Język:Polski
Damir Dzumhur v Arthur Fery
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Damir Dzumhur (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 21.75%4.60kurs godziwy
EV +3.29%
Przewaga +0.692%
Kelly +0.877%
Wzrost +0.029%
przy maksymalnym kursie 4.75
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
19.90%21.81%21.85%23.66%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.004.354.354.7525.00%22.99%22.99%21.05%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Arthur Fery (Goście)
Prognoza 78.25%1.28kurs godziwy
EV -2.96%
Przewaga -2.39%
Kelly -12.35%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.24
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
76.34%78.19%78.15%80.10%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.181.211.221.2484.75%82.39%81.97%80.65%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Damir Dzumhur (Gospodarze): 21.75%; Arthur Fery (Goście): 78.25%. Dla wyniku Damir Dzumhur (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 4.60. 6 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 4.75, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +3.29%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (63 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +3.29%E +0.692%K +0.877%G +0.029% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +3.29%E +0.692%K +0.877%G +0.029% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -7.66%E -6.49%K -42.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.74I 21.10%NM 20.47%EV +3.07%E +0.648%K +0.821%G +0.025% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.53%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +2.20%E +0.469%K +0.595%G +0.013% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.88%E -5.78%K -36.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.64I 21.55%NM 21.09%EV +0.897%E +0.193%K +0.247%G +0.002% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.91%EV -2.96%E -2.39%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +0.028%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 11:28 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -3.23%E -0.727%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -4.32%E -0.982%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.75%E -3.05%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 11:28 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -4.32%E -0.982%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.75%E -3.05%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -4.32%E -0.982%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.75%E -3.05%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -4.32%E -0.982%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.75%E -3.05%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.32%E -0.982%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.32%E -0.982%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.32%E -0.982%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.32%E -0.982%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.84%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.88%EV -6.06%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.12%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.50%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.50%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.50%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -6.50%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -6.88%E -5.78%K -36.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.58%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.58%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.58%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.58%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.24%EV -8.02%E -1.90%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.76%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.24%EV -8.02%E -1.90%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.76%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.67%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.67%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.67%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -9.76%E -2.35%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -10.84%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.75%E -3.05%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -10.84%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.96%E -2.39%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.96%E -2.39%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 11:28 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-30 11:26 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 4.95I 20.20%NM 20.03% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.97% | 0.8% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80% | 1.1% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80% | 1.1% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80% | 1.1% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80% | 1.1% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.40% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.60% | 2.1% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |
| Novig◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.01% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.99% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 11:30 |