L’École des cotes

Damir Dzumhur v Arthur Fery

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-30 11:35 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Damir Dzumhur (Local)

Prévision 21.75%4.60cote équitable
EV +3.29%
Avantage +0.692%
Kelly +0.877%
Croissance +0.029%

avec la cote maximale 4.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.90%21.81%21.85%23.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.354.354.7525.00%22.99%22.99%21.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Arthur Fery (Visiteur)

Prévision 78.25%1.28cote équitable
EV -2.96%
Avantage -2.39%
Kelly -12.35%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.24

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
76.34%78.19%78.15%80.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.181.211.221.2484.75%82.39%81.97%80.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Coolbet4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +3.29%E +0.692%K +0.877%G +0.029%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-30 11:29
TAB4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +3.29%E +0.692%K +0.877%G +0.029%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -7.66%E -6.49%K -42.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 11:29
Pinnacle4.74I 21.10%NM 20.47%EV +3.07%E +0.648%K +0.821%G +0.025%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.53%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-30 11:30
SportsBet4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +2.20%E +0.469%K +0.595%G +0.013%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.88%E -5.78%K -36.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 11:29
1xBet4.64I 21.55%NM 21.09%EV +0.897%E +0.193%K +0.247%G +0.002%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.91%EV -2.96%E -2.39%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-30 11:29
FanDuel4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +0.028%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 11:29
Bovada4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 11:28
William Hill4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 11:29
PlayUp4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 11:30
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 11:29
888sport4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 11:29
BoyleSports4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 11:29
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 11:30
Sky Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 11:30
Mr Green (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 11:30
888sport (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 11:30
BetUS4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -3.23%E -0.727%K -0.937%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 11:29
Unibet (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -4.32%E -0.982%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.75%E -3.05%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 11:28
Winamax (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -4.32%E -0.982%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.75%E -3.05%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 11:29
Codere (IT)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -4.32%E -0.982%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.75%E -3.05%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 11:29
ReBet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -4.32%E -0.982%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.75%E -3.05%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 11:30
PointsBet (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.32%E -0.982%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 11:30
Tipico (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.32%E -0.982%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 11:29
Betclic (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.32%E -0.982%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 11:30
Dabble (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.32%E -0.982%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 11:30
Unibet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 11:29
Casumo4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 11:29
BetRivers4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 11:29
Unibet (NL)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 11:29
TABtouch4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 11:30
LeoVegas4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 11:30
Grosvenor4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 11:30
Unibet (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 11:29
LeoVegas (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 11:29
Fanatics4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 11:29
Svenska Spel4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 11:29
betPARX4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 11:29
ATG (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 11:29
Bally Bet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 11:29
betfred_uk4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.84%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 11:29
DraftKings4.32I 23.15%NM 21.88%EV -6.06%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.12%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 11:30
MyBookie.ag4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.50%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 11:30
BetAnything4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.50%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 11:29
Betr (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.50%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 11:29
NetBet (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -6.50%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -6.88%E -5.78%K -36.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-30 11:29
Marathon Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.58%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 11:29
Hard Rock Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.58%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 11:29
LiveScore Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.58%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 11:30
Virgin Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.58%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 11:30
NordicBet4.23I 23.64%NM 22.24%EV -8.02%E -1.90%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.76%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 11:30
Betsson4.23I 23.64%NM 22.24%EV -8.02%E -1.90%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.76%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 11:29
Unibet (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.67%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 11:29
Winamax (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.67%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 11:29
PMU (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.67%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 11:29
GTbets4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -9.76%E -2.35%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 11:30
theScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -10.84%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.75%E -3.05%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 11:29
BetMGM4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -10.84%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 11:29
Ladbrokes (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.96%E -2.39%K -12.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 11:29
Neds4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.96%E -2.39%K -12.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 11:30
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 11:29
Coral4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 11:30
Caesars4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 11:28
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-30 11:26
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX4.95I 20.20%NM 20.03%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.97%0.8%2026-06-30 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80%1.1%2026-06-30 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80%1.1%2026-06-30 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80%1.1%2026-06-30 11:29
Matchbook4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80%1.1%2026-06-30 11:30
Smarkets4.80I 20.83%NM 20.40%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.60%2.1%2026-06-30 11:30
Novig4.55I 21.98%NM 21.01%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.99%4.6%2026-06-30 11:30