مدرسة الاحتمالات

Damir Dzumhur v Arthur Fery

البداية: 2026-06-30 11:35 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

63 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Damir Dzumhur (المضيف)

التنبؤ 21.75%4.60السعر العادل
EV +3.29%
الأفضلية +0.692%
Kelly +0.877%
النمو +0.029%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.90%21.81%21.85%23.66%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.004.354.354.7525.00%22.99%22.99%21.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Arthur Fery (الضيف)

التنبؤ 78.25%1.28السعر العادل
EV -2.96%
الأفضلية -2.39%
Kelly -12.35%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.24

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
76.34%78.19%78.15%80.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.181.211.221.2484.75%82.39%81.97%80.65%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +3.29%E +0.692%K +0.877%G +0.029%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-30 11:29
TAB4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +3.29%E +0.692%K +0.877%G +0.029%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -7.66%E -6.49%K -42.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 11:29
Pinnacle4.74I 21.10%NM 20.47%EV +3.07%E +0.648%K +0.821%G +0.025%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.53%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-30 11:30
SportsBet4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +2.20%E +0.469%K +0.595%G +0.013%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.88%E -5.78%K -36.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 11:29
1xBet4.64I 21.55%NM 21.09%EV +0.897%E +0.193%K +0.247%G +0.002%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.91%EV -2.96%E -2.39%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-30 11:29
FanDuel4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +0.028%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 11:29
Bovada4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 11:28
William Hill4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 11:29
PlayUp4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 11:30
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 11:29
888sport4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 11:29
BoyleSports4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 11:29
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 11:30
Sky Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 11:30
Mr Green (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 11:30
888sport (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 11:30
BetUS4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -3.23%E -0.727%K -0.937%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 11:29
Unibet (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -4.32%E -0.982%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.75%E -3.05%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 11:28
Winamax (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -4.32%E -0.982%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.75%E -3.05%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 11:29
Codere (IT)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -4.32%E -0.982%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.75%E -3.05%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 11:29
ReBet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -4.32%E -0.982%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.75%E -3.05%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 11:30
PointsBet (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.32%E -0.982%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 11:30
Tipico (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.32%E -0.982%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 11:29
Betclic (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.32%E -0.982%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 11:30
Dabble (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.32%E -0.982%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 11:30
Unibet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 11:29
Casumo4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 11:29
BetRivers4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 11:29
Unibet (NL)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 11:29
TABtouch4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 11:30
LeoVegas4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 11:30
Grosvenor4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 11:30
Unibet (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 11:29
LeoVegas (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 11:29
Fanatics4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 11:29
Svenska Spel4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 11:29
betPARX4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 11:29
ATG (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 11:29
Bally Bet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 11:29
betfred_uk4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.84%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 11:29
DraftKings4.32I 23.15%NM 21.88%EV -6.06%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.12%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 11:30
MyBookie.ag4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.50%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 11:30
BetAnything4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.50%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 11:29
Betr (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.50%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 11:29
NetBet (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -6.50%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -6.88%E -5.78%K -36.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-30 11:29
Marathon Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.58%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 11:29
Hard Rock Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.58%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 11:29
LiveScore Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.58%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 11:30
Virgin Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.58%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 11:30
NordicBet4.23I 23.64%NM 22.24%EV -8.02%E -1.90%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.76%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 11:30
Betsson4.23I 23.64%NM 22.24%EV -8.02%E -1.90%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.76%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 11:29
Unibet (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.67%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 11:29
Winamax (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.67%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 11:29
PMU (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.67%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 11:29
GTbets4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -9.76%E -2.35%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 11:30
theScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -10.84%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.75%E -3.05%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 11:29
BetMGM4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -10.84%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 11:29
Ladbrokes (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.96%E -2.39%K -12.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 11:29
Neds4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.96%E -2.39%K -12.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 11:30
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 11:29
Coral4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 11:30
Caesars4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 11:28
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-30 11:26
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
ProphetX4.95I 20.20%NM 20.03%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.97%0.8%2026-06-30 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80%1.1%2026-06-30 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80%1.1%2026-06-30 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80%1.1%2026-06-30 11:29
Matchbook4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80%1.1%2026-06-30 11:30
Smarkets4.80I 20.83%NM 20.40%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.60%2.1%2026-06-30 11:30
Novig4.55I 21.98%NM 21.01%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.99%4.6%2026-06-30 11:30