Idioma:Português
Rafael Jodar v Alejandro Tabilo
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Rafael Jodar (Local)
Previsão 68.91%1.45odd justa
EV -3.53%
Vantagem -2.52%
Kelly -8.82%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.40
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
67.44%69.06%68.81%70.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.321.371.381.4075.76%72.95%72.46%71.43%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Alejandro Tabilo (Visitante)
Previsão 31.09%3.22odd justa
EV +1.05%
Vantagem +0.322%
Kelly +0.466%
Crescimento +0.005%
pressupondo odds máximas de 3.25
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.19%30.94%31.19%32.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.903.033.003.2534.48%32.99%33.33%30.77%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Rafael Jodar (Local): 68.91%; Alejandro Tabilo (Visitante): 31.09%. Para Alejandro Tabilo (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.22. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.25, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.05%.
Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -7.66%E -5.72%K -22.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV +1.05%E +0.322%K +0.466%G +0.005% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 00:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.83%EV -3.53%E -2.52%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 30.17%EV +0.736%E +0.227%K +0.329%G +0.002% | 2.3% | 2026-08-02 00:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.507%E -0.158%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.507%E -0.158%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-02 00:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -7.66%E -5.72%K -22.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -0.507%E -0.158%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 19:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.35%E -6.28%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -0.507%E -0.158%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-02 00:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -3.53%E -2.52%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -2.06%E -0.655%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-02 00:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.06%E -0.655%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-02 00:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.06%E -0.655%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-02 00:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.06%E -0.655%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-02 00:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -9.04%E -6.85%K -28.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -2.06%E -0.655%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-01 22:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.25%EV -8.35%E -6.28%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.75%EV -2.37%E -0.756%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 00:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.18%EV -4.22%E -3.03%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%EV -2.99%E -0.960%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-01 23:48 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.53%E -2.52%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -3.62%E -1.17%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-02 00:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.62%E -1.17%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 00:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.62%E -1.17%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 00:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -7.66%E -5.72%K -22.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -3.62%E -1.17%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.35%E -6.28%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.62%E -1.17%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-01 19:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.35%E -6.28%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.62%E -1.17%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-01 19:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.17%E -1.70%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 00:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.60%E -4.08%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.17%E -1.70%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 00:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.64%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.36%EV -6.10%E -2.02%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 00:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 00:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 19:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 19:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 19:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 19:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 19:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 19:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 19:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 19:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 19:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 19:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 19:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 19:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 00:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 19:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.60%E -4.08%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-02 00:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.60%E -4.08%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-02 00:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 00:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 19:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 19:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 19:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 05:53 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 00:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.35%E -6.28%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-02 00:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.35%E -6.28%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-02 00:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.53%E -2.52%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -8.28%E -2.81%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 00:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -8.28%E -2.81%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-01 19:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -8.28%E -2.81%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-01 19:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -5.60%E -4.08%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -8.28%E -2.81%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 00:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -5.60%E -4.08%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -8.28%E -2.81%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 00:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -8.28%E -2.81%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-01 19:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.53%E -2.52%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 00:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.53%E -2.52%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 00:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.53%E -2.52%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 00:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.53%E -2.52%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 00:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.53%E -2.52%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 00:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 00:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-02 00:22 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-02 00:19 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (7)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23% | 0.2% | 2026-08-02 00:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 00:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 00:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.2% | 2026-08-02 00:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.64% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 31.36% | 1.9% | 2026-08-02 00:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57% | 2.2% | 2026-08-02 00:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43% | 2.8% | 2026-08-02 00:40 |