Idioma:Español
Rafael Jodar v Alejandro Tabilo
Resultado del partido
Rafael Jodar (Local)
Predicción 68.70%1.46momio equitativo
EV -1.07%
Ventaja -0.741%
Kelly -2.42%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.44
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.53%68.62%68.78%70.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.331.381.371.4475.19%72.71%72.99%69.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Alejandro Tabilo (Visitante)
Predicción 31.30%3.20momio equitativo
EV +0.148%
Ventaja +0.046%
Kelly +0.067%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.67%31.38%31.22%34.47%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.703.023.003.2037.04%33.06%33.33%31.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Rafael Jodar (Local): 68.70%; Alejandro Tabilo (Visitante): 31.30%. Para Alejandro Tabilo (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.195. 13 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 3.200, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.148%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.56%E -4.83%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +0.148%E +0.046%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-01 07:19 |
| BetRivers | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.148%E +0.046%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 06:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.148%E +0.046%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 06:24 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.148%E +0.046%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 06:24 |
| TABtouch | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.148%E +0.046%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 06:23 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.148%E +0.046%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 06:24 |
| Casumo | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.148%E +0.046%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 06:24 |
| Grosvenor | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.148%E +0.046%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 06:24 |
| Unibet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.148%E +0.046%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 06:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.148%E +0.046%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 06:24 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.148%E +0.046%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 06:24 |
| Bally Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.148%E +0.046%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 06:24 |
| betPARX | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.148%E +0.046%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 06:23 |
| Pinnacle | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -3.81%E -2.72%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -1.42%E -0.450%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-01 06:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -4.50%E -3.24%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -1.42%E -0.450%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-01 06:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -7.94%E -5.92%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -1.42%E -0.450%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-01 06:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -7.94%E -5.92%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -1.42%E -0.450%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-01 06:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -4.50%E -3.24%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -2.67%E -0.858%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-01 06:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -4.50%E -3.24%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -2.67%E -0.858%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-01 06:49 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.81%E -2.72%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.98%E -0.962%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-01 06:23 |
| Bovada | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.19%E -3.76%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.98%E -0.962%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-01 06:29 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.62%E -6.48%K -26.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -2.98%E -0.962%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-01 06:24 |
| 1xBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.75%EV -3.81%E -2.72%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.25%EV -3.61%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-01 08:39 |
| DraftKings | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.92%EV -5.19%E -3.76%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.08%EV -4.23%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 06:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.19%E -3.76%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.55%E -1.49%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 06:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.50%E -3.24%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 07:29 |
| NordicBet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.19%E -3.76%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 05:19 |
| Fanatics | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.19%E -3.76%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 05:19 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.19%E -3.76%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 06:54 |
| Betsson | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.19%E -3.76%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 05:19 |
| Betway | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.19%E -3.76%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 07:04 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.88%E -4.29%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-01 05:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.88%E -4.29%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-01 08:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.56%E -4.83%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 05:19 |
| betfred_uk | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.56%E -4.83%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 05:29 |
| theScore Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.56%E -4.83%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 05:19 |
| Caesars | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.56%E -4.83%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 05:53 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.75%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.25%EV -7.05%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-01 07:54 |
| FanDuel | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.73%EV -3.13%E -2.22%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.27%EV -7.36%E -2.49%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-01 07:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -2.44%E -1.72%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -7.68%E -2.60%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-01 08:19 |
| SportsBet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -5.88%E -4.29%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -8.62%E -2.95%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-01 07:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.81%E -2.72%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.24%E -3.19%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 06:34 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.81%E -2.72%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.24%E -3.19%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 06:29 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.81%E -2.72%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.24%E -3.19%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 06:29 |
| ReBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.56%E -4.83%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.24%E -3.19%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-01 05:19 |
| betano_uk | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.56%E -4.83%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.87%E -3.43%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-01 05:18 |
| Bet Victor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.56%E -4.83%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.87%E -3.43%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-01 05:23 |
| Sky Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.56%E -4.83%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.87%E -3.43%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-01 07:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.56%E -4.83%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.87%E -3.43%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-01 07:53 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -3.81%E -2.72%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -10.18%E -3.55%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-01 06:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -3.81%E -2.72%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -10.18%E -3.55%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-01 06:35 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -1.07%E -0.741%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -12.37%E -4.42%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-01 07:15 |
| PlayUp | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -2.44%E -1.72%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -12.37%E -4.42%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-01 07:14 |
| Neds | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.44%E -1.72%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -13.94%E -5.07%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-01 06:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.44%E -1.72%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -13.94%E -5.07%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-01 06:34 |
| TAB | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -2.44%E -1.72%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -15.50%E -5.74%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-01 06:38 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.2% | 2026-08-01 08:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.2% | 2026-08-01 08:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.2% | 2026-08-01 08:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74% | 1.7% | 2026-08-01 08:35 |
| ProphetX | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74% | 1.7% | 2026-08-01 08:40 |
| Novig | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.64% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 31.36% | 1.9% | 2026-08-01 08:35 |
| Smarkets | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26% | 3.2% | 2026-08-01 07:10 |