StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Rafael Jodar v Alejandro Tabilo

2026-08-01 23:40 UTC — ATP Washington Open

Direkter Vergleich

56 Wettanbieter (18 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Rafael Jodar (Heim)

Prognose 68.70%1.46faire Quote
EV -1.07%
Vorteil -0.741%
Kelly -2.42%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.44

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
65.53%68.62%68.78%70.33%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.331.381.371.4475.19%72.71%72.99%69.44%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Alejandro Tabilo (Auswärts)

Prognose 31.30%3.20faire Quote
EV +0.148%
Vorteil +0.046%
Kelly +0.067%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.20

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
29.67%31.38%31.22%34.47%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.703.023.003.2037.04%33.06%33.33%31.25%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Rafael Jodar (Heim): 68.70%; Alejandro Tabilo (Auswärts): 31.30%. Für Alejandro Tabilo (Auswärts) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.195. 13 Wettanbieter bieten Quoten über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 3.200 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +0.148%.

Wettanbieterquoten (56 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.56%E -4.83%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +0.148%E +0.046%K +0.067%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 07:19
BetRivers1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.148%E +0.046%K +0.067%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 06:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.148%E +0.046%K +0.067%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 06:24
Unibet (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.148%E +0.046%K +0.067%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 06:24
TABtouch1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.148%E +0.046%K +0.067%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 06:23
Unibet (NL)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.148%E +0.046%K +0.067%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 06:24
Casumo1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.148%E +0.046%K +0.067%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 06:24
Grosvenor1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.148%E +0.046%K +0.067%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 06:24
Unibet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.148%E +0.046%K +0.067%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 06:29
Svenska Spel1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.148%E +0.046%K +0.067%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 06:24
ATG (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.148%E +0.046%K +0.067%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 06:24
Bally Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.148%E +0.046%K +0.067%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 06:24
betPARX1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.148%E +0.046%K +0.067%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 06:23
Pinnacle1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -3.81%E -2.72%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -1.42%E -0.450%K -0.659%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-01 06:55
Winamax (DE)1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -4.50%E -3.24%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -1.42%E -0.450%K -0.659%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-01 06:59
Virgin Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -7.94%E -5.92%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -1.42%E -0.450%K -0.659%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-01 06:24
LiveScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -7.94%E -5.92%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -1.42%E -0.450%K -0.659%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-01 06:24
BetOnline.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -4.50%E -3.24%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -2.67%E -0.858%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-01 06:49
LowVig.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -4.50%E -3.24%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -2.67%E -0.858%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-01 06:49
Betclic (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.81%E -2.72%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.98%E -0.962%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-01 06:23
Bovada1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.19%E -3.76%K -13.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.98%E -0.962%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 06:29
PMU (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.62%E -6.48%K -26.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -2.98%E -0.962%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 06:24
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.75%EV -3.81%E -2.72%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.25%EV -3.61%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-01 08:39
DraftKings1.38I 72.46%NM 68.92%EV -5.19%E -3.76%K -13.65%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.08%EV -4.23%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 06:39
Winamax (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.19%E -3.76%K -13.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.55%E -1.49%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 06:59
Bet Right1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.50%E -3.24%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 07:29
NordicBet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.19%E -3.76%K -13.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 05:19
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.19%E -3.76%K -13.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 05:19
Unibet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.19%E -3.76%K -13.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 06:54
Betsson1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.19%E -3.76%K -13.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 05:19
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.19%E -3.76%K -13.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 07:04
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.88%E -4.29%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-01 05:44
Betr (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.88%E -4.29%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-01 08:50
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.56%E -4.83%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 05:19
betfred_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.56%E -4.83%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 05:29
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.56%E -4.83%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 05:19
Caesars1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.56%E -4.83%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 05:53
NetBet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.75%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.71%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.25%EV -7.05%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-01 07:54
FanDuel1.41I 70.92%NM 67.73%EV -3.13%E -2.22%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.27%EV -7.36%E -2.49%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 07:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -2.44%E -1.72%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -7.68%E -2.60%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 08:19
SportsBet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -5.88%E -4.29%K -15.88%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -8.62%E -2.95%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 07:55
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.81%E -2.72%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.24%E -3.19%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 06:34
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.81%E -2.72%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.24%E -3.19%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 06:29
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.81%E -2.72%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.24%E -3.19%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 06:29
ReBet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.56%E -4.83%K -18.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.24%E -3.19%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 05:19
betano_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.56%E -4.83%K -18.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.87%E -3.43%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 05:18
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.56%E -4.83%K -18.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.87%E -3.43%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 05:23
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.56%E -4.83%K -18.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.87%E -3.43%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 07:55
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.56%E -4.83%K -18.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.87%E -3.43%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 07:53
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -3.81%E -2.72%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -10.18%E -3.55%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-01 06:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -3.81%E -2.72%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -10.18%E -3.55%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-01 06:35
Dabble (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -1.07%E -0.741%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -12.37%E -4.42%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 07:15
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -2.44%E -1.72%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -12.37%E -4.42%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 07:14
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.44%E -1.72%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -13.94%E -5.07%K -7.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 06:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.44%E -1.72%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -13.94%E -5.07%K -7.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 06:34
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -2.44%E -1.72%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -15.50%E -5.74%K -9.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-01 06:38
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.2%2026-08-01 08:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.2%2026-08-01 08:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.2%2026-08-01 08:40
Matchbook1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74%1.7%2026-08-01 08:35
ProphetX1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74%1.7%2026-08-01 08:40
Novig1.43I 69.93%NM 68.64%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.36%1.9%2026-08-01 08:35
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%3.2%2026-08-01 07:10