預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Alex Michelsen v Adrian Mannarino

開賽時間: 2026-07-29 23:43 UTC

最終賽果: Alex Michelsen 2–0 Adrian Mannarino

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

58 家博彩公司 (19 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Alex Michelsen (主隊)

預測 71.41%1.40公平賠率
EV -2.17%
優勢 -1.58%
Kelly -5.86%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.37

博彩公司預測分布
68.81%71.34%71.43%72.49%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.291.331.331.3777.52%75.29%75.19%72.99%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Adrian Mannarino (客隊)

預測 28.59%3.50公平賠率
EV -0.797%
優勢 -0.230%
Kelly -0.323%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 3.47

博彩公司預測分布
27.51%28.66%28.57%31.19%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.003.283.303.4733.33%30.46%30.30%28.82%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Alex Michelsen (主隊):71.41%;Adrian Mannarino (客隊):28.59%。 對於「Adrian Mannarino (客隊)」,該估計相當於3.50的公平十進位賠率。 當時沒有符合條件的博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率:最佳賠率為3.47,期望值為-0.797%,未產生正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (58 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊利潤率更新時間
Dabble (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -2.17%E -1.58%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 23:38
Pinnacle🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%EV -2.88%E -2.12%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%EV -1.37%E -0.397%K -0.559%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-29 23:40
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.88%E -2.12%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 22:20
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.88%E -2.12%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 23:35
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.88%E -2.12%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 21:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -2.88%E -2.12%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -14.23%E -4.74%K -7.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-29 22:15
Neds🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -2.88%E -2.12%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -14.23%E -4.74%K -7.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-29 22:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.31%E -3.22%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -1.37%E -0.397%K -0.559%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-29 23:40
1xBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.31%E -3.22%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.80%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-29 23:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.31%E -3.22%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.80%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-29 22:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.31%E -3.22%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.80%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-29 23:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.31%E -3.22%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.80%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-29 23:40
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.31%E -3.22%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 23:27
BetMGM🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.31%E -3.22%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 22:15
TAB🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.31%E -3.22%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-29 22:25
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.80%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-29 21:10
BetAnything🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.80%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-29 23:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 23:40
ReBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 23:40
FanDuel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 23:32
Winamax (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-29 23:40
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-29 23:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-29 21:45
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-29 19:45
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-29 23:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-29 23:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-29 23:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-29 21:25
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-29 23:38
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-29 23:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-29 22:15
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.02%E -3.78%K -15.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-29 22:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.44%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.56%EV -0.797%E -0.230%K -0.323%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-29 23:38
theScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 23:40
TABtouch🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 21:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 21:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 21:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 21:25
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 21:25
Casumo🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 21:25
Grosvenor🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 21:25
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 21:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 21:25
Bally Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 21:25
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 21:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 21:25
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-29 23:40
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-29 23:40
Fanatics🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-29 23:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-29 21:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-29 21:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.45%E -4.92%K -20.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -2.80%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-29 21:25
Bet Right🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.45%E -4.92%K -20.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-29 21:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.17%E -5.51%K -23.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-29 21:25
Sky Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.17%E -5.51%K -23.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-29 19:40
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.17%E -5.51%K -23.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-29 19:40
Caesars🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.88%E -6.11%K -27.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -2.80%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-29 13:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.88%E -6.11%K -27.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-29 23:40
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-07-29 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-07-29 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-07-29 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-07-29 23:40
ProphetX1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-07-29 23:40
Novig1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-07-29 23:40
Smarkets1.34I 74.63%NM 72.60%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40%2.8%2026-07-29 23:35