Langue:Français
Rafael Jodar v Alejandro Tabilo
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Rafael Jodar (Local)
Prévision 68.91%1.45cote équitable
EV -3.53%
Avantage -2.52%
Kelly -8.82%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
67.44%69.06%68.81%70.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.321.371.381.4075.76%72.95%72.46%71.43%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Alejandro Tabilo (Visiteur)
Prévision 31.09%3.22cote équitable
EV +1.05%
Avantage +0.322%
Kelly +0.466%
Croissance +0.005%
avec la cote maximale 3.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.19%30.94%31.19%32.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.903.033.003.2534.48%32.99%33.33%30.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Rafael Jodar (Local) : 68.91% ; Alejandro Tabilo (Visiteur) : 31.09%. Pour Alejandro Tabilo (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.22. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.25, soit une espérance positive de +1.05%.
Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -7.66%E -5.72%K -22.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV +1.05%E +0.322%K +0.466%G +0.005% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 00:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.83%EV -3.53%E -2.52%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 30.17%EV +0.736%E +0.227%K +0.329%G +0.002% | 2.3% | 2026-08-02 00:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.507%E -0.158%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.507%E -0.158%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-02 00:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -7.66%E -5.72%K -22.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -0.507%E -0.158%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 19:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.35%E -6.28%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -0.507%E -0.158%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-02 00:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -3.53%E -2.52%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -2.06%E -0.655%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-02 00:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.06%E -0.655%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-02 00:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.06%E -0.655%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-02 00:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.06%E -0.655%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-02 00:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -9.04%E -6.85%K -28.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -2.06%E -0.655%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-01 22:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.25%EV -8.35%E -6.28%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.75%EV -2.37%E -0.756%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 00:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.18%EV -4.22%E -3.03%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%EV -2.99%E -0.960%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-01 23:48 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.53%E -2.52%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -3.62%E -1.17%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-02 00:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.62%E -1.17%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 00:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.62%E -1.17%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 00:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -7.66%E -5.72%K -22.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -3.62%E -1.17%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.35%E -6.28%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.62%E -1.17%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-01 19:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.35%E -6.28%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.62%E -1.17%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-01 19:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.17%E -1.70%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 00:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.60%E -4.08%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.17%E -1.70%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 00:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.64%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.36%EV -6.10%E -2.02%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 00:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 00:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 19:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 19:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 19:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 19:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 19:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 19:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 19:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 19:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 19:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 19:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 19:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 19:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 00:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 19:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.60%E -4.08%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-02 00:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.60%E -4.08%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-02 00:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 00:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 19:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 19:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 19:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 05:53 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 00:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.35%E -6.28%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-02 00:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.35%E -6.28%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-02 00:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.53%E -2.52%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -8.28%E -2.81%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 00:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -8.28%E -2.81%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-01 19:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -8.28%E -2.81%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-01 19:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -5.60%E -4.08%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -8.28%E -2.81%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 00:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -5.60%E -4.08%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -8.28%E -2.81%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 00:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -8.28%E -2.81%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-01 19:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.53%E -2.52%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 00:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.53%E -2.52%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 00:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.53%E -2.52%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 00:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.53%E -2.52%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 00:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.53%E -2.52%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 00:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 00:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-02 00:22 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-02 00:19 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23% | 0.2% | 2026-08-02 00:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 00:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 00:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.2% | 2026-08-02 00:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.64% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 31.36% | 1.9% | 2026-08-02 00:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57% | 2.2% | 2026-08-02 00:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43% | 2.8% | 2026-08-02 00:40 |