A Escola das Odds

Matteo Arnaldi v Quentin Halys

Início: 2026-06-30 11:35 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Matteo Arnaldi (Local)

Previsão 43.98%2.27odd justa
EV -1.05%
Vantagem -0.468%
Kelly -0.842%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.08%43.93%44.23%45.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.052.182.192.2548.78%45.94%45.66%44.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quentin Halys (Visitante)

Previsão 56.02%1.78odd justa
EV -1.96%
Vantagem -1.12%
Kelly -2.61%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.59%56.07%55.77%57.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.621.681.671.7561.73%59.62%59.88%57.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -4.20%E -2.46%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-30 11:24
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 11:24
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 11:29
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:29
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:29
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:29
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:30
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:30
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:30
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:28
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:29
Bally Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:29
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:29
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:29
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:29
Codere (IT)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -1.93%E -0.867%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -5.32%E -3.15%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 11:24
ReBet2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -1.93%E -0.867%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -5.32%E -3.15%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 11:24
Marathon Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.93%E -0.867%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:29
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -1.93%E -0.867%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -8.68%E -5.33%K -13.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 11:30
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -1.93%E -0.867%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -8.68%E -5.33%K -13.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 11:30
PMU (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -1.93%E -0.867%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -9.24%E -5.70%K -14.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-30 11:29
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -2.37%E -1.07%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.88%E -3.50%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 11:29
GTbets2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -2.37%E -1.07%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 11:29
Pinnacle2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.52%E -1.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-30 11:30
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 11:29
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.88%E -3.50%K -8.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 11:29
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 11:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 11:29
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 11:30
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 11:25
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -7.00%E -4.22%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 11:29
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 11:30
BetMGM2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -4.13%E -1.90%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 11:29
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.96%E -1.12%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 11:28
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.52%E -1.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 11:28
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.20%E -2.46%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 11:28
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.20%E -2.46%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 11:29
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.20%E -2.46%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 11:29
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 11:30
MyBookie.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 11:30
Dabble (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.88%E -3.50%K -8.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 11:30
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 11:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 11:29
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 11:30
NetBet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 11:29
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 11:29
FanDuel2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.89%E -2.75%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.08%E -1.78%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 11:29
BetUS2.13I 46.95%NM 44.39%EV -6.33%E -2.97%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.61%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 11:29
SportsBet2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -7.21%E -3.42%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -3.08%E -1.78%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 11:29
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.08%E -1.78%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:30
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.08%E -1.78%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.08%E -1.78%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:29
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.08%E -1.78%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:30
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.64%E -2.12%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 11:28
BetAnything2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.20%E -2.46%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 11:29
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.20%E -2.46%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 11:28
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 11:30
Betsson2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 11:29
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 11:30
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 11:29
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 11:22
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 11:30
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 11:30
DraftKings2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -8.53%E -4.10%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -3.08%E -1.78%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 11:30
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.85%E -4.80%K -9.38%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-30 11:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%0.2%2026-06-30 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-06-30 11:30
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-06-30 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-06-30 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-06-30 11:29
Novig2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%1.9%2026-06-30 11:30
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%2.0%2026-06-30 11:30