Idioma:Español
Damir Dzumhur v Arthur Fery
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Damir Dzumhur (Local)
Predicción 21.75%4.60momio equitativo
EV +3.29%
Ventaja +0.692%
Kelly +0.877%
Crecimiento +0.029%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.90%21.81%21.85%23.66%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.004.354.354.7525.00%22.99%22.99%21.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Arthur Fery (Visitante)
Predicción 78.25%1.28momio equitativo
EV -2.96%
Ventaja -2.39%
Kelly -12.35%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.24
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
76.34%78.19%78.15%80.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.181.211.221.2484.75%82.39%81.97%80.65%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Damir Dzumhur (Local): 21.75%; Arthur Fery (Visitante): 78.25%. Para Damir Dzumhur (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.60. 6 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.75, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.29%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +3.29%E +0.692%K +0.877%G +0.029% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +3.29%E +0.692%K +0.877%G +0.029% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -7.66%E -6.49%K -42.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.74I 21.10%NM 20.47%EV +3.07%E +0.648%K +0.821%G +0.025% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.53%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +2.20%E +0.469%K +0.595%G +0.013% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.88%E -5.78%K -36.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.64I 21.55%NM 21.09%EV +0.897%E +0.193%K +0.247%G +0.002% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.91%EV -2.96%E -2.39%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +0.028%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 11:28 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -3.23%E -0.727%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -4.32%E -0.982%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.75%E -3.05%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 11:28 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -4.32%E -0.982%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.75%E -3.05%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -4.32%E -0.982%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.75%E -3.05%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -4.32%E -0.982%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.75%E -3.05%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.32%E -0.982%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.32%E -0.982%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.32%E -0.982%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.32%E -0.982%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.84%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.88%EV -6.06%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.12%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.50%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.50%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.50%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -6.50%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -6.88%E -5.78%K -36.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.58%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.58%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.58%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.58%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.24%EV -8.02%E -1.90%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.76%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.24%EV -8.02%E -1.90%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.76%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.67%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.67%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.67%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -9.76%E -2.35%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -10.84%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.75%E -3.05%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -10.84%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.96%E -2.39%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.96%E -2.39%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 11:28 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-30 11:26 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 4.95I 20.20%NM 20.03% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.97% | 0.8% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80% | 1.1% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80% | 1.1% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80% | 1.1% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80% | 1.1% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.40% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.60% | 2.1% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Novig◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.01% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.99% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |