L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Matteo Arnaldi v Quentin Halys
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Matteo Arnaldi (Local)
Prévision 43.98%2.27cote équitable
EV -1.05%
Avantage -0.468%
Kelly -0.842%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.08%43.93%44.23%45.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.182.192.2548.78%45.94%45.66%44.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Quentin Halys (Visiteur)
Prévision 56.02%1.78cote équitable
EV -1.96%
Avantage -1.12%
Kelly -2.61%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.59%56.07%55.77%57.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.681.671.7561.73%59.62%59.88%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (66 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -4.20%E -2.46%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-30 11:24 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 11:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Unibet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Casumo | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| TABtouch | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Grosvenor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| LeoVegas | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| BetRivers | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:28 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Bally Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| betPARX | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.05%E -0.468%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -1.93%E -0.867%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -5.32%E -3.15%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 11:24 |
| ReBet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -1.93%E -0.867%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -5.32%E -3.15%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 11:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.93%E -0.867%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -1.93%E -0.867%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -8.68%E -5.33%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -1.93%E -0.867%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -8.68%E -5.33%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -1.93%E -0.867%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -9.24%E -5.70%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| 1xBet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -2.37%E -1.07%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.88%E -3.50%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| GTbets | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -2.37%E -1.07%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Pinnacle | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.52%E -1.45%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| TAB | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.88%E -3.50%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| BoyleSports | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| betfred_uk | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 11:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -7.00%E -4.22%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| BetMGM | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -4.13%E -1.90%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.96%E -1.12%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-30 11:28 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.52%E -1.45%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 11:28 |
| Bovada | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.20%E -2.46%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:28 |
| Fanatics | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.20%E -2.46%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| theScore Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.20%E -2.46%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.88%E -3.50%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Fliff | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| FanDuel | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.89%E -2.75%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.08%E -1.78%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| BetUS | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.39%EV -6.33%E -2.97%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.61%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| SportsBet | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -7.21%E -3.42%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -3.08%E -1.78%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.08%E -1.78%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.08%E -1.78%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.08%E -1.78%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Sky Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.08%E -1.78%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.64%E -2.12%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 11:28 |
| BetAnything | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.20%E -2.46%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Caesars | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.20%E -2.46%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 11:28 |
| Everygame | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Betsson | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| NordicBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 11:22 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| DraftKings | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -8.53%E -4.10%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -3.08%E -1.78%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.85%E -4.80%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35% | 0.2% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 0.5% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Matchbook | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 0.5% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 0.6% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 0.6% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Novig | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39% | 1.9% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Smarkets | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36% | 2.0% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |