Język:Polski
Rafael Jodar v Alejandro Tabilo
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Rafael Jodar (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 68.91%1.45kurs godziwy
EV -3.53%
Przewaga -2.52%
Kelly -8.82%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.40
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
67.44%69.06%68.81%70.81%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.321.371.381.4075.76%72.95%72.46%71.43%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Alejandro Tabilo (Goście)
Prognoza 31.09%3.22kurs godziwy
EV +1.05%
Przewaga +0.322%
Kelly +0.466%
Wzrost +0.005%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.25
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
29.19%30.94%31.19%32.56%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.903.033.003.2534.48%32.99%33.33%30.77%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Rafael Jodar (Gospodarze): 68.91%; Alejandro Tabilo (Goście): 31.09%. Dla wyniku Alejandro Tabilo (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.22. 2 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 3.25, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +1.05%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (61 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -7.66%E -5.72%K -22.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV +1.05%E +0.322%K +0.466%G +0.005% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 00:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.83%EV -3.53%E -2.52%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 30.17%EV +0.736%E +0.227%K +0.329%G +0.002% | 2.3% | 2026-08-02 00:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.507%E -0.158%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.507%E -0.158%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-02 00:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -7.66%E -5.72%K -22.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -0.507%E -0.158%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 19:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.35%E -6.28%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -0.507%E -0.158%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-02 00:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -3.53%E -2.52%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -2.06%E -0.655%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-02 00:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.06%E -0.655%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-02 00:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.06%E -0.655%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-02 00:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.06%E -0.655%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-02 00:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -9.04%E -6.85%K -28.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -2.06%E -0.655%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-01 22:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.25%EV -8.35%E -6.28%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.75%EV -2.37%E -0.756%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 00:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.18%EV -4.22%E -3.03%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%EV -2.99%E -0.960%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-01 23:48 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.53%E -2.52%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -3.62%E -1.17%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-02 00:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.62%E -1.17%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 00:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.62%E -1.17%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 00:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -7.66%E -5.72%K -22.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -3.62%E -1.17%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.35%E -6.28%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.62%E -1.17%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-01 19:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.35%E -6.28%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.62%E -1.17%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-01 19:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.17%E -1.70%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 00:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.60%E -4.08%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.17%E -1.70%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 00:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.64%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.36%EV -6.10%E -2.02%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 00:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 00:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 19:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 19:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 19:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 19:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 19:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 19:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 19:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 19:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 19:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 19:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 19:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 19:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 00:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 19:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.60%E -4.08%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-02 00:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.60%E -4.08%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-02 00:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 00:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 19:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 19:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 19:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 05:53 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 00:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.35%E -6.28%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-02 00:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.35%E -6.28%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-02 00:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.53%E -2.52%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -8.28%E -2.81%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 00:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -8.28%E -2.81%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-01 19:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -8.28%E -2.81%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-01 19:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -5.60%E -4.08%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -8.28%E -2.81%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 00:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -5.60%E -4.08%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -8.28%E -2.81%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 00:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -8.28%E -2.81%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-01 19:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.53%E -2.52%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 00:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.53%E -2.52%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 00:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.53%E -2.52%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 00:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.53%E -2.52%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 00:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.53%E -2.52%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 00:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 00:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-02 00:22 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-02 00:19 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23% | 0.2% | 2026-08-02 00:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 00:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 00:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.2% | 2026-08-02 00:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.64% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 31.36% | 1.9% | 2026-08-02 00:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57% | 2.2% | 2026-08-02 00:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43% | 2.8% | 2026-08-02 00:40 |