Language:English
Damir Dzumhur v Arthur Fery
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Damir Dzumhur (Local)
Prediction 21.75%4.60fair odd
EV +3.29%
Edge +0.692%
Kelly +0.877%
Growth +0.029%
assuming max odds 4.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.90%21.81%21.85%23.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.354.354.7525.00%22.99%22.99%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Arthur Fery (Visit)
Prediction 78.25%1.28fair odd
EV -2.96%
Edge -2.39%
Kelly -12.35%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.24
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.34%78.19%78.15%80.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.211.221.2484.75%82.39%81.97%80.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Damir Dzumhur (Local): 21.75%; Arthur Fery (Visit): 78.25%. For Damir Dzumhur (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.60. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.29%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +3.29%E +0.692%K +0.877%G +0.029% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +3.29%E +0.692%K +0.877%G +0.029% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -7.66%E -6.49%K -42.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.74I 21.10%NM 20.47%EV +3.07%E +0.648%K +0.821%G +0.025% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.53%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +2.20%E +0.469%K +0.595%G +0.013% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.88%E -5.78%K -36.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.64I 21.55%NM 21.09%EV +0.897%E +0.193%K +0.247%G +0.002% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.91%EV -2.96%E -2.39%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +0.028%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 11:28 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -3.23%E -0.727%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -4.32%E -0.982%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.75%E -3.05%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 11:28 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -4.32%E -0.982%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.75%E -3.05%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -4.32%E -0.982%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.75%E -3.05%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -4.32%E -0.982%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.75%E -3.05%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.32%E -0.982%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.32%E -0.982%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.32%E -0.982%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.32%E -0.982%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.84%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.88%EV -6.06%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.12%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.50%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.50%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.50%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -6.50%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -6.88%E -5.78%K -36.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.58%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.58%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.58%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.58%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.24%EV -8.02%E -1.90%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.76%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.24%EV -8.02%E -1.90%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.76%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.67%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.67%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.67%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -9.76%E -2.35%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -10.84%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.75%E -3.05%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -10.84%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.96%E -2.39%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.96%E -2.39%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 11:28 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-30 11:26 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 4.95I 20.20%NM 20.03% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.97% | 0.8% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80% | 1.1% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80% | 1.1% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80% | 1.1% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80% | 1.1% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.40% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.60% | 2.1% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Novig◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.01% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.99% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |