语言:简体中文
Damir Dzumhur v Arthur Fery
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Damir Dzumhur (主队)
预测 21.75%4.60公平赔率
EV +3.29%
优势 +0.692%
Kelly +0.877%
增长率 +0.029%
假设最高赔率为 4.75
博彩公司预测分布
19.90%21.81%21.85%23.66%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.004.354.354.7525.00%22.99%22.99%21.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
Arthur Fery (客队)
预测 78.25%1.28公平赔率
EV -2.96%
优势 -2.39%
Kelly -12.35%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.24
博彩公司预测分布
76.34%78.19%78.15%80.10%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.181.211.221.2484.75%82.39%81.97%80.65%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Damir Dzumhur (主队)：21.75%；Arthur Fery (客队)：78.25%。 对于“Damir Dzumhur (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.60。 当时有6家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.75，对应+3.29%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (63 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +3.29%E +0.692%K +0.877%G +0.029% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +3.29%E +0.692%K +0.877%G +0.029% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -7.66%E -6.49%K -42.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.74I 21.10%NM 20.47%EV +3.07%E +0.648%K +0.821%G +0.025% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.53%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +2.20%E +0.469%K +0.595%G +0.013% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.88%E -5.78%K -36.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.64I 21.55%NM 21.09%EV +0.897%E +0.193%K +0.247%G +0.002% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.91%EV -2.96%E -2.39%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +0.028%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 11:28 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -3.23%E -0.727%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -4.32%E -0.982%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.75%E -3.05%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 11:28 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -4.32%E -0.982%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.75%E -3.05%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -4.32%E -0.982%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.75%E -3.05%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -4.32%E -0.982%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.75%E -3.05%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.32%E -0.982%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.32%E -0.982%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.32%E -0.982%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.32%E -0.982%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.84%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.88%EV -6.06%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.12%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.50%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.50%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.50%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -6.50%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -6.88%E -5.78%K -36.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.58%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.58%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.58%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.58%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.24%EV -8.02%E -1.90%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.76%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.24%EV -8.02%E -1.90%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.76%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.67%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.67%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.67%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -9.76%E -2.35%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -10.84%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.75%E -3.05%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -10.84%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.96%E -2.39%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.96%E -2.39%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 11:28 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-30 11:26 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 4.95I 20.20%NM 20.03% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.97% | 0.8% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80% | 1.1% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80% | 1.1% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80% | 1.1% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80% | 1.1% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.40% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.60% | 2.1% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Novig◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.01% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.99% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |