預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Rafael Jodar v Alejandro Tabilo

開賽時間: 2026-08-02 00:44 UTC

最終賽果: Rafael Jodar 2–1 Alejandro Tabilo

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

61 家博彩公司 (19 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Rafael Jodar (主隊)

預測 68.91%1.45公平賠率
EV -3.53%
優勢 -2.52%
Kelly -8.82%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.40

博彩公司預測分布
67.44%69.06%68.81%70.81%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.321.371.381.4075.76%72.95%72.46%71.43%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Alejandro Tabilo (客隊)

預測 31.09%3.22公平賠率
EV +1.05%
優勢 +0.322%
Kelly +0.466%
成長率 +0.005%

假設最高賠率為 3.25

博彩公司預測分布
29.19%30.94%31.19%32.56%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.903.033.003.2534.48%32.99%33.33%30.77%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Rafael Jodar (主隊):68.91%;Alejandro Tabilo (客隊):31.09%。 對於「Alejandro Tabilo (客隊)」,該估計相當於3.22的公平十進位賠率。 當時有2家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為3.25,對應+1.05%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (61 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼利潤率更新時間
Bet Right🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -7.66%E -5.72%K -22.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV +1.05%E +0.322%K +0.466%G +0.005%5.4%2026-08-02 00:15
Pinnacle🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.83%EV -3.53%E -2.52%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 30.17%EV +0.736%E +0.227%K +0.329%G +0.002%2.3%2026-08-02 00:25
ReBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.507%E -0.158%K -0.231%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 23:15
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.507%E -0.158%K -0.231%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 00:35
BetMGM🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -7.66%E -5.72%K -22.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -0.507%E -0.158%K -0.231%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 19:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.35%E -6.28%K -25.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -0.507%E -0.158%K -0.231%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 00:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -3.53%E -2.52%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -2.06%E -0.655%K -0.959%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 00:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.06%E -0.655%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 00:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.06%E -0.655%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 00:40
BetUS🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.06%E -0.655%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 00:34
NetBet (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -9.04%E -6.85%K -28.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -2.06%E -0.655%K -0.959%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-01 22:44
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.25%EV -8.35%E -6.28%K -25.31%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.75%EV -2.37%E -0.756%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 00:35
1xBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.18%EV -4.22%E -3.03%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%EV -2.99%E -0.960%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-01 23:48
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.53%E -2.52%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -3.62%E -1.17%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-02 00:20
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.62%E -1.17%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 00:34
BetAnything🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.62%E -1.17%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 00:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -7.66%E -5.72%K -22.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -3.62%E -1.17%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 23:15
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.35%E -6.28%K -25.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.62%E -1.17%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 19:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.35%E -6.28%K -25.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.62%E -1.17%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 19:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.17%E -1.70%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 00:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.60%E -4.08%K -15.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.17%E -1.70%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 00:34
DraftKings🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.64%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.36%EV -6.10%E -2.02%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 00:40
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 00:35
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 19:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 19:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 19:35
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 19:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 19:34
Casumo🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 19:34
Grosvenor🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 19:35
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 19:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 19:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 19:35
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 19:34
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 19:35
Betway🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 00:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 19:35
Fanatics🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.60%E -4.08%K -15.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-02 00:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.60%E -4.08%K -15.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-02 00:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 00:39
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 19:25
Neds🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 19:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 19:35
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 05:53
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 00:35
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.35%E -6.28%K -25.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 00:35
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.35%E -6.28%K -25.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 00:35
Dabble (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.53%E -2.52%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -8.28%E -2.81%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 00:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -8.28%E -2.81%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-01 19:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -8.28%E -2.81%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-01 19:34
NordicBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -5.60%E -4.08%K -15.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -8.28%E -2.81%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 00:34
Betsson🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -5.60%E -4.08%K -15.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -8.28%E -2.81%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 00:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -8.28%E -2.81%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 19:34
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.53%E -2.52%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 00:24
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.53%E -2.52%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 00:25
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.53%E -2.52%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 00:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.53%E -2.52%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 00:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.53%E -2.52%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 00:24
TAB🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 00:40
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 00:22
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 00:19
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23%0.2%2026-08-02 00:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-08-02 00:40
Matchbook◎1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-08-02 00:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.2%2026-08-02 00:40
Novig◎1.43I 69.93%NM 68.64%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.36%1.9%2026-08-02 00:40
ProphetX◎1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%2.2%2026-08-02 00:40
Smarkets◎1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%2.8%2026-08-02 00:40