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.93%E -0.867%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -1.93%E -0.867%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -8.68%E -5.33%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -1.93%E -0.867%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -8.68%E -5.33%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -1.93%E -0.867%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -9.24%E -5.70%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| 1xBet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -2.37%E -1.07%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.88%E -3.50%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| GTbets | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -2.37%E -1.07%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Pinnacle | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.52%E -1.45%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| TAB | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.88%E -3.50%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| BoyleSports | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| betfred_uk | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 11:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -7.00%E -4.22%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| BetMGM | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -4.13%E -1.90%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.96%E -1.12%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-30 11:28 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.52%E -1.45%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 11:28 |
| Bovada | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.20%E -2.46%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:28 |
| Fanatics | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.20%E -2.46%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| theScore Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.20%E -2.46%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.88%E -3.50%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Fliff | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| FanDuel | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.89%E -2.75%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.08%E -1.78%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| BetUS | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.39%EV -6.33%E -2.97%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.61%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| SportsBet | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -7.21%E -3.42%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -3.08%E -1.78%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.08%E -1.78%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.08%E -1.78%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.08%E -1.78%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Sky Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.08%E -1.78%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.64%E -2.12%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 11:28 |
| BetAnything | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.20%E -2.46%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Caesars | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.20%E -2.46%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 11:28 |
| Everygame | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Betsson | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| NordicBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 11:22 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| DraftKings | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -8.53%E -4.10%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -3.08%E -1.78%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.85%E -4.80%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35% | 0.2% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 0.5% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Matchbook | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 0.5% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 0.6% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 0.6% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Novig | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39% | 1.9% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Smarkets | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36% | 2.0% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |