Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Rafael Jodar v Alejandro Tabilo

2026-08-01 23:40 UTC — ATP Washington Open

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Rafael Jodar (Local)

Prévision 68.70%1.46cote équitable
EV -1.07%
Avantage -0.741%
Kelly -2.42%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.53%68.62%68.78%70.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.331.381.371.4475.19%72.71%72.99%69.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Alejandro Tabilo (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.30%3.20cote équitable
EV +0.148%
Avantage +0.046%
Kelly +0.067%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.67%31.38%31.22%34.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.703.023.003.2037.04%33.06%33.33%31.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Rafael Jodar (Local) : 68.70% ; Alejandro Tabilo (Visiteur) : 31.30%. Pour Alejandro Tabilo (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 3.195. 13 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 3.200, pour une espérance positive de +0.148%.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.56%E -4.83%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +0.148%E +0.046%K +0.067%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 07:19
BetRivers1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.148%E +0.046%K +0.067%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 06:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.148%E +0.046%K +0.067%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 06:24
Unibet (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.148%E +0.046%K +0.067%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 06:24
TABtouch1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.148%E +0.046%K +0.067%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 06:23
Unibet (NL)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.148%E +0.046%K +0.067%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 06:24
Casumo1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.148%E +0.046%K +0.067%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 06:24
Grosvenor1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.148%E +0.046%K +0.067%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 06:24
Unibet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.148%E +0.046%K +0.067%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 06:29
Svenska Spel1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.148%E +0.046%K +0.067%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 06:24
ATG (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.148%E +0.046%K +0.067%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 06:24
Bally Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.148%E +0.046%K +0.067%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 06:24
betPARX1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.148%E +0.046%K +0.067%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 06:23
Pinnacle1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -3.81%E -2.72%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -1.42%E -0.450%K -0.659%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-01 06:55
Winamax (DE)1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -4.50%E -3.24%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -1.42%E -0.450%K -0.659%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-01 06:59
Virgin Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -7.94%E -5.92%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -1.42%E -0.450%K -0.659%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-01 06:24
LiveScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -7.94%E -5.92%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -1.42%E -0.450%K -0.659%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-01 06:24
BetOnline.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -4.50%E -3.24%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -2.67%E -0.858%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-01 06:49
LowVig.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -4.50%E -3.24%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -2.67%E -0.858%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-01 06:49
Betclic (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.81%E -2.72%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.98%E -0.962%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-01 06:23
Bovada1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.19%E -3.76%K -13.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.98%E -0.962%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 06:29
PMU (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.62%E -6.48%K -26.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -2.98%E -0.962%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 06:24
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.75%EV -3.81%E -2.72%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.25%EV -3.61%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-01 08:39
DraftKings1.38I 72.46%NM 68.92%EV -5.19%E -3.76%K -13.65%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.08%EV -4.23%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 06:39
Winamax (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.19%E -3.76%K -13.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.55%E -1.49%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 06:59
Bet Right1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.50%E -3.24%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 07:29
NordicBet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.19%E -3.76%K -13.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 05:19
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.19%E -3.76%K -13.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 05:19
Unibet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.19%E -3.76%K -13.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 06:54
Betsson1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.19%E -3.76%K -13.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 05:19
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.19%E -3.76%K -13.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 07:04
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.88%E -4.29%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-01 05:44
Betr (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.88%E -4.29%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-01 08:50
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.56%E -4.83%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 05:19
betfred_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.56%E -4.83%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 05:29
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.56%E -4.83%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 05:19
Caesars1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.56%E -4.83%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 05:53
NetBet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.75%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.71%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.25%EV -7.05%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-01 07:54
FanDuel1.41I 70.92%NM 67.73%EV -3.13%E -2.22%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.27%EV -7.36%E -2.49%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 07:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -2.44%E -1.72%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -7.68%E -2.60%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 08:19
SportsBet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -5.88%E -4.29%K -15.88%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -8.62%E -2.95%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 07:55
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.81%E -2.72%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.24%E -3.19%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 06:34
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.81%E -2.72%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.24%E -3.19%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 06:29
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.81%E -2.72%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.24%E -3.19%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 06:29
ReBet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.56%E -4.83%K -18.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.24%E -3.19%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 05:19
betano_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.56%E -4.83%K -18.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.87%E -3.43%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 05:18
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.56%E -4.83%K -18.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.87%E -3.43%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 05:23
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.56%E -4.83%K -18.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.87%E -3.43%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 07:55
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.56%E -4.83%K -18.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.87%E -3.43%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 07:53
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -3.81%E -2.72%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -10.18%E -3.55%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-01 06:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -3.81%E -2.72%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -10.18%E -3.55%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-01 06:35
Dabble (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -1.07%E -0.741%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -12.37%E -4.42%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 07:15
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -2.44%E -1.72%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -12.37%E -4.42%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 07:14
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.44%E -1.72%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -13.94%E -5.07%K -7.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 06:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.44%E -1.72%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -13.94%E -5.07%K -7.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 06:34
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -2.44%E -1.72%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -15.50%E -5.74%K -9.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-01 06:38
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.2%2026-08-01 08:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.2%2026-08-01 08:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.2%2026-08-01 08:40
Matchbook1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74%1.7%2026-08-01 08:35
ProphetX1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74%1.7%2026-08-01 08:40
Novig1.43I 69.93%NM 68.64%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.36%1.9%2026-08-01 08:35
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%3.2%2026-08-01 07:10