Language:English
Rafael Jodar v Alejandro Tabilo
Head to Head
Rafael Jodar (Local)
Prediction 68.70%1.46fair odd
EV -1.07%
Edge -0.741%
Kelly -2.42%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.53%68.62%68.78%70.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.371.371.4475.19%72.73%72.99%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alejandro Tabilo (Visit)
Prediction 31.30%3.20fair odd
EV +0.148%
Edge +0.046%
Kelly +0.067%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.67%31.38%31.22%34.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.023.003.2037.04%33.06%33.33%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Rafael Jodar (Local): 68.70%; Alejandro Tabilo (Visit): 31.30%. For Alejandro Tabilo (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.195. 13 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.200, producing a positive expected value of +0.148%.
Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.56%E -4.83%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +0.148%E +0.046%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-01 07:19 |
| BetRivers | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.148%E +0.046%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 06:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.148%E +0.046%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 06:24 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.148%E +0.046%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 06:24 |
| TABtouch | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.148%E +0.046%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 06:23 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.148%E +0.046%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 06:24 |
| Casumo | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.148%E +0.046%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 06:24 |
| Grosvenor | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.148%E +0.046%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 06:24 |
| Unibet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.148%E +0.046%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 06:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.148%E +0.046%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 06:24 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.148%E +0.046%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 06:24 |
| Bally Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.148%E +0.046%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 06:24 |
| betPARX | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.148%E +0.046%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 06:23 |
| Pinnacle | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -3.81%E -2.72%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -1.42%E -0.450%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-01 06:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -4.50%E -3.24%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -1.42%E -0.450%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-01 06:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -7.94%E -5.92%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -1.42%E -0.450%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-01 06:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -7.94%E -5.92%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -1.42%E -0.450%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-01 06:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -4.50%E -3.24%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -2.67%E -0.858%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-01 06:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -4.50%E -3.24%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -2.67%E -0.858%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-01 06:49 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.81%E -2.72%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.98%E -0.962%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-01 06:23 |
| Bovada | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.19%E -3.76%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.98%E -0.962%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-01 06:29 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.62%E -6.48%K -26.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -2.98%E -0.962%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-01 06:24 |
| DraftKings | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.92%EV -5.19%E -3.76%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.08%EV -4.23%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 06:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.19%E -3.76%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.55%E -1.49%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 06:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.17%EV -3.13%E -2.22%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.83%EV -5.49%E -1.82%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-01 07:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.50%E -3.24%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 07:29 |
| NordicBet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.19%E -3.76%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 05:19 |
| Fanatics | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.19%E -3.76%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 05:19 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.19%E -3.76%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 06:54 |
| Betsson | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.19%E -3.76%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 05:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.19%E -3.76%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 07:50 |
| Betway | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.19%E -3.76%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 07:04 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.88%E -4.29%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-01 05:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.56%E -4.83%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 05:19 |
| betfred_uk | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.56%E -4.83%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 05:29 |
| theScore Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.56%E -4.83%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 05:19 |
| Caesars | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.56%E -4.83%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 05:53 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.75%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.25%EV -7.05%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-01 07:54 |
| FanDuel | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.73%EV -3.13%E -2.22%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.27%EV -7.36%E -2.49%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-01 07:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -5.88%E -4.29%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -8.62%E -2.95%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-01 07:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.81%E -2.72%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.24%E -3.19%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 06:34 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.81%E -2.72%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.24%E -3.19%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 06:29 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.81%E -2.72%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.24%E -3.19%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 06:29 |
| ReBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.56%E -4.83%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.24%E -3.19%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-01 05:19 |
| betano_uk | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.56%E -4.83%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.87%E -3.43%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-01 05:18 |
| Bet Victor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.56%E -4.83%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.87%E -3.43%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-01 05:23 |
| Sky Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.56%E -4.83%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.87%E -3.43%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-01 07:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.56%E -4.83%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.87%E -3.43%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-01 07:53 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -3.81%E -2.72%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -10.18%E -3.55%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-01 06:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -3.81%E -2.72%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -10.18%E -3.55%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-01 06:35 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -1.07%E -0.741%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -12.37%E -4.42%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-01 07:15 |
| PlayUp | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -2.44%E -1.72%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -12.37%E -4.42%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-01 07:14 |
| Neds | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.44%E -1.72%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -13.94%E -5.07%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-01 06:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.44%E -1.72%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -13.94%E -5.07%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-01 06:34 |
| TAB | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -2.44%E -1.72%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -15.50%E -5.74%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-01 06:38 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07% | 2.2% | 2026-08-01 06:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07% | 2.2% | 2026-08-01 06:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07% | 2.2% | 2026-08-01 06:29 |
| Matchbook | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07% | 2.2% | 2026-08-01 06:35 |
| ProphetX | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07% | 2.2% | 2026-08-01 06:54 |
| Smarkets | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26% | 3.2% | 2026-08-01 07:10 |
| Novig | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.75% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.25% | 3.9% | 2026-08-01 08:10 |