Die Wettquotenschule

Matteo Arnaldi v Quentin Halys

Spielbeginn: 2026-06-30 11:35 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

66 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Matteo Arnaldi (Heim)

Prognose 43.98%2.27faire Quote
EV -1.05%
Vorteil -0.468%
Kelly -0.842%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.25

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
42.08%43.93%44.23%45.41%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.052.182.192.2548.78%45.94%45.66%44.44%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Quentin Halys (Auswärts)

Prognose 56.02%1.78faire Quote
EV -1.96%
Vorteil -1.12%
Kelly -2.61%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.75

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
54.59%56.07%55.77%57.92%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.621.681.671.7561.73%59.62%59.88%57.14%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (66 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -4.20%E -2.46%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-30 11:24
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 11:24
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 11:29
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:29
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:29
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:29
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:30
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:30
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:30
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:28
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:29
Bally Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:29
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:29
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:29
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:29
Codere (IT)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -1.93%E -0.867%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -5.32%E -3.15%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 11:24
ReBet2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -1.93%E -0.867%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -5.32%E -3.15%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 11:24
Marathon Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.93%E -0.867%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:29
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -1.93%E -0.867%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -8.68%E -5.33%K -13.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 11:30
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -1.93%E -0.867%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -8.68%E -5.33%K -13.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 11:30
PMU (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -1.93%E -0.867%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -9.24%E -5.70%K -14.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-30 11:29
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -2.37%E -1.07%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.88%E -3.50%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 11:29
GTbets2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -2.37%E -1.07%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 11:29
Pinnacle2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.52%E -1.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-30 11:30
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 11:29
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.88%E -3.50%K -8.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 11:29
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 11:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 11:29
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 11:30
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 11:25
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -7.00%E -4.22%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 11:29
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 11:30
BetMGM2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -4.13%E -1.90%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 11:29
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.96%E -1.12%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 11:28
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.52%E -1.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 11:28
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.20%E -2.46%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 11:28
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.20%E -2.46%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 11:29
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.20%E -2.46%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 11:29
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 11:30
MyBookie.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 11:30
Dabble (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.88%E -3.50%K -8.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 11:30
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 11:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 11:29
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 11:30
NetBet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 11:29
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 11:29
FanDuel2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.89%E -2.75%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.08%E -1.78%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 11:29
BetUS2.13I 46.95%NM 44.39%EV -6.33%E -2.97%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.61%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 11:29
SportsBet2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -7.21%E -3.42%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -3.08%E -1.78%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 11:29
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.08%E -1.78%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:30
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.08%E -1.78%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.08%E -1.78%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:29
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.08%E -1.78%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:30
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.64%E -2.12%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 11:28
BetAnything2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.20%E -2.46%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 11:29
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.20%E -2.46%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 11:28
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 11:30
Betsson2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 11:29
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 11:30
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 11:29
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 11:22
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 11:30
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 11:30
DraftKings2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -8.53%E -4.10%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -3.08%E -1.78%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 11:30
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.85%E -4.80%K -9.38%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-30 11:30
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
ProphetX2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%0.2%2026-06-30 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-06-30 11:30
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-06-30 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-06-30 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-06-30 11:29
Novig2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%1.9%2026-06-30 11:30
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%2.0%2026-06-30 11:30