StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Rafael Jodar v Alejandro Tabilo

2026-08-01 23:40 UTC — ATP Washington Open

Matchresultat

56 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Rafael Jodar (Hemma)

Prognos 68.70%1.46rättvist odds
EV -1.07%
Fördel -0.741%
Kelly -2.42%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.44

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
65.53%68.62%68.78%70.33%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.331.381.371.4475.19%72.71%72.99%69.44%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Alejandro Tabilo (Borta)

Prognos 31.30%3.20rättvist odds
EV +0.148%
Fördel +0.046%
Kelly +0.067%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.20

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
29.67%31.38%31.22%34.47%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.703.023.003.2037.04%33.06%33.33%31.25%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Rafael Jodar (Hemma): 68.70%; Alejandro Tabilo (Borta): 31.30%. För Alejandro Tabilo (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.195. 13 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 3.200, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +0.148%.

Spelbolagsodds (56 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.56%E -4.83%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +0.148%E +0.046%K +0.067%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 07:19
BetRivers1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.148%E +0.046%K +0.067%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 06:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.148%E +0.046%K +0.067%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 06:24
Unibet (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.148%E +0.046%K +0.067%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 06:24
TABtouch1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.148%E +0.046%K +0.067%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 06:23
Unibet (NL)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.148%E +0.046%K +0.067%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 06:24
Casumo1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.148%E +0.046%K +0.067%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 06:24
Grosvenor1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.148%E +0.046%K +0.067%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 06:24
Unibet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.148%E +0.046%K +0.067%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 06:29
Svenska Spel1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.148%E +0.046%K +0.067%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 06:24
ATG (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.148%E +0.046%K +0.067%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 06:24
Bally Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.148%E +0.046%K +0.067%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 06:24
betPARX1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.148%E +0.046%K +0.067%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 06:23
Pinnacle1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -3.81%E -2.72%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -1.42%E -0.450%K -0.659%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-01 06:55
Winamax (DE)1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -4.50%E -3.24%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -1.42%E -0.450%K -0.659%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-01 06:59
Virgin Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -7.94%E -5.92%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -1.42%E -0.450%K -0.659%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-01 06:24
LiveScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -7.94%E -5.92%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -1.42%E -0.450%K -0.659%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-01 06:24
BetOnline.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -4.50%E -3.24%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -2.67%E -0.858%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-01 06:49
LowVig.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -4.50%E -3.24%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -2.67%E -0.858%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-01 06:49
Betclic (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.81%E -2.72%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.98%E -0.962%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-01 06:23
Bovada1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.19%E -3.76%K -13.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.98%E -0.962%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 06:29
PMU (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.62%E -6.48%K -26.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -2.98%E -0.962%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 06:24
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.75%EV -3.81%E -2.72%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.25%EV -3.61%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-01 08:39
DraftKings1.38I 72.46%NM 68.92%EV -5.19%E -3.76%K -13.65%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.08%EV -4.23%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 06:39
Winamax (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.19%E -3.76%K -13.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.55%E -1.49%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 06:59
Bet Right1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.50%E -3.24%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 07:29
NordicBet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.19%E -3.76%K -13.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 05:19
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.19%E -3.76%K -13.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 05:19
Unibet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.19%E -3.76%K -13.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 06:54
Betsson1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.19%E -3.76%K -13.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 05:19
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.19%E -3.76%K -13.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 07:04
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.88%E -4.29%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-01 05:44
Betr (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.88%E -4.29%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-01 08:50
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.56%E -4.83%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 05:19
betfred_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.56%E -4.83%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 05:29
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.56%E -4.83%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 05:19
Caesars1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.56%E -4.83%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 05:53
NetBet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.75%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.71%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.25%EV -7.05%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-01 07:54
FanDuel1.41I 70.92%NM 67.73%EV -3.13%E -2.22%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.27%EV -7.36%E -2.49%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 07:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -2.44%E -1.72%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -7.68%E -2.60%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 08:19
SportsBet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -5.88%E -4.29%K -15.88%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -8.62%E -2.95%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 07:55
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.81%E -2.72%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.24%E -3.19%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 06:34
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.81%E -2.72%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.24%E -3.19%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 06:29
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.81%E -2.72%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.24%E -3.19%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 06:29
ReBet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.56%E -4.83%K -18.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.24%E -3.19%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 05:19
betano_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.56%E -4.83%K -18.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.87%E -3.43%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 05:18
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.56%E -4.83%K -18.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.87%E -3.43%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 05:23
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.56%E -4.83%K -18.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.87%E -3.43%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 07:55
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.56%E -4.83%K -18.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.87%E -3.43%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 07:53
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -3.81%E -2.72%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -10.18%E -3.55%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-01 06:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -3.81%E -2.72%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -10.18%E -3.55%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-01 06:35
Dabble (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -1.07%E -0.741%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -12.37%E -4.42%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 07:15
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -2.44%E -1.72%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -12.37%E -4.42%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 07:14
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.44%E -1.72%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -13.94%E -5.07%K -7.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 06:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.44%E -1.72%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -13.94%E -5.07%K -7.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 06:34
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -2.44%E -1.72%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -15.50%E -5.74%K -9.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-01 06:38
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.2%2026-08-01 08:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.2%2026-08-01 08:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.2%2026-08-01 08:40
Matchbook1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74%1.7%2026-08-01 08:35
ProphetX1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74%1.7%2026-08-01 08:40
Novig1.43I 69.93%NM 68.64%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.36%1.9%2026-08-01 08:35
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%3.2%2026-08-01 07:10