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Damir Dzumhur v Arthur Fery
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Damir Dzumhur (Хозяева)
Прогноз 21.75%4.60справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.29%
Преимущество +0.692%
Kelly +0.877%
Рост +0.029%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.75
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
19.90%21.81%21.85%23.66%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.004.354.354.7525.00%22.99%22.99%21.05%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Arthur Fery (Гости)
Прогноз 78.25%1.28справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.96%
Преимущество -2.39%
Kelly -12.35%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.24
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
76.34%78.19%78.15%80.10%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.181.211.221.2484.75%82.39%81.97%80.65%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Damir Dzumhur (Хозяева): 21.75%; Arthur Fery (Гости): 78.25%. Для исхода «Damir Dzumhur (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 4.60. 6 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 4.75, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +3.29%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (63 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +3.29%E +0.692%K +0.877%G +0.029% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +3.29%E +0.692%K +0.877%G +0.029% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -7.66%E -6.49%K -42.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.74I 21.10%NM 20.47%EV +3.07%E +0.648%K +0.821%G +0.025% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.53%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +2.20%E +0.469%K +0.595%G +0.013% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.88%E -5.78%K -36.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.64I 21.55%NM 21.09%EV +0.897%E +0.193%K +0.247%G +0.002% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.91%EV -2.96%E -2.39%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +0.028%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 11:28 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -3.23%E -0.727%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -4.32%E -0.982%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.75%E -3.05%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 11:28 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -4.32%E -0.982%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.75%E -3.05%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -4.32%E -0.982%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.75%E -3.05%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -4.32%E -0.982%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.75%E -3.05%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.32%E -0.982%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.32%E -0.982%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.32%E -0.982%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.32%E -0.982%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.84%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.88%EV -6.06%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.12%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.50%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.50%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.50%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -6.50%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -6.88%E -5.78%K -36.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.58%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.58%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.58%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.58%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.24%EV -8.02%E -1.90%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.76%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.24%EV -8.02%E -1.90%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.76%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.67%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.67%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.67%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -9.76%E -2.35%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -10.84%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.75%E -3.05%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -10.84%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.96%E -2.39%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.96%E -2.39%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 11:28 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-30 11:26 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (7)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 4.95I 20.20%NM 20.03% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.97% | 0.8% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80% | 1.1% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80% | 1.1% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80% | 1.1% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80% | 1.1% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.40% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.60% | 2.1% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Novig◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.01% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.99% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |