La scuola delle quote

Damir Dzumhur v Arthur Fery

Inizio: 2026-06-30 11:35 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

63 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Damir Dzumhur (Casa)

Previsione 21.75%4.60quota equa
EV +3.29%
Vantaggio +0.692%
Kelly +0.877%
Crescita +0.029%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.90%21.81%21.85%23.66%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.354.354.7525.00%22.99%22.99%21.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Arthur Fery (Trasferta)

Previsione 78.25%1.28quota equa
EV -2.96%
Vantaggio -2.39%
Kelly -12.35%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.24

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
76.34%78.19%78.15%80.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.181.211.221.2484.75%82.39%81.97%80.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +3.29%E +0.692%K +0.877%G +0.029%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-30 11:29
TAB4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +3.29%E +0.692%K +0.877%G +0.029%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -7.66%E -6.49%K -42.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 11:29
Pinnacle4.74I 21.10%NM 20.47%EV +3.07%E +0.648%K +0.821%G +0.025%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.53%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-30 11:30
SportsBet4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +2.20%E +0.469%K +0.595%G +0.013%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.88%E -5.78%K -36.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 11:29
1xBet4.64I 21.55%NM 21.09%EV +0.897%E +0.193%K +0.247%G +0.002%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.91%EV -2.96%E -2.39%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-30 11:29
FanDuel4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +0.028%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 11:29
Bovada4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 11:28
William Hill4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 11:29
PlayUp4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 11:30
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 11:29
888sport4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 11:29
BoyleSports4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 11:29
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 11:30
Sky Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 11:30
Mr Green (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 11:30
888sport (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.477%K -0.613%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 11:30
BetUS4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -3.23%E -0.727%K -0.937%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 11:29
Unibet (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -4.32%E -0.982%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.75%E -3.05%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 11:28
Winamax (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -4.32%E -0.982%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.75%E -3.05%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 11:29
Codere (IT)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -4.32%E -0.982%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.75%E -3.05%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 11:29
ReBet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -4.32%E -0.982%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.75%E -3.05%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 11:30
PointsBet (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.32%E -0.982%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 11:30
Tipico (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.32%E -0.982%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 11:29
Betclic (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.32%E -0.982%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 11:30
Dabble (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.32%E -0.982%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 11:30
Unibet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 11:29
Casumo4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 11:29
BetRivers4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 11:29
Unibet (NL)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 11:29
TABtouch4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 11:30
LeoVegas4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 11:30
Grosvenor4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 11:30
Unibet (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 11:29
LeoVegas (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 11:29
Fanatics4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 11:29
Svenska Spel4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 11:29
betPARX4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 11:29
ATG (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 11:29
Bally Bet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 11:29
betfred_uk4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.84%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 11:29
DraftKings4.32I 23.15%NM 21.88%EV -6.06%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.12%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 11:30
MyBookie.ag4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.50%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 11:30
BetAnything4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.50%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 11:29
Betr (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.50%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 11:29
NetBet (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -6.50%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -6.88%E -5.78%K -36.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-30 11:29
Marathon Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.58%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 11:29
Hard Rock Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.58%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 11:29
LiveScore Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.58%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 11:30
Virgin Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.58%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 11:30
NordicBet4.23I 23.64%NM 22.24%EV -8.02%E -1.90%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.76%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 11:30
Betsson4.23I 23.64%NM 22.24%EV -8.02%E -1.90%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.76%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 11:29
Unibet (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.67%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 11:29
Winamax (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.67%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 11:29
PMU (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.67%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 11:29
GTbets4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -9.76%E -2.35%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 11:30
theScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -10.84%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.75%E -3.05%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 11:29
BetMGM4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -10.84%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 11:29
Ladbrokes (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.96%E -2.39%K -12.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 11:29
Neds4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.96%E -2.39%K -12.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 11:30
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 11:29
Coral4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 11:30
Caesars4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 11:28
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.02%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-30 11:26
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
ProphetX4.95I 20.20%NM 20.03%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.97%0.8%2026-06-30 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80%1.1%2026-06-30 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80%1.1%2026-06-30 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80%1.1%2026-06-30 11:29
Matchbook4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80%1.1%2026-06-30 11:30
Smarkets4.80I 20.83%NM 20.40%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.60%2.1%2026-06-30 11:30
Novig4.55I 21.98%NM 21.01%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.99%4.6%2026-06-30 11:30