مدرسة الاحتمالات

Matteo Arnaldi v Quentin Halys

البداية: 2026-06-30 11:35 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

66 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Matteo Arnaldi (المضيف)

التنبؤ 43.98%2.27السعر العادل
EV -1.05%
الأفضلية -0.468%
Kelly -0.842%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.08%43.93%44.23%45.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.052.182.192.2548.78%45.94%45.66%44.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Quentin Halys (الضيف)

التنبؤ 56.02%1.78السعر العادل
EV -1.96%
الأفضلية -1.12%
Kelly -2.61%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
54.59%56.07%55.77%57.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.621.681.671.7561.73%59.62%59.88%57.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (66 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -4.20%E -2.46%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-30 11:24
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 11:24
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 11:29
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:29
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:29
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:29
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:30
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:30
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:30
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:28
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:29
Bally Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:29
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:29
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:29
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:29
Codere (IT)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -1.93%E -0.867%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -5.32%E -3.15%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 11:24
ReBet2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -1.93%E -0.867%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -5.32%E -3.15%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 11:24
Marathon Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.93%E -0.867%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:29
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -1.93%E -0.867%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -8.68%E -5.33%K -13.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 11:30
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -1.93%E -0.867%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -8.68%E -5.33%K -13.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 11:30
PMU (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -1.93%E -0.867%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -9.24%E -5.70%K -14.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-30 11:29
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -2.37%E -1.07%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.88%E -3.50%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 11:29
GTbets2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -2.37%E -1.07%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 11:29
Pinnacle2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.52%E -1.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-30 11:30
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 11:29
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.88%E -3.50%K -8.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 11:29
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 11:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 11:29
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 11:30
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 11:25
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -7.00%E -4.22%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 11:29
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 11:30
BetMGM2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -4.13%E -1.90%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 11:29
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.96%E -1.12%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 11:28
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.52%E -1.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 11:28
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.20%E -2.46%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 11:28
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.20%E -2.46%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 11:29
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.20%E -2.46%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 11:29
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 11:30
MyBookie.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 11:30
Dabble (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.88%E -3.50%K -8.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 11:30
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 11:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 11:29
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 11:30
NetBet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 11:29
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 11:29
FanDuel2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.89%E -2.75%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.08%E -1.78%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 11:29
BetUS2.13I 46.95%NM 44.39%EV -6.33%E -2.97%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.61%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 11:29
SportsBet2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -7.21%E -3.42%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -3.08%E -1.78%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 11:29
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.08%E -1.78%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:30
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.08%E -1.78%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.08%E -1.78%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:29
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.08%E -1.78%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:30
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.64%E -2.12%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 11:28
BetAnything2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.20%E -2.46%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 11:29
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.20%E -2.46%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 11:28
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 11:30
Betsson2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 11:29
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 11:30
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 11:29
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 11:22
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 11:30
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 11:30
DraftKings2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -8.53%E -4.10%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -3.08%E -1.78%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 11:30
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.85%E -4.80%K -9.38%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-30 11:30
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
ProphetX2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%0.2%2026-06-30 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-06-30 11:30
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-06-30 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-06-30 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-06-30 11:29
Novig2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%1.9%2026-06-30 11:30
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%2.0%2026-06-30 11:30