Språk:Svenska
Rafael Jodar v Alejandro Tabilo
Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →
Matchresultat
Rafael Jodar (Hemma)
Prognos 68.91%1.45rättvist odds
EV -3.53%
Fördel -2.52%
Kelly -8.82%
Tillväxt +0.000%
med antagandet om högsta odds 1.40
Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
67.44%69.06%68.81%70.81%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.321.371.381.4075.76%72.95%72.46%71.43%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Alejandro Tabilo (Borta)
Prognos 31.09%3.22rättvist odds
EV +1.05%
Fördel +0.322%
Kelly +0.466%
Tillväxt +0.005%
med antagandet om högsta odds 3.25
Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
29.19%30.94%31.19%32.56%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.903.033.003.2534.48%32.99%33.33%30.77%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Rafael Jodar (Hemma): 68.91%; Alejandro Tabilo (Borta): 31.09%. För Alejandro Tabilo (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.22. 2 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.25, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.05%.
Spelbolagsodds (61 spelbolag)
Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.
| Spelbolag | Hemma | Borta ▼ | Marginal | Uppdaterat |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -7.66%E -5.72%K -22.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV +1.05%E +0.322%K +0.466%G +0.005% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 00:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.83%EV -3.53%E -2.52%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 30.17%EV +0.736%E +0.227%K +0.329%G +0.002% | 2.3% | 2026-08-02 00:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.507%E -0.158%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.507%E -0.158%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-02 00:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -7.66%E -5.72%K -22.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -0.507%E -0.158%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 19:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.35%E -6.28%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -0.507%E -0.158%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-02 00:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -3.53%E -2.52%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -2.06%E -0.655%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-02 00:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.06%E -0.655%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-02 00:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.06%E -0.655%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-02 00:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.06%E -0.655%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-02 00:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -9.04%E -6.85%K -28.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -2.06%E -0.655%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-01 22:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.25%EV -8.35%E -6.28%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.75%EV -2.37%E -0.756%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 00:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.18%EV -4.22%E -3.03%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%EV -2.99%E -0.960%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-01 23:48 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.53%E -2.52%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -3.62%E -1.17%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-02 00:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.62%E -1.17%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 00:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.62%E -1.17%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 00:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -7.66%E -5.72%K -22.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -3.62%E -1.17%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.35%E -6.28%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.62%E -1.17%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-01 19:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.35%E -6.28%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.62%E -1.17%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-01 19:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.17%E -1.70%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 00:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.60%E -4.08%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.17%E -1.70%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 00:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.64%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.36%EV -6.10%E -2.02%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 00:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 00:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 19:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 19:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 19:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 19:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 19:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 19:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 19:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 19:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 19:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 19:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 19:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 19:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 00:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 19:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.60%E -4.08%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-02 00:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.60%E -4.08%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-02 00:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 00:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 19:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 19:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 19:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 05:53 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 00:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.35%E -6.28%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-02 00:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.35%E -6.28%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-02 00:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.53%E -2.52%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -8.28%E -2.81%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 00:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -8.28%E -2.81%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-01 19:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -8.28%E -2.81%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-01 19:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -5.60%E -4.08%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -8.28%E -2.81%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 00:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -5.60%E -4.08%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -8.28%E -2.81%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 00:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -8.28%E -2.81%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-01 19:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.53%E -2.52%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 00:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.53%E -2.52%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 00:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.53%E -2.52%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 00:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.53%E -2.52%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 00:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.53%E -2.52%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 00:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 00:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-02 00:22 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-02 00:19 |
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt
Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.
Spelbörser (7)
| Spelbolag | Hemma | Borta | Marginal ▲ | Uppdaterat |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23% | 0.2% | 2026-08-02 00:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 00:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 00:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.2% | 2026-08-02 00:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.64% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 31.36% | 1.9% | 2026-08-02 00:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57% | 2.2% | 2026-08-02 00:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43% | 2.8% | 2026-08-02 00:40 |